No major concerns yet, but as we enter the busiest period in the tropical season in the Atlantic Basin, it's time to start paying attention to a few potential systems and the pattern in general, which has become more favorable for Cape Verde systems. The Cape Verde season looks like it's about to kick off, as PTC (potential tropical cyclone - new terminology) #6 is poised to become Tropical Storm Florence in the next day or two, just south of the Cape Verde Islands. However, this storm is likely to move NW after that and become a fish storm.
The more interesting potential is for some of the African waves after that - if any of those starts developing next week, given the steering patterns in the western Attlantic, where strong high pressure will be situated, they would likely move mostly westward across the Atlantic, threatening the Caribbean and maybe eventually places like Florida/the GOM/Mexico. Way, way, way too far to worry about yet, but worth watching.
Roughly 85 percent of all Atlantic major hurricanes have origins traceable to tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa, near or south of the Cape Verde Islands. These tropical waves are driven by the contrast of dry heat over the Sahara over far northern Africa and the cooler, more humid air over the far wetter regions in central Africa.
Also, as of right now, there's an area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean that is forecast to meander towards and across Florida over the next few days and has some small chance of becoming a tropical system in the Gulf next week. Even if it doesn't become tropical it is likely to bring some heavy and possibly flooding rains to the northern Gulf Coast.
And finally, the eastern Pacific has a bunch of tropical systems, including Cat 4 Norman, although none of these is likely to threaten any landmasses - it's been a record month in that area.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/P...orence-Gulf-Mexico-Needs-be-Watched-Next-Week
The more interesting potential is for some of the African waves after that - if any of those starts developing next week, given the steering patterns in the western Attlantic, where strong high pressure will be situated, they would likely move mostly westward across the Atlantic, threatening the Caribbean and maybe eventually places like Florida/the GOM/Mexico. Way, way, way too far to worry about yet, but worth watching.
Roughly 85 percent of all Atlantic major hurricanes have origins traceable to tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa, near or south of the Cape Verde Islands. These tropical waves are driven by the contrast of dry heat over the Sahara over far northern Africa and the cooler, more humid air over the far wetter regions in central Africa.
Also, as of right now, there's an area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean that is forecast to meander towards and across Florida over the next few days and has some small chance of becoming a tropical system in the Gulf next week. Even if it doesn't become tropical it is likely to bring some heavy and possibly flooding rains to the northern Gulf Coast.
And finally, the eastern Pacific has a bunch of tropical systems, including Cat 4 Norman, although none of these is likely to threaten any landmasses - it's been a record month in that area.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/P...orence-Gulf-Mexico-Needs-be-Watched-Next-Week