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Rutgers 2025 Football Schedule: Best & Worst Scenarios, Season Prediction

That’s not a preference. It’s reality based on our less than optimal talent level. Schiano had zero issues airing the ball out vs Pitt in 2008, with Mike Teel throwing for over 300 yards to Britt, among others. Athan will need to do the same, if we are to defeat Iowa, Oregon, Or Penn State.
Next year the passing game is going to be good even great some games. Dt Sheffield is fast AND skilled. Duff and strong are prototypical NFL receivers, Fletcher should take the next step. Ak47 looked better and better as the season went along and that should continue into next year...

Post Mortem by Lion - RU vs #23 Illinois

Rebounding yes.

Loses his man on a lot of possessions (watch him closely on every possession i’ll bet 1/2 of them he has no idea where his man off tge ball is)

Terrible at close outs
See my post. I DID re-watch a dvr of the game solely to watch Bailey's defensive positioning.

I disagree with your interpretation.

I agree that there ARE times when Bailey loses track of his man. And either his positioning or perhaps loss of focus leads to either failing to box out or not being on position to close out at the 3 point line.

But I believe most of the time his defensive positioning off the ball is a DELIBERATE part of Pikiell's defensive scheme. Especially when his defensive assignment is in the corner or wing on the opposite (or weak) side from the ball. This positioning allows him to be in position to rotate to help either in the lane or to the wing (if his man is in the corner and someone else's man is on the wing) or to the corner (if his man is on the wing and someone else's man is in the corner).

Bailey being located in the short corner, sort of (halfway between the corner or wing 3-point line and the low post... Or a little closer to the low post than the 3-point line) allows his length and quickness to cover 3 different areas: his own man if the ball swings (either to the corner or to the weak side wing), rotate to help at the post, baseline drives and/or face cuts from the ball side opposite him, or to cover a teammates man on the wing if the team mate needs to help.

That positioning does leave Bailey vulnerable missing the box out if his man cuts from the corner to crash the boards on a shot from the opposite side.

Also, Bailey does still need to improve against the off ball high screen. Some of his biggest failures to close come when the player he is covering starts at the high post or foul line extended and either cuts or curls to the 3-point line (either curling in a semi-circle cut or fade or simple cuts) at the top of the key or to the wing. Bailey can get lost in the screening scrum and then you see him either slow to close at the 3-point line or sometimes on the switch you see him frantically scramble to FIND who he us supposed to switch to (often back to a player moving to the corner).

For example, against Illinois, #3 got several 3's off, making at least 1, vs Bailey with the offensive set described in the paragraph right above. And Riley made a 3 from the same set... Before Likiell switched Williams to Riley at the 8 minutes left mark of the 2nd half. Michigan ran that set repeatedly on the 2nd half at the key moment when RU Had pulled to within 2 points, getting Wolf a huge open 3, and several Goldin layups off the ensuing screen and roll and RU unsuccessful scramble to deal with the screening.

It LOOKS like Bailey is lost more times than he actually IS lost, IMO, because of the deliberate defensive positioning. But I will certainly admit he DOES lose hus positioning discipline at times. But has gotten much better executing the defensive scheme in my opinion. Which is why I label his defense "solid". Not great, but solid. Maybe "more solid than not" or "increasingly solid" may be better labels?

Rutgers 2025 Football Schedule: Best & Worst Scenarios, Season Prediction

Aug 30 Ohio - Win
Sept 6 Miami University - Win
Sept 13 Norfolk State - Win
Sept 20 Iowa - Loss
Sept 27 at Minnesota - Win
Oct 4 OPEN DATE
Oct 11 at Washington - Win
Oct 18 Oregon - Loss
Oct 25 at Purdue - Loss
Nov 1 at Illinois - Win
Nov 8 Maryland - Win
Nov 15 OPEN DATE
Nov 22 at Ohio State - Loss
Nov 29 Penn State - Loss
I see 6-6 at worst (get the firing squads ready if anything below this).

7-5/ 8-4 would be good.

9-3 with a NYD Bowl would be a great season.

Hot stretch has revived Rutgers' NCAA Tournament hopes, but Scarlet Knights need more to erase ugly losses

We don't have a favorable schedule, and have not shown any consistency all year. I'll enjoy the ride, but my mindset is that we are out - and have been for a long time. Anything is possible, but it seems after every win hope springs eternal. Odds are very much stacked against us - is a magic carpet ride possible? Sure. Is it probable? Absolutely not. 99% chance this team will not be able to outrun their past.
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Post Mortem by Lion - RU vs #23 Illinois

Rebounding yes.

Loses his man on a lot of possessions (watch him closely on every possession i’ll bet 1/2 of them he has no idea where his man off tge ball is)

Terrible at close outs
Didn’t Ace block a three point attempt on one of his close outs that led to a fast break dunk down the other end for Ace? Potential 5 point swing with that effort. I think his defense has improved, is it great? No, but many on this team have issues, Somerville constantly lost in pick and roll defense is my personal biggest glaring issue with the defense.

THE OFFICIAL 2024-2025 NET RANKINGS THREAD

rutgers lost to kennesaw and princeton with Harper...harper played first half of psu and didnt do much of anything..,, the nd, shu, psu at home games came down to the final shot, you just cannot pick and choose, every team has had injuries. This team was always going to play close games with a healthy harper..some they would win, some they would lose
Come on, yes every team has injuries but we are a totally different team without MAYBE the best point guard and top 10 player in the US!
As for PSU, he's had slow first half's and come on strong in second half a lot...NO WAY we are 1-7 with him healthy...NO way...Minimum 2/3 more wins...Huge difference to the record and feel...BTW, those two losses you mentioned could have been wins as well so they wash out the ND and SH wins...

Hot stretch has revived Rutgers' NCAA Tournament hopes, but Scarlet Knights need more to erase ugly losses

I have always thought the number was 20 wins. 19 might get it done depending on the wins. Regardless, they need to continue to win and then win several BIG Tourney games.
Winning B1G Tourney games isn't enough to make up for an entire body of work from the season

Now, winning the B1G Tourney, that would be something

THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-MARYLAND PREDICTION THREAD

Rutgers has the two best players but Maryland has more scoring threats.Maryland runs a far better half court offense.Both teams are mediocre 3 point shooters and have difficulty putting teams away because of scoring droughts.I agree that Bailey and Harper need to score at least 50 points.Rutgers needs to limit scoring within 3' of the basket.I expect plenty fouls to be called.

This definitely is a must win for Rutgers but the team lacks a consistent third scoring threat .
Maryland 77 Rutgers 71
Just need J-Will or Acuff to go ballistic and score, they seem to be the third wheel for Rutgers
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