kenpom preseason ratings are up

[Greene Rice FIG]

Fri Nov 10 NR City Coll. of New York W 100% Home
Sun Nov 12 342 Central Connecticut W, 78-59 69 96% Home
Tue Nov 14 265 Cleveland St. W, 76-65 73 85% Home
Sun Nov 19 345 Coppin St. W, 82-61 72 97% Home
Tue Nov 21 320 Bryant W, 80-65 72 91% Home
Fri Nov 24 171 East Carolina W, 72-66 71 71% Home
Tue Nov 28 55 Florida St. L, 76-72 74 35% Home
Sun Dec 3 36 Minnesota L, 79-65 72 11% Away ×
Tue Dec 5 10 Michigan St. L, 76-66 70 17% Home ×
Thu Dec 7 296 NJIT W, 77-64 71 88% Home
Sat Dec 9 259 Fairleigh Dickinson W, 79-68 73 84% Home
Tue Dec 12 190 Fordham W, 70-63 69 74% Home
Sat Dec 16 28 Seton Hall L, 75-68 71 24% Home
Fri Dec 22 197 Stony Brook W, 73-65 70 75% Home
Thu Dec 28 314 Hartford W, 77-63 71 91% Home
Wed Jan 3 17 Purdue L, 81-65 72 7% Away ×
Fri Jan 5 31 Wisconsin L, 70-64 68 27% Home ×
Wed Jan 10 10 Michigan St. L, 80-62 70 5% Away ×
Sun Jan 14 78 Ohio St. L, 72-71 71 49% Home ×
Wed Jan 17 54 Iowa L, 76-72 73 35% Home ×
Sun Jan 21 32 Michigan L, 76-63 68 11% Away ×
Wed Jan 24 98 Nebraska W, 70-69 71 55% Home ×
Sat Jan 27 40 Penn St. L, 77-65 73 12% Away ×
Tue Jan 30 104 Illinois L, 73-68 72 32% Away ×
Sat Feb 3 17 Purdue L, 77-69 72 21% Home ×
Mon Feb 5 65 Indiana L, 74-72 72 40% Home ×
Sat Feb 10 98 Nebraska L, 72-66 71 30% Away ×
Tue Feb 13 18 Northwestern L, 73-65 69 22% Home ×
Sat Feb 17 41 Maryland L, 77-65 71 13% Away ×
Tue Feb 20 78 Ohio St. L, 75-67 71 26% Away ×
Sun Feb 25 104 Illinois W, 72-70 72 57% Home ×

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Michigan St. 0-0 0-0 13-5 +22.67 10 113.7 9 91.0 15 72.2 256 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 295 North Florida 8:00 PM (W, 90-62, 99%)
Purdue 0-0 0-0 12-6 +19.74 17 112.5 13 92.8 32 73.8 124 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 302 SIU Edwardsville 8:00 PM (W, 88-62, 99%)
Northwestern 0-0 0-0 11-7 +19.69 18 111.6 19 91.9 22 70.8 318 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 257 Loyola MD 8:30 PM (W, 81-59, 98%)
Wisconsin 0-0 0-0 11-7 +17.62 31 108.8 50 91.2 16 69.7 340 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 348 South Carolina St. 7:00 PM (W, 85-55, 100%)
Michigan 0-0 0-0 10-8 +16.92 32 112.0 17 95.1 55 69.8 338 +0.00 1 11/11, vs 295 North Florida 7:30 PM (W, 86-63, 98%)
Minnesota 0-0 0-0 10-8 +16.56 36 109.0 47 92.4 28 74.3 94 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 280 USC Upstate 8:00 PM (W, 87-65, 98%)
Penn St. 0-0 0-0 10-8 +15.34 40 106.8 60 91.5 19 74.3 91 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 215 Campbell 4:00 PM (W, 82-64, 95%)
Maryland 0-0 0-0 9-9 +15.13 41 108.9 48 93.8 36 72.9 211 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 197 Stony Brook 7:00 PM (W, 77-66, 84%)
Iowa 0-0 0-0 9-9 +13.34 54 108.8 51 95.4 57 75.2 45 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 334 Chicago St. 9:00 PM (W, 88-62, 99%)
Indiana 0-0 0-0 8-10 +11.42 65 109.1 45 97.7 92 73.3 168 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 203 Indiana St. 7:00 PM (W, 82-68, 90%)
Ohio St. 0-0 0-0 7-11 +7.85 78 105.1 84 97.2 81 73.0 202 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 321 Robert Morris 7:00 PM (W, 80-61, 96%)
Nebraska 0-0 0-0 6-12 +5.64 98 101.8 144 96.2 67 72.7 220 +0.00 1 11/11, vs 205 Eastern Illinois TBA (W, 76-66, 82%)
Illinois 0-0 0-0 5-13 +4.78 104 102.0 141 97.2 80 73.8 126 +0.00 1 11/10, vs 330 Southern 8:00 PM (W, 83-64, 95%)
Rutgers 0-0 0-0 5-13 +2.67 125 100.3 177 97.6 89 72.0 270 +0.00 1 11/10, vs City Coll. of New York

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

10-3 5-13 15-16 is their prediction.

 

[NJDOVES]

10-3 5-13 15-16 is their prediction.

OOC is close, maybe one win off in my viewpoint and I see 3 more conference wins. (Ohio State and Penn State for sure).
19 -12 is my prediction. Fingers crossed, no major injuries- need a full bench...

 

[bowlgoal]

I’m still in the 17-19 win range. I think everything has to go right to get to 19 but anything in my range would be acceptable to me.

 

[RUONTHERISE]

18-13, 7-11 big ten

 

[Scarlet Shack]

Feeling we will do better than 5-13 and 15-16....

Minimum I see is reversing our 14-17 regular season record to 17-14....

 

[RU at the shore]

I'll take any of the above...

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

A few of my early benchpoints.....

Will we start 6-0. kenpom says it is about a 50/50 chance

Will we win by 20+ in 4 of the 5 1st games? Playing teams ranked in 300s a win is not a win. Want to see dominance

Do we get 1 of 3 of 3 consecutive games starting in a little over a month from now....FSU, @minny, Mich St

 

[BillyC80]

Looking at 15 home wins and 2 away, regular season. Get one win in the tourney for 18 total.

Btw, strange to see two B1G games in the middle of our OOC schedule.

 

[Mr Magoo]

10-3 5-13 15-16 is their prediction.

that sounds about right to me.

 

[MV9000]

I think we win 15-17 games. Corey stays next year + Carter, Kiss, Montez and another year for Duke well skies the limit

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I think the major takeaway from this information....if you take it on face value.

Although we are on the bottom we are in a group on the bottom (RU, Ill, Neb, Ohio State) and not far from the next tier (really only Indiana) who is really close to the next tier who are NCAA hopefuls.

If I were to look at this I think....
Wisconsin---they are overrating
Purdue--they are underrating
Maryland--they are underrating
Iowa---they are underating

not sure what to think about Penn State, most will think they are overrating

They have in NCAAs
3-Mich state
5-Purdue
5-Northwestern
8-Wisconsin
8-Michigan
9-Minnesota
10-Penn State
11-Maryland

NIT
Iowa
Indiana

 

[Scarlet Knut]

I think we will end up with minimum of 17 wins and possibly as many as 19.

 

[RUChoppin]

Removing some of the details from the conference list to make this a little easier to read...

10 Michigan State (x2)
17 Purdue (x2)
18 Northwestern
31 Wisconsin
32 Michigan
36 Minnesota
40 PA State
48 Maryland
51 Iowa
65 Indiana
78 Ohio State (x2)
98 Nebraska (x2)
104 Illinois (x2)
125 Rutgers

3 teams in the Top 25, 8 in the Top 50 (with Iowa just outside at 51).

A lot of change for us in the offseason, so hard to get a bead from a preseason prediction perspective - hoping we surprise a few teams.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Take a look at the Big 12. If kenpom is right there could be 8 or 9 out of 10 in NCAAs

Also they have St. John's decent

 

[PiscatawayMike]

As long as we have more wins than losses at season's end, I'll be happy.

 

[Shimmy24]

KenPom vs. Maryland fans, the college basketball rivalry that nobody talks about. But in all seriousness, having PSU over MD is pretty ridiculous.

 

[shields]

Think we beat Florida State at home.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Think we beat Florida State at home.

that is your early season lithmus test

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

KenPom vs. Maryland fans, the college basketball rivalry that nobody talks about. But in all seriousness, having PSU over MD is pretty ridiculous.

They have you the same as PSU. In fairness to kenpom, they have you guys about the same as last year offensively and defensively despite no Trimble. They are assuming the improvement in the young guys offsets Trimble leaving. I actually think you will be better this year.

On to Penn State....they are assuming a decent jump both offensively and defensively. They have them 19th in the country in defensive efficiency. I have a tough time believing that one. I am VERY bullish on Penn State's talent. If they mesh and Chambers can coach I can easily see them equaling or better the kenpom estimates. Carr and Watkins are very good.