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THE OFFICIAL 2024-2025 NET RANKINGS THREAD

Always have to worry about bid stealers . Even if in some years it is only 1 or 2. Teams that might bid steal , someone from the A-10 as either VCU or George Mason and Dayton are on the mix. Highly doubt committee will not take 2 from the A-10.

Drake is getting close to at large status in the MVC . Not there yet.
WCC becomes an issue. San Francisco beat St. Mary’s the other night. If they do it again in the conference tourney then win it all then 3 teams come out of the WCC , St. Mary’s , Gonzaga and San Francisco.
AAC American. Another issue. Gotta hope Memphis wins the tourney because they are almost a lock for at large . If they do , I think it is a 1 bid league.
Another issue is how good the SEC is , creates another issue. They are looking at a minimum of 12 and 13/14 is in play. That counteracts the ACC somewhat , which will only get 4 , with UNC , Wake and PITT battling for it.
Going to be very hard on the bubble this year as there might only be 10 spots out of 30 teams in contention as the major conferences specifically SEC, Big 10 and BIG 12 have a large number of teams at least 12,9 and 8 likely

In my opinion - only Dayton could be a legit At Large contender from the A-10 if they go on a win streak unless the committee buys into VCU’s gaudy NET. They have no good wins to this point and no real opportunities to pick any up.

Teams like SF or Boise stand as more of a threat because they still have opportunities to pick up meaningful wins.
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Rutgers 2025 Football Schedule: Best & Worst Scenarios, Season Prediction

I am not sure on that

Aug 30 Ohio - Win
Sept 6 Miami University - Win
Sept 13 Norfolk State - Win
Sept 20 Iowa - 50/50
Sept 27 at Minnesota - Win
Oct 4 OPEN DATE
Oct 11 at Washington - 50/50
Oct 18 Oregon - Loss
Oct 25 at Purdue - Win
Nov 1 at Illinois - 50/50
Nov 8 Maryland - Win
Nov 15 OPEN DATE
Nov 22 at Ohio State - Loss
Nov 29 Penn State - Loss

I think we have 6 lean wins and 3 lean losses with 3 50/50 games. Even if we go 1-2 in 50/50 games we get to 7 wins.

I think we will be more explosive on offense and better up front on defense. The secondary on paper will take a step back, but this past year our secondary was so beat up it might be the same or even better.
I think we finally take down a name B1G team this year, and IMO it's Iowa at home. Very good chance it'll be a Friday night game and the annual Blackout game so the stadium will be rocking and that'll lead us to a W over the Hawkeyes. Imagine how rowdy the stadium will be vs Oregon if we somehow find ourselves at 6-0 after a cross country trip in Seattle.

OT: Plane and helicopter collide in DC

Maybe we just had a horse shite pilot

There's info out there - unsubstantiated - that the helicopter was at the wrong altitude. Could be. Controllers deal with dumbassery from pilots all the time. I'm sure I did a dumbass thing or two, in spite of always trying not to be That Guy. BUT... The controller had all the information he needed, right on his scope. When I first posted in this thread I alluded to my sense that maybe he wasn't trying hard enough to manage the situation. I'm gonna say that's pretty close to reality.
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THE OFFICIAL 2024-2025 NET RANKINGS THREAD

I don't know why I keep getting sucked in but I just can't ignore when people say things like this.

I know it's opaque and whatnot but NET is essentially an advanced statistic.

If I published a ranking of teams by something like.. adjusted OREB% you would expect it to have a lot of cases where a better team, in your opinion, is ranked below a worse team.

Now adjusted efficiency is a lot more directly correlated with winning than OREB% is but it's still in essance a statistic. It can't be "wrong". You can disagree with its usefulness or the manner in which it is used but that is different.


By “wrong”, I simply mean the output it’s producing serves as a poor primary metric when it comes to selection - for sorting or classification. Lunardi has VCU in his next 4 out and NET could be the only possible justification for that.

The comparison to San Diego State demonstrates the clear flaw as a selection tool. Winning and not losing needs to matter more than efficiency no? It’s really messed up for that not to be the case. Both teams have 5 losses but SDSU has played way more quality opponents. VCU played 12 Q4 games vs 7 for SDSU. SDSU played 6 Q1 game and they are 3-3. VCU is 0-1. Beating the snot out of bad teams shouldn’t matter if youve only played one potential tournament team and have 5 losses.
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