OT: Major winter storm 3/20-21?

bac2therac

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Euro coming in hot today...note it currently says many of us already have 2-4 to the shore

IMG_2133.PNG.ecacbadb015cabfd1e60da7f5547d484.PNG
 

RU848789

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2.5" OTG as of 1:00 pm and 2.0" OTG as of 12:30 pm, so 1" per hour the last half hour - coming down moderately to almost heavily. 32F. Streets getting covered again. Beautiful dendrites - this must be at least 10:1 ratio snow. NWS-Philly still holding fast to forecast, as is NWS-NYC just recently.

3.0" as of 2 pm, which is a 1/2" per hour rate, which is what I would've guessed with 1/2 mile visibility and moderate snow; streets now mostly snow-covered after that hour of decent snowfall rate. 3" seems respectable at this point. It just went from moderate to light though, as we're now in a 15 DBZ zone - but it looks like it's filling in to our east with 20-25 DBZ stuff and heading this way in 5-10 minutes. At this rate, we'd likely get to about 7-8", but I keep hoping we eventually get into one of those 1-2" per hour bands for an hour or two - need that to get to 12". It's freakin' gorgeous outside though.
 

TonyLieske

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Still not much down here in Vineland/Millville. There is a dusting on the grass areas but nothing sticking to roads or sidewalks.

If has been snowing on and off since ~10:00 AM, but it seems to melt as fast as it comes down. Hoping it can stay like this for at least a couple more hours.
 

MulletCork

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Sep 1, 2012
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Here in townhouse in Scotch Plains, roads are thankfully still blacktop, as well as the parking lot and the sidewalks. Shoveled off the deck though, about an hour ago, and it has a coating again already. Was pretty nice outside still, as the winds haven't picked up at all. Mailman and Amazon out and about making deliveries still too. Snow lessened in the last half hour. Light snowfall now.
 

RocktheRac

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Talked to someone in Washington Twp Warren County. 2 or 3 inches plow just came by street. I'm guess over 2 since plows don't go out till at least 2.
 

Abro1975

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I wonder if the Rider baseball game will be postponed today?
RU hosts Penn St Friday- Sunday.

And some wonder why most of the best HS players go South.
 
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DJ Spanky

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Got about 4.5 inches here in Wayne.

1LRwlUv.jpg


Roads are covered:

QiT8o8r.jpg


These shots were at 2 PM.
 

RUPete

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Still blacktop on French Street/Route 27 in NB. Do you think it will be difficult to hit those 8-12 inch or 10-14 inch predictions at this point? I won't be heartbroken about it, just curious.
 

RU848789

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3.0" as of 2 pm, which is a 1/2" per hour rate, which is what I would've guessed with 1/2 mile visibility and moderate snow; streets now mostly snow-covered after that hour of decent snowfall rate. 3" seems respectable at this point. It just went from moderate to light though, as we're now in a 15 DBZ zone - but it looks like it's filling in to our east with 20-25 DBZ stuff and heading this way in 5-10 minutes. At this rate, we'd likely get to about 7-8", but I keep hoping we eventually get into one of those 1-2" per hour bands for an hour or two - need that to get to 12". It's freakin' gorgeous outside though.
And 3.5" and 31F at 3 pm, so another 1/2" per hour. Nice, but we need the rates and if earthlight/John Homenuk (driving force behind 33andrain and NY Metro Weather and a damn fine and brilliant young man) is correct they're coming; see the link to his tweets below. Would love to get into those 1-2" per hour rates and at least break 10" by the time this is done. Stunningly gorgeous out there. Streets now mostly covered with 1/2-1" of slushy snow. According to the HRRR I still have 6-7" more to come, which would get me to 10"; if the Euro is right, I should get to 12-13".

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw...
 

bac2therac

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Still blacktop on French Street/Route 27 in NB. Do you think it will be difficult to hit those 8-12 inch or 10-14 inch predictions at this point? I won't be heartbroken about it, just curious.


its possible for the areas that get under banding which is still an unknown, where the CCB sets up,

looks like there will not be a foot on blacktop so thats a good thing. I have probably 3 here taking into consideration compaction and its still not sticking to roads and parking lot has puddles so that will take time to overcome when the heavier rates come down. Sun sets later now so we have a while but I am assuming the timing of the heaviest snow should conincide with sun angle now longer a factor so from 5 to midnight we get our accumulating snows with some lingering snows after that too. So while the big amounts may seem obsence..if we end up with a high end of 10..maybe only 5 or 6 of that is on the road....it could be 8 and only 4 on the pavement.
 

RU848789

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Still blacktop on French Street/Route 27 in NB. Do you think it will be difficult to hit those 8-12 inch or 10-14 inch predictions at this point? I won't be heartbroken about it, just curious.
If the 750 mbar upper level low moves to just off the coast around Toms River, as projected, the heavy snow being seen in E PA (8-12" out there) should come to most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC. If that happens, I could see most folks north of 195 getting to 8" and maybe even to 10" with a shot a foot. If it doesn't happen and people get 1/2" to maybe 1" per hour at times, then plenty of people will finish with 5-8" (I think we finish at 8" if no heavy bands here and 12" if we get the heavy bands). Hard to know for sure we'll get them, but the heavy stuff appears to be on tits way for many/most of us.
 

RU4Real

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If the 750 mbar upper level low moves to just off the coast around Toms River, as projected, the heavy snow being seen in E PA (8-12" out there) should come to most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC. If that happens, I could see most folks north of 195 getting to 8" and maybe even to 10" with a shot a foot. If it doesn't happen and people get 1/2" to maybe 1" per hour at times, then plenty of people will finish with 5-8" (I think we finish at 8" if no heavy bands here and 12" if we get the heavy bands). Hard to know for sure we'll get them, but the heavy stuff appears to be on tits way for many/most of us.

I'm sitting in an Embassy Suites near King of Prussia and we're nowhere near 8" right now. Maybe 5ish.
 
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RUPete

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I'll sign for those totals now given what we are looking at 24-36 hours ago.
 

rutgersguy1

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Snow has picked up in SB, all day has been black top but now a coating is on the road/sidewalks. Seems like the other storm where it picked up in the afternoon. Hopefully, not as destructive as that one.

EDIT: Just checked the SBPD nixle and they have similar comments to RU#s that trend is a little dryer and could lead to blowing/drifting snow but fewer downed trees/outages. Hope so.
 
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PaKnight

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It has been sticking in Bucks county since 8 am, the heaviest snow started about half an hour ago. We had about 4 or 5 at two when is shoveled.
 

RU848789

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Here's the latest NWS snowfall map showing how much snow is expected to fall after 2 pm today. We had 3" at 2 pm and would get about 9" more from this map, which would be 12" total, which is what I predicted. I can live with that. And the 2nd map is the revised NWS-NYC map for snow to fall after 10 am this morning, which essentially is 90% or more of the total, as little had fallen in these counties before 10 am.

29472262_10213514162122470_54741132009013248_n.jpg


29472559_10213514174162771_3320930453422080000_n.jpg
 

bac2therac

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If the 750 mbar upper level low moves to just off the coast around Toms River, as projected, the heavy snow being seen in E PA (8-12" out there) should come to most of CNJ/NNJ/NYC. If that happens, I could see most folks north of 195 getting to 8" and maybe even to 10" with a shot a foot. If it doesn't happen and people get 1/2" to maybe 1" per hour at times, then plenty of people will finish with 5-8" (I think we finish at 8" if no heavy bands here and 12" if we get the heavy bands). Hard to know for sure we'll get them, but the heavy stuff appears to be on tits way for many/most of us.


i know you get excited over snow but never heard it described as "on tits way" before:p