3/2 BACATOLOGY: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS

[bac2therac]

Nevada rallied from down 13 and drains 3 with a second left to upset Colorado State 85-82.

Thats going to drop the Rams into last 4 in territory and move VCU to the last bye

Although there was a crazy inbound along sideline where prayer from sideline went up by came just after the buzzer sounded..excruciating

And actually they ruled he stepped out anyhow at .4 and Nevada inbounded to win

Madness!

 

[bac2therac]

 

[King of S]

Nevada rallied from down 13 and drains 3 with a second left to upset Colorado State 85-82.

Thats going to drop the Rams into last 4 in territory and move VCU to the last bye

Although there was a crazy inbound along sideline where prayer from sideline went up by came just after the buzzer sounded..excruciating

And actually they ruled he stepped out anyhow at .4 and Nevada inbounded to win

Madness!

Huge loss for Colorado St. !

 

[King of S]

Memphis will make the tournament.

 

[bac2therac]

Memphis will make the tournament.

Their only win of note is Wichita State. If they dont beat Houston forget about it

 

[G- RUnit]

Huge loss for Colorado St. !

I’m not so sure. Nevada at home is very good and not a bad record at all. Think Colorado State is fine.

St Bonnies and St.Louis I think are two best in A10. I haven’t seen Davidson all year though.

AAC will get two so either Wichita or Memphis or somebody after Houston... I think. Lol Vandy beating Cincy didn’t help.

 

[bac2therac]

I’m not so sure. Nevada at home is very good and not a bad record at all. Think Colorado State is fine.

St Bonnies and St.Louis I think are two best in A10. I haven’t seen Davidson all year though.

AAC will get two so either Wichita or Memphis or somebody after Houston... I think. Lol Vandy beating Cincy didn’t help.

Colorado State in must win situations going forward. Their profile is weak

 

[bigmatt718]

Colorado State in must win situations going forward. Their profile is weak

The MW at large teams are in deep doo doo.

 

[bac2therac]

BAC'S MORNING UPDATE...


9: LOYOLA CHICAGO, MARYLAND, RUTGERS, NORTH CAROLINA

10: MICHIGAN STATE, GEORGIA TECH, CONNECTICUT, LOUISVILLE

11: SAINT BONAVENTURE, WICHITA STATE, UCLA, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH

12: CAL-SANTA-BARBARA, WINTHROP, DRAKE, XAVIER, BOISE STATE, COLORADO STATE


FIRST FOUR BYES: CONNECTICUT, LOUISVILLE, UCLA, VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
LAST FOUR IN: COLORADO STATE, BOISE STATE, XAVIER, DRAKE

FIRST FOUR OUT: SAINT LOUIS, SYRACUSE, UTAH STATE, DUKE
NEXT FOUR OUT: SETON HALL, MISSISSIPPI, SAINT JOHN'S, MEMPHIS

 

[bac2therac]

The MW at large teams are in deep doo doo.

CSU's NET dropped to 50

Boise State is in the San Diego State bracket, if they even get by the 5 seed which should be Nevada, they MUST beat San Diego State to get in
Colorado State has to win their quaterfinal matchup and look to get paired with Utah State in the semis. Must win for them.
Utah State has to get to the finals to even have a shot, not even sure if that puts them as they are behind the other two bubbles at this point

The league will definitely not get 4, it could get 3 but there are scenarios where they only get 2.

 

[bigmatt718]

Hopefully RU wins so we don't have to stress about bubble teams anymore after today.

 

[bac2therac]

In the AAC Wichita State if they can beat USF tomorrow wins the regular season AAC title. That will help them going forward as an attractive at large. However the league is not getting 3 bids IMO, unless the bubble really collapses. Memphis only has one quality win, if they do not beat Houston this weekend, they have no at large shot. SMU with virtually no games played for weeks has no at large chances 8 straight games cancelled.

 

[bac2therac]

Saint Louis really needs to beat the Bonnies today. That could be enough for them. VCU also needs a win over Davidson today. I think St Bonnies is in okay shape if they lose but really have to see how things shake out. The A10 could get 3 bids but could also get 2.

 

[bigmatt718]

Robbins out vs RU today. Wonder if the Gophers other banged up players will opt to shut it down for the season as well.

 

[Scarlet Blind]

I don't understand ever putting a play-in game as a 12 seed, it hasn't happened, and probably never will. I think the NCAA likes the 2 play-in games as 6/11 seed games, the 5/12 games are traditional for upset since expanding to 64 or 68, as their bread and butter for upsets, 3 12s in 2018-19. 3 teams that I wouldn't want to play if I'm a 5, Winthrop, Liberty or Belmont. They would move 1 at large, like Drake or MWC at large, before they put a play-in at 12.

 

[Night Man]

I don't understand ever putting a play-in game as a 12 seed, it hasn't happened, and probably never will. I think the NCAA likes the 2 play-in games as 6/11 seed games, the 5/12 games are traditional for upset since expanding to 64 or 68, as their bread and butter for upsets, 3 12s in 2018-19. 3 teams that I wouldn't want to play if I'm a 5, Winthrop, Liberty or Belmont. They would move 1 at large, like Drake or MWC at large, before they put a play-in at 12.

It hasn't?

There was a 14 seed play-in several years ago. 14! What!

 

[bigmatt718]

I heard rumors that down the road the NCAA would add 2 more play in games to make it a Round of 72, and that if that happens, they'd play those Play In games at the Palestra in Philly. Not sure how valid those rumors are but I'd go to the play-in games every year at the Palestra. Bucket list place for a college hoops fan to watch a game.

 

[bac2therac]

I don't understand ever putting a play-in game as a 12 seed, it hasn't happened, and probably never will. I think the NCAA likes the 2 play-in games as 6/11 seed games, the 5/12 games are traditional for upset since expanding to 64 or 68, as their bread and butter for upsets, 3 12s in 2018-19. 3 teams that I wouldn't want to play if I'm a 5, Winthrop, Liberty or Belmont. They would move 1 at large, like Drake or MWC at large, before they put a play-in at 12.

um its already happened, in fact 13 seeds also were in the play in game so no its not always 11 seeds

 

[bac2therac]

I heard rumors that down the road the NCAA would add 2 more play in games to make it a Round of 72, and that if that happens, they'd play those Play In games at the Palestra in Philly. Not sure how valid those rumors are but I'd go to the play-in games every year at the Palestra. Bucket list place for a college hoops fan to watch a game.

the field doesnt need to be expanded, its watered down as it is. We would be putting schools that do not even have Quad 1 wins in the field

 

[Scarlet Blind]

It hasn't?

There was a 14 seed play-in several years ago. 14! What!

I guess I missed that, I was chasing a baby/infant/toddler in that 2011-13 time frame.

 

[RUfanSinceAnderson]

I think it rests on the last four at large teams. So if they are 11/12/13 that would drive it.

 

[Plum Street]

View embedded media

Lunardi has us lower than all the other guys it seems

 

[G- RUnit]

the field doesnt need to be expanded, its watered down as it is. We would be putting schools that do not even have Quad 1 wins in the field

I think that’s great. The more the merrier. Watered down is relative. So much parity hard to distinguish. I like more games to watch.

 

[Plum Street]

Bac ,

why don’t you start a blog, social media or site with your bracket projections . Tour analysis is just as good as these so called experts . Your stuff is better and more in depth than the local media.

 

[bac2therac]

thanks....yeah i dont have a use for a blog since I post everything here but I have get on the bracketmatrix for next year so I will have come up with a blog or page just for that to apply to it. I am sure some of the local media reference mine. Also the thing is alot of people who put out brackets do not put out their reasoning and just sort of put out brackets and do not take the time to explain why certain schools are where they are.

 

[bac2therac]

Lunardi has us lower than all the other guys it seems

yes but I see where he is coming from, but again he is confident that a win today wraps everything up

if RU loses they drop to last 4 in on many brackets

 

[Plum Street]

yes but I see where he is coming from, but again he is confident that a win today wraps everything up

if RU loses they drop to last 4 in on many brackets

And a loss Thursday would then drop us out I assume

 

[bac2therac]

Palm didnt even list RU is the bubble games today..interesting

 

[bac2therac]

And a loss Thursday would then drop us out I assume

not definitively, we could get selected...or not. I do not think anyone wants to be a fan going through a day like that.

 

[BigEastPhil]

If we lose 3 straight heading into Selection Sunday, we are asking for trouble especially losing to Nebraska and Minnesota.
Cannot lose today. Just Win! Play smart.

 

[gregkoko]

the field doesnt need to be expanded, its watered down as it is. We would be putting schools that do not even have Quad 1 wins in the field

100% agreed but hitting the Palestra for play-in games sounds fantastic

 

[bac2therac]

Rutgers wins....MOVES TO LOCK

UConn wins...MOVES TO LOCK

those two will jockeying for seeding near each other along with UNC/Ga Tech/MSU/UL/MD on the 9/10 lines

 

[Plum Street]

Rutgers wins....MOVES TO LOCK

UConn wins...MOVES TO LOCK

those two will jockeying for seeding near each other along with UNC/Ga Tech/MSU/UL/MD on the 9/10 lines

Would prefer the 10 line

 

[Luvscarletknights]

100% agreed but hitting the Palestra for play-in games sounds fantastic

Boy those A-10 games were so much fun.

 

[Pancho1939]

I thought we sucked and were a bubble team? Sucky bubble teams are not locks!

 

[RUtrumpet92]

Would prefer the 10 line

I guess you can root for us to get crushed Thursday?

 

[dvb91]

Nova struggling. With injuries (& losses), I wonder how much they tumble in seeding.

 

[bigmatt718]

Nova struggling. With injuries (& losses), I wonder how much they tumble in seeding.

They're in a danger zone. Could see them falling to a 4 or 5 seed.

 

[bac2therac]

at worst a 4

 

[Scarlet Shack]

Ok bac....here is how I see it for RU now ...you tell me if you see it this way

Rutgers loses to Indiana first round ...10 seed

Rutgers loses to Michigan state in first round ..9/10 seed

Rutgers beats Indiana ....9 seed

Rutgers beats Michigan state ...8/9 seed

Rutgers beats either Illinois/Michigan in the quarterfinal ...7 seed ...remain at
Above seed if they lose

Rutgers wins semifinal game against Purdue or Wisconsin ...6 /7 seed border

Rutgers wins big ten tournament ...with win over Ohio state or Iowa (5 seed) or win over Michigan (4 seed)