Real Clear Politics Presidential approval at 45%

Discussion in 'Current Events, Politics and Off Topic Banter' started by leftoright, Jun 14, 2019.

  1. leftoright

    leftoright All Conference
    Gold Member
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2017
    Messages:
    4,913
    Likes Received:
    1,927
  2. colbert17

    colbert17 All American
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2014
    Messages:
    6,416
    Likes Received:
    4,825
    Location:
    Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
    I would always add a couple of points to the President's numbers as there are still closet Trump supporters out there.
     
  3. bac2therac

    bac2therac Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2001
    Messages:
    127,763
    Likes Received:
    30,842
    Location:
    Belle Mead NJ
    tv says no one likes himo_O
     
    T2Kplus10 likes this.
  4. colbert17

    colbert17 All American
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2014
    Messages:
    6,416
    Likes Received:
    4,825
    Location:
    Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
    The Left criticizes Rasmussen saying that it leans Republican. But it seems that they are the only ones polling "Likely Voters" while almost all the others are looking at "Registered Voters." In other words people who actually vote have a better view of the President then most.
     
    leftoright likes this.
  5. okieKnight908

    okieKnight908 Senior
    Gold Member
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2015
    Messages:
    2,360
    Likes Received:
    4,482
  6. bac2therac

    bac2therac Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2001
    Messages:
    127,763
    Likes Received:
    30,842
    Location:
    Belle Mead NJ
    fake news
     
    Caliknight likes this.
  7. ashokan

    ashokan Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    May 3, 2011
    Messages:
    10,996
    Likes Received:
    8,226
    Many MSM polls oversample Dems by design. They excuse it by saying Dem registrations vastly outnumber GOP registrations so they will sample more Dems. But a lot of Dem registrations are equivalent to junk mail because they have so many ways of registering people who dont even vote. Dems are waiting at the womb with registrations. More fetuses would survive if Dems could register them
     
  8. Kbee3

    Kbee3 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2002
    Messages:
    30,546
    Likes Received:
    19,862
    Of course it is.
    [laughing][laughing]:rolleyes:[laughing][laughing]
     
  9. zappaa

    zappaa Hall of Famer
    Gold Member
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2001
    Messages:
    40,975
    Likes Received:
    28,583
    Location:
    Montclair NJ
  10. miker183

    miker183 Senior
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 14, 2014
    Messages:
    1,648
    Likes Received:
    1,210
    I'll give them this, they ARE persistent.
     
    Caliknight and NorthernKnight like this.
  11. zappaa

    zappaa Hall of Famer
    Gold Member
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2001
    Messages:
    40,975
    Likes Received:
    28,583
    Location:
    Montclair NJ
    Those damn subliminal cuts
     
  12. lighty

    lighty All American
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 13, 2003
    Messages:
    9,836
    Likes Received:
    3,925
    That was certainly proven in 2018.
     
    NotInRHouse and knightfan7 like this.
  13. Caliknight

    Caliknight Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2001
    Messages:
    99,161
    Likes Received:
    33,141
    Tards are so set up to fall again. This is going to be so great!!!
     
  14. Proud NJ Sports Fan

    Proud NJ Sports Fan Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    May 11, 2010
    Messages:
    18,322
    Likes Received:
    7,237
    Location:
    Sussex
    He's the best!

    Speaks for the people
     
  15. RUinFla

    RUinFla Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2001
    Messages:
    14,122
    Likes Received:
    2,471
    Location:
    Stuart, Florida
  16. IMARUFAN

    IMARUFAN All Conference
    Gold Member
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2015
    Messages:
    3,502
    Likes Received:
    7,637
    Presidential disapproval at 55%
     
    Kbee3 and NotInRHouse like this.
  17. mildone

    mildone Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Dec 19, 2011
    Messages:
    34,615
    Likes Received:
    30,203
    Trumptards gonna Trumptard.
     
    RUboston, Kbee3 and NotInRHouse like this.
  18. RUfinal4

    RUfinal4 Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2006
    Messages:
    14,563
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    the general nationwide polls are useless. It comes down to a handful of states so when the nationwide polls have 80% of NJ and NY voters going blue it skews the results.

    This is the only analysis that matters
    https://www.270towin.com/maps/yJPGk

    based on this map
    I will give the GOP FL and AZ with the Dems taking MI and PA. WI is a tossup.
     
  19. rutgersdave

    rutgersdave Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2004
    Messages:
    16,904
    Likes Received:
    6,944
    That is correct. The states that matter are Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16) and Pennsylvania (20) equal (46) plus (238) equals (284). I think the Democrats in those states WOKE up and will vote this time not assuming their vote doesn’t count. We will see by next year.
     
    RUboston and NotInRHouse like this.
  20. NotInRHouse

    NotInRHouse Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2007
    Messages:
    56,530
    Likes Received:
    31,762
    Rasmussen...who said the GOP would hold the House?

    They have no credibility.
     
  21. NotInRHouse

    NotInRHouse Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2007
    Messages:
    56,530
    Likes Received:
    31,762
  22. NotInRHouse

    NotInRHouse Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2007
    Messages:
    56,530
    Likes Received:
    31,762
    Woah, is 55 more than 45?

    Numbers are biased. Fake news. Also Hillary. And Benghazi. And emails.
     
    RUboston likes this.
  23. RUfinal4

    RUfinal4 Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2006
    Messages:
    14,563
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    Approval and disapproval don't matter if Trump's approval is 1% higher than his opponent in FL, AZ, PA, MI, WI, and OH. That is kind of what happened in 2016.

    overall approval can be at 40% but in those states the dem opponent can be at 39%.
     
  24. HALL85

    HALL85 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2001
    Messages:
    26,064
    Likes Received:
    5,737
    Agree national polling means nothing except for the idiots pining to abolish the Electoral College. Those swing states will decide the election, yet again. I can't imagine the Democratic candidate is going to be as unlikable or as stupid as HRC, but Trump has a record to run on, which he didn't in 2016. So will the swing states value character or a vibrant economy (jobs, security, etc.)?

    I'll reserve judgement until we see the Democratic candidate and what their strategy is. And then see what kinds of crowds they are drawing in comparison to Trump. Recall in 2016 that Trump sold out the largest arena in Scranton (lines around the block) and HRC couldn't draw flies in a gymnasium there (and that was her hometown!).
     
  25. RUfinal4

    RUfinal4 Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2006
    Messages:
    14,563
    Likes Received:
    1,352
    The changed my mind voters in these states will matter.

    Both CNN and MSNBC found a number of Iowa farmers who voted for Trump who said they will not vote for him this time. There are probably a number of voters in swing states who went HRC that have had better employment prosperity the past couple of years and will go Trump this time.

    With 18 months to go for the election a lot can happen in the macro environment that affects voting patterns..
     
  26. colbert17

    colbert17 All American
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2014
    Messages:
    6,416
    Likes Received:
    4,825
    Location:
    Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
    They have no credibility because of that? If getting poll numbers wrong is the benchmark then I guess every polling organization lost it's credibility with you in 2016?
     
  27. BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine

    BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2015
    Messages:
    10,322
    Likes Received:
    7,370
    Fake news.
     
    Caliknight likes this.
  28. BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine

    BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine Heisman Winner
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2015
    Messages:
    10,322
    Likes Received:
    7,370
    Rasmussen didn't call the House for R's in 2018, #Nut is b.s.'ing again.
     
    Caliknight likes this.
  29. rudad02

    rudad02 All Conference
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2010
    Messages:
    4,701
    Likes Received:
    2,345
    When all else fails go to the Fake News defense.
     
    RUboston, NotInRHouse and Kbee3 like this.
  30. HALL85

    HALL85 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2001
    Messages:
    26,064
    Likes Received:
    5,737
    You are right ....way too early to predict anything, especially in those swing states. (I had to laugh at CNN/MSNBC finding a number of farmers...I wouldn't be surprised if they flew a few actors in for those interviews.....lol). It will come down to those macro issues (how the economy is doing, if we are the victims of a terrorist act, etc. and who the Dem candidate is and what their message/vision is.
     
  31. Kbee3

    Kbee3 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2002
    Messages:
    30,546
    Likes Received:
    19,862
    So true.
    Has any president ever been consistently below 50 % for his entire presidency ?
    Yeah...he's # 1. :rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:
     
    RUboston likes this.
  32. Caliknight

    Caliknight Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2001
    Messages:
    99,161
    Likes Received:
    33,141
    With the way PT is under polled, he's really somehere around 58%-60% approval rating. Maybe higher.

    And you thought 2016 was great. Wait till 2020!

    In a related note, how's Madame Never President doing, lol!
     
    bac2therac likes this.
  33. NotInRHouse

    NotInRHouse Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2007
    Messages:
    56,530
    Likes Received:
    31,762
    Yes they did.

    Do you always get tired of being wrong?

    In before you long in from your other handle to defend yourself
     
  34. NotInRHouse

    NotInRHouse Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2007
    Messages:
    56,530
    Likes Received:
    31,762
    I take all polling with a grain of salt.

    I just like using it to trigger the Zees, who will claim all polls that back them are real but any contrary to them are fake.
     
    rutgersdave and Kbee3 like this.
  35. bac2therac

    bac2therac Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2001
    Messages:
    127,763
    Likes Received:
    30,842
    Location:
    Belle Mead NJ
    She hasnt said she is not running yet..plus there is still time to use the Steele dossier to contest the 2016 MAGA win
     
  36. Caliknight

    Caliknight Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2001
    Messages:
    99,161
    Likes Received:
    33,141
    How awesome would it be if Madame Never President Always Cankles threw her adult diaper in the ring! Seeing her, Bernout, and Creepy Sleepy Dumb Joe and the rest of the misfits going at each other would be so fvcking priceless!

    Please God, make it so!
     
  37. Kbee3

    Kbee3 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2002
    Messages:
    30,546
    Likes Received:
    19,862
    And you know this because.........?
     
  38. Caliknight

    Caliknight Legend
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2001
    Messages:
    99,161
    Likes Received:
    33,141
    Based on last election. God you’re dumb.
     
  39. colbert17

    colbert17 All American
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2014
    Messages:
    6,416
    Likes Received:
    4,825
    Location:
    Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
    In reality I think that the President's actual numbers are right around 50%.
     
  40. Kbee3

    Kbee3 Hall of Famer
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2002
    Messages:
    30,546
    Likes Received:
    19,862
    I have no confidence in your polling methods.
     

Share This Page