Bowl tie-ins by conference and an early look at filling them:
Sun Belt: four tie-ins (Cure Bowl in Orlando, Dec 19; Camellia Bowl in Montgomery AL, Dec 19; New Orleans Bowl, Dec 19; and GoDaddy.com Bowl, Mobile, AL, Dec 23)
Teams with most wins: Appalachian State, 6-1; Georgia Southern, 6-2; Arkansas State, 4-3; Idaho and South Alabama, 3-4. CBS projects UL Lafayette (currently 2-4) to be bowling as the 4th Sun Belt team.
PAC-12: seven tie-ins; currently two teams with 6 wins (Stanford and Utah) and five teams with 5 wins (Washington State 5-2, Oregon, California, UCLA, and Arizona), and three with four wins (USC, Arizona State, Colorado). Should have no trouble filling bids and probably can steal other open bids.
SEC: ten tie-ins, plus probably will land a team in the playoffs unless LSU, Ole Miss, and Alabama beat each other up too much. Five teams have 6+ wins now (Florida, LSU, Alabama, Ole Miss, Mississippi State); two with 5 wins (Georgia and Texas A&M); three with 4 wins (Kentucky, Missouri, and Auburn); and four with 3 wins (Tennessee, Vanderbilt, South Carolina and Arkansas). Probably get 11 teams to 6+ wins.
MAC: five tie-ins. Two teams with 6+ today (Bowling Green and Toledo), and three with 5 wins (Ohio, Western Michigan, and Northern Illinois. Also, Buffalo and Central Michigan are both 4-4. They will fill their slots and should have additional teams at .500 or better.
MOUNTAIN WEST: Wow - seven bowl tie-ins for 12 teams (two bowls are listed as BYU or Mtn West - I only include one slot here for that). Boise State has 6 wins. SDSU has 5. There are five teams at 4 wins and Colorado State is 3-4. A good chance they will get all seven filled but it is possible they will fall one short if they beat each other up the wrong way.
C-USA: Six bowl tie-ins. Already have two teams with 6+ wins (Marshall and Western Kentucky) and two with 5 (La Tech and Southern Miss). Also two 4 win teams (Rice and FIU) and three with 3 wins (UTEP, Mid Tenn State, and Old Dominion.) Good shot at filling all six slots.
INDEPENDENTS: BYU has a tie-in with the Mtn West bowls and is qualified already. Notre Dame will get an at-large to the BCS level games if they win enough going forward, or an ACC bid. Army is 2-6 and should not win out at Air Force and Navy and at home vs Tulane and Rutgers. I expect they won't even get to 5 wins.
BIG 12: Seven slots, counting the Sugar Bowl tie-in and two combo bowls with the B1G. Four teams already qualified (TCU, Baylor, OSU, Oklahoma); Texas Tech has five wins. Three teams at 3-4 (Texas, Kansas State, and WVU). Might not get enough to fill all bowls, especially if their champion makes the playoffs. Iowa State (2 wins) and Kansas (winless) won't be bowling.
B1G: Nine slots if I understand the combined ACC/B1G spots correctly - plus a playoff team is OSU/MSU/Iowa finish strong - plus at least one more BCS at-large with the above. Six teams have 6+ wins (MSU, OSU, PSU, Iowa, Wisconsin, Northwestern); Michigan has 5; four wins for Indiana, Illinois, and Minnesota; and of course RU and Nebraska have 3 wins each. Minnesota and Illinois have some challenging games ahead and the loser of their game on Nov 21 might not get to six wins. Indiana will need to beat Purdue and Maryland, probably, because it will be tough for them to beat Iowa or Michigan.
ACC: Eight slots, plus a playoff spot if Clemson keeps it up. Five teams have 6+ wins (Clemson, FSU, UNC, Duke, Pitt); NC State has 5 wins; Miami has 4 wins; and six teams with 3 wins (Louisville, Syracuse, Wake Forest, BC, VT, and GT). Interesting stat: GT has 18 straight bowl appearances, so that is in jeopardy for sure. They still play Virginia, VT, Miami, and UGA. It will be close to fill those slots.
AMERICAN: Seven slots, plus the champion figures to get a BCS spot as the best Group of Five team. Three teams are at 7 wins (Memphis, Houston, Tulane); Navy is 5-1; and three have 4 wins (South Florida, East Carolina, and Cincinnati). UConn and Tulsa have 3 wins. No bowls for Tulane, SMU, or UCF. Feels more likely to fall short than to fill all bids.
This does not account for all of the at-large BCS spots, so there could be a few more that fall short.
And of course, nobody read all of that. :)