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Last night, while playing poker, I heard a drip-drip-drip start around 11 pm. I let it collect in a bowl until poker was over and then figured out it was likely just blockage at the gutter, since the water was coming in from the bay window just underneath the gutter. This is a low-pitch part of our roof, over our family room (maybe only a 20 degree angle pitch), which leaked before after big snowstorms, but usually at the seam with the rest of the house, which I could see from the attic - was hoping the re-roofing we did a few years ago would've stopped that and I think it did.This is going to be great for the ice dam on my garage.
A little late to the party. Local channels have said this for daysFor those of you looking for this pattern to break, that might well just happen by early next week, as the AO (Arctic Oscillation) is forecast to go positive for the first time since late Dec and that usually means warmer temperatures in the NE US, as a +AO typically means the very cold air up north gets trapped up above 55N, roughly. Really good post on the pattern change from donsutherland at the link below on 33andrain. He also has a ton of info on the record cold hitting the Plains and SE over the next few days, as well as the crazy snows in Dallas/Houston and the freezing rain east of there.
https://www.33andrain.com/topic/195...vers-evolution/?do=findComment&comment=277851
The Climate Prediction Center certainly thinks that's likely, as per the map below for a bit above normal temps for the NE US from 2/22-2/28. The question then becomes whether that patter stays in place or we see a return to the current "blocking" pattern with plenty of cold air and chances for wintry precip - longer range models are not in agreement on this. Until then, we still have potential wintry events on 2/16 (thread on that), 2/18 (probably some snow to rain for most), and 2/22 (possibly wintry).
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections/ao/
Not late to the party, just late to posting the info here. Not worth the effort sometimes.A little late to the party. Local channels have said this for days
Well it’s not as if he advertised it as an exclusive.A little late to the party. Local channels have said this for days
Interesting stuff and well appreciated. Thanks for that information.For those of you looking for this pattern to break, that might well just happen by early next week, as the AO (Arctic Oscillation) is forecast to go positive for the first time since late Dec and that usually means warmer temperatures in the NE US, as a +AO typically means the very cold air up north gets trapped up above 55N, roughly. Really good post on the pattern change from donsutherland at the link below on 33andrain. He also has a ton of info on the record cold hitting the Plains and SE over the next few days, as well as the crazy snows in Dallas/Houston and the freezing rain east of there.
https://www.33andrain.com/topic/195...vers-evolution/?do=findComment&comment=277851
The Climate Prediction Center certainly thinks that's likely, as per the map below for a bit above normal temps for the NE US from 2/22-2/28. The question then becomes whether that patter stays in place or we see a return to the current "blocking" pattern with plenty of cold air and chances for wintry precip - longer range models are not in agreement on this. Until then, we still have potential wintry events on 2/16 (thread on that), 2/18 (probably some snow to rain for most), and 2/22 (possibly wintry).
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections/ao/
Damn Global Warming!Nearly three-quarters of US covered in snow, most in 18 years
Damn Global Warming!
Last year was hot too it seemed in jerseyalso get ready for a hot summer...one of those 11 year cycles....77, 88, 99, 10, and now 2021...like clockwork it happens
52 tomorrow and the 60s next week. Global warming is AWESOME!also get ready for a hot summer...one of those 11 year cycles....77, 88, 99, 10, and now 2021...like clockwork it happens
I remember '10 being a very temperate summer. '11 was the surface of the sun.also get ready for a hot summer...one of those 11 year cycles....77, 88, 99, 10, and now 2021...like clockwork it happens
I remember '10 being a very temperate summer. '11 was the surface of the sun.
we have had cold Marchs and April for a while now. We are due for a warm start to spring. I still remember March 2012..incredibly warm, we had 70s and 80s as earlier as March 11 I think
April was chillly into May
Highs forecasted in mid 60s next week means 70 for some..those days usually overperform away from the coast
Sayreville-Old Bridge overperform all it time it seems, always noticed that, rarely it's cooler than projected.Highs forecasted in mid 60s next week means 70 for some..those days usually overperform away from the coast
Once I change over to shorts in April there is no going back. All my non work jeans get washed/dry/folded and put away until the fall. Last year there were days I regretted my early April decision. 😆Absolutely. I still started my annual shorts only after Apr 30th pledge but it was chilly.
Most snow in open areas with full sun are melted in Metuchen. We're lucky enough to have a very shady property and still have 3-5" of very dense snow/ice on over 80% of our property (and 100% of the front yard). I'm sure many are jealous.60's will help melt the last few piles of snow and get soil temps up. They're hovering around 35 right now in Hamilton. Nowhere near ready to throw down pre-emergents.
Where are you? My parents live in OB in Madison Park which is right on the Sayreville borderSayreville-Old Bridge overperform all it time it seems, always noticed that, rarely it's cooler than projected.
Lower Sayreville and I know Madison Park very well.Where are you? My parents live in OB in Madison Park which is right on the Sayreville border
Most snow in open areas with full sun are melted in Metuchen. We're lucky enough to have a very shady property and still have 3-5" of very dense snow/ice on over 80% of our property (and 100% of the front yard). I'm sure many are jealous.
yeah, my Shore FB friends all alerted me to that on FB - I've trained them well, lol...sunshine here...Hey #s, it's snowing down here. Hop in the car and hustle down lol.
It's gorgeous out there now - 65F right now, several above the forecast. Wife and I just picked up pizza and ate it in Roosevelt Park and took a nice walk around. I'm about to go play a round of disc golf at RU and will likely play again with some friends on Thursday. I love snow, but I love every season really, especially Spring.70 on Thursday
The payoff to a rough winter is the warmth of spring, there is really nothing that compares and it's something more of the southern part of our country never experiences.It's gorgeous out there now - 65F right now, several above the forecast. Wife and I just picked up pizza and ate it in Roosevelt Park and took a nice walk around. I'm about to go play a round of disc golf at RU and will likely play again with some friends on Thursday. I love snow, but I love every season really, especially Spring.