Setting this to 'semi-OT' because I know some aren't a fan of these, if you are one of those people, please don't bog down this thread with nonsense. Politely close out of the thread, if you don't post in here, you won't receive notifications.
Headed to Vegas tomorrow night so figured I'd kick it off a bit early. My buddies and I collectively sign up for betting info from the books to see where sharps are hitting, I'll try to keep the board informed throughout the trip. Please keep in mind there are no locks, and this is simply information if you have interest in this kind of stuff.
First Four lines:
Obviously this stuff will move, but surprised Bryant is a dog - it'll be interesting to see if there's a play from the sharps there.
Let me know if you guys want me to continue updating/bumping this one. If not, let it die out.
Headed to Vegas tomorrow night so figured I'd kick it off a bit early. My buddies and I collectively sign up for betting info from the books to see where sharps are hitting, I'll try to keep the board informed throughout the trip. Please keep in mind there are no locks, and this is simply information if you have interest in this kind of stuff.
First Four lines:
| Team | Spread | Money Line | Total |
| TA&M - CC | 3.5 [-106] | 146 | O/U 135.5 |
| @Texas Southern | -3.5 [-114] | -178 | |
| Indiana | -4 [-110] | -188 | O/U 133 |
| @wyoming | 4 [-110] | 155 | |
| Bryant | 3.5 [-110] | 140 | O/U 155 |
| @Wright State | -3.5 [-110] | -170 | |
| Notre Dame | -1 [-110] | -118 | O/U 131.5 |
| @Rutgers | 1 [-110] | -102 |
Obviously this stuff will move, but surprised Bryant is a dog - it'll be interesting to see if there's a play from the sharps there.
Now for some futures action going on for the tournament. There isn't a lot happening right now with regard to who will be the NCAA Champion, but I expect that to start popping today. There is one angle and it is a material buy that hit last night on Kansas +1200. Gonzaga got some money, but nothing major or material at +350.
There are two clear bets popping for regional winners. The largest sharp buy going on is Purdue +490 to win the East Region. It goes with some futures action reported at the start of March which saw a buy hit Purdue to win the NCAA Championship at +1600. Note that Purdue is over 20-1 when futures came out after the bracket was complete. So far no material action at that price for NCAA Champion.
The next material sharp buy is on the best Gonzaga vs the field to win the West Region. In this wager the field +138 is getting a decent sharp buy. Likely a value play as I would calculate fair value as close to even money (+105ish).
Beyond those two, not a whole lot going on that rises to a material level. Auburn +310 to win the Midwest Region is getting some sharp buy...but still a way to go to be material sharp money.
There are two clear bets popping for regional winners. The largest sharp buy going on is Purdue +490 to win the East Region. It goes with some futures action reported at the start of March which saw a buy hit Purdue to win the NCAA Championship at +1600. Note that Purdue is over 20-1 when futures came out after the bracket was complete. So far no material action at that price for NCAA Champion.
The next material sharp buy is on the best Gonzaga vs the field to win the West Region. In this wager the field +138 is getting a decent sharp buy. Likely a value play as I would calculate fair value as close to even money (+105ish).
Beyond those two, not a whole lot going on that rises to a material level. Auburn +310 to win the Midwest Region is getting some sharp buy...but still a way to go to be material sharp money.
Let me know if you guys want me to continue updating/bumping this one. If not, let it die out.
