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Suggested analysis: A position-by-position comparison of last years vs this years. Minus Bailey/ Harper!!!

RedTeam1994

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Anyone care to take this on? I’d do it but I’d rather read it done by someone more knowledgeable.

The reason I suggested exclusion of the big two (ace/dylan) i think is obvious - ie they skew the comparison too much to one side and makes the comparison I’m looking for impossible

What I am ultimately wondering is this: we are losing 2 lottery picks so I don’t think anyone thought that the overall talent would be better this year but position-by-position did we otherwise improve?
 
Anyone care to take this on? I’d do it but I’d rather read it done by someone more knowledgeable.

The reason I suggested exclusion of the big two (ace/dylan) i think is obvious - ie they skew the comparison too much to one side and makes the comparison I’m looking for impossible

What I am ultimately wondering is this: we are losing 2 lottery picks so I don’t think anyone thought that the overall talent would be better this year but position-by-position did we otherwise improve?
This is not trolling, just clarifying what you’re asking for here before anyone answers. Last years team barely made the big ten tourney and had a losing record. You want to take Ace and Dylan away from that team? This will obviously make it worse. Then you want to compare this years players to an Ace and Dylan less last years team (which probably would have won only 5-10 games)?
 
Imo this year's roster is already better than last year's roster even if you include ace and Dylan. There are certain things that make up a good basketball team that last year's team didn't have. Like a center that can rebound maybe even block a shot or 2.

Is that Fall?
How do you know he can rebound or block a shot or 2?

He's nearly just as inexperienced as an incoming freshman.
I think his lack of size and potential to get pushed around is being underrated.
He's basically as big as Ace but a little taller.

Hopefully he plays bigger than his size.
 
Is that Fall?
How do you know he can rebound or block a shot or 2?

He's nearly just as inexperienced as an incoming freshman.
I think his lack of size and potential to get pushed around is being underrated.
He's basically as big as Ace but a little taller.

Hopefully he plays bigger than his size.
Yeah I guess I'm basing that on sunshine and rainbows lol but yeah he was an all American I'm guessing he can rebound the ball which ace could do. And he won't have the offensive responsibilities ace had so just go out there and rebound..also these Euros look good on film man, and they are coming from professional leagues not highschool..
 
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Yeah I guess I'm basing that on sunshine and rainbows lol but yeah he was an all American I'm guessing he can rebound the ball which ace could do. And he won't have the offensive responsibilities ace had so just go out there and rebound..also these Euros look good on film man, and they are coming from professional leagues not highschool..

I think the way you put it is sunshine and rainbows, but I do agree that it appears we upgraded the interior defense. It didn’t take that much to accomplish this because Lathan was an extremely poor defensive center. Ace was probably our best defender, but he was also a frosh and green. Did a lot of things on D that hurt us but we also couldn’t compete without him in there for rebounding.

Fall gives us 5 more fouls to pair with Ogbole’s. That makes a difference. I’m very optimistic on Nwuli’s D. I have high hopes for that kid. Think he could come in the most defense ready of any frosh Pike has had. Bryce Dortch was good at D and now has a year of experience. Buchanan is a very good rebounder and will be otherwise solid. Grant another off season of experience.

So yeah. That defensive interior nucleus is likely better than what we had last year. We don’t have an Ace to put up points, but among the others we might be able to replace his offense. Didn’t get that much from the others we had and often J Will had to defend out of position bigger guys because of how bad everyone else was.

It’s the guard position that’s concerning. Particularly the 2. We have Zrno who is a roll the dice type in his own right. The back up for him is a total question mark and hole on the roster in my opinion. A big hole. Can Buchanan slide over there? Because none of the other post players can. Grant is a horrendous ball handler and he can’t guard a 2. Haven’t seen enough of Buchanan to assess that. I’m guessing he can’t either.
 
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I’ll add - just because Fall didn’t play in the games, he practiced with major conference college teams for 2 years. He may not do much on offense but he’s also not going to be “green” on defense considering he was pegged as a defensive Big even as a HS kid.
 
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This is not trolling, just clarifying what you’re asking for here before anyone answers. Last years team barely made the big ten tourney and had a losing record. You want to take Ace and Dylan away from that team? This will obviously make it worse. Then you want to compare this years players to an Ace and Dylan less last years team (which probably would have won only 5-10 games)?

fair question. the reason I suggested taking out Ace and Dylan is because they are so darn talented that there is just no way this years team is going to compare at their positions.

but if makes it easier - and frankly a more complete/ accurate comparison - lets do a position-by-position comparison WITH ACE AND DYLAN included in that. for example:

PG: where do we stand at PG this year vs last. obviously we will have no PG that remotely compares to Dylan but will the incoming players create at least a decent and deeper PG position?

SG: we basically had NOTHING at this position last year. will this position possibly be better than last year with the incoming players including that European kid?

SF: similar to PG. no player is going to remotely compare to Ace but with the freshman/ transfer might we have a decent (and possibly deeper) batch at SF?

PF: similar to SG. we had NOTHING last year. will this position possibly be better than last year with the incoming players, possible development of existing players?

C: we lost Lathan and his offense but his lack of defense and rebounding was lacking to say the least. People have already started to opine on whether this position may be improved or not overall

the overall purpose is have a discussion of whether there is any chance we MIGHT actually be better next year without Ace and Dylan. I think many (most?) automatically assume we will be worse without them. but considering that we had virtually no talent to support them I wonder whether the overall turnover of the team MIGHT result in an overall deeper/ more balanced/ more well-constructed roster?

I dont have an opinion but I would like to hear what people think and think doing a position-by-position analysis would be a good way to do it.
 
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Imo this year's roster is already better than last year's roster even if you include ace and Dylan. There are certain things that make up a good basketball team that last year's team didn't have. Like a center that can rebound maybe even block a shot or 2.
This years roster is ass. We'll be lucky to win 10 games.
 
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Seems like Pike is really assuming that Lino Mark can play, because we have a really thin backcourt. We’re overloaded with wing players.
 
Seems like Pike is really assuming that Lino Mark can play, because we have a really thin backcourt. We’re overloaded with wing players.
Hopefully this isn’t Brandin pushing Francis and Pike buying in. Unless Brandin is right, of course but on paper that seems unlikely,

J Mike is the only proven competent ball handler on the team. That’s a real concern for early on. Remember how Derek looked in the Temple game without Paul or Caleb? Geo and Caleb went through growing pains too the year Corey left.

More broadly I think we’ve upgraded the D at every position per 40. That takes into account the drop off late in games when Dylan and Ace had logged 30+ minutes. But the offense is likely going to take a nose dive of epic proportion. All this said - it’s certainly possible that we end up with a similar record. Unfortunately - that feels like the best case scenario which is depressing.
 
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This years roster is ass. We'll be lucky to win 10 games.

No - we’ll win at least 12. Going to play 9 pure cupcakes and we’re not winning less than 3 in conference play. If you gave middle of the road mid-majors 10 home games against power conference foes most of them would pull off at least 2 or 3 wins.
 
Is that Fall?
How do you know he can rebound or block a shot or 2?

He's nearly just as inexperienced as an incoming freshman.
I think his lack of size and potential to get pushed around is being underrated.
He's basically as big as Ace but a little taller.

Hopefully he plays bigger than his size.
The guy who couldnt see the court on a mediocre big twelve team?

Time will tell and no one knows what Fall will bring but sometimes a bust is a bust.

There were lots of excuses regarding Griffiths here (including some form me) that he’s being used incorrectly, wrong system, needs to stay in the prgram etc). Yet, he went to a coach who runs an actual offense, was a year older, and actually played less at Nebraska than he did here. You never can tell.
 
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The guy who couldnt see the court on a mediocre big twelve team.

That doesn’t mean he can’t play defense. K-State had a lot of at the 4-5 and Fall isn’t a scorer. The bar for improving the post D is very low.
 
fair question. the reason I suggested taking out Ace and Dylan is because they are so darn talented that there is just no way this years team is going to compare at their positions.

but if makes it easier - and frankly a more complete/ accurate comparison - lets do a position-by-position comparison WITH ACE AND DYLAN included in that. for example:

PG: where do we stand at PG this year vs last. obviously we will have no PG that remotely compares to Dylan but will the incoming players create at least a decent and deeper PG position?

SG: we basically had NOTHING at this position last year. will this position possibly be better than last year with the incoming players including that European kid?

SF: similar to PG. no player is going to remotely compare to Ace but with the freshman/ transfer might we have a decent (and possibly deeper) batch at SF?

PF: similar to SG. we had NOTHING last year. will this position possibly be better than last year with the incoming players, possible development of existing players?

C: we lost Lathan and his offense but his lack of defense and rebounding was lacking to say the least. People have already started to opine on whether this position may be improved or not overall

the overall purpose is have a discussion of whether there is any chance we MIGHT actually be better next year without Ace and Dylan. I think many (most?) automatically assume we will be worse without them. but considering that we had virtually no talent to support them I wonder whether the overall turnover of the team MIGHT result in an overall deeper/ more balanced/ more well-constructed roster?

I dont have an opinion but I would like to hear what people think and think doing a position-by-position analysis would be a good way to do it.
Thanks for this breakdown. PG, a lot worse. Obviously Dylan was an nba caliber pg. JMike is JMike. I like his a to to ratio but we’ll see how much he can improve. Francis will be thrust into a lot of mins and I think folks will be disappointed by his lack of size and his turnovers. Mark, good prospect. But we’re coming off a year when so many at the end said, you can’t trust even nba caliber frosh, they’re too young. Now we’re expecting Mark to be a savior.

SG is a push. We never saw JWill return to his first five games in a RU uniform, but no one knows how the European kid will be. A lot of programs wanted him but I’m sure they wanted him for less mins than we will use him. There’s hope though.

SF, same you’re not getting anywhere near Ace offensively. However you’ll get better D and hopefully less long 2s. A downgrade but not as much as folks might think

PF. Grant will improve. Upgrade here

C, similar to SG. A push. EO is EO. If he started throwing his muscle around maybe. But he’s too timid and has poor hands. Often kids don’t realize they were being too timid til their careers are over. Lathans offense sure, but his defense. Eyeroll. Can Fall be better overall, sure, but he hasn’t made an impact in two years and the big ten might have the strongest (physically) centers.

It really comes down do they buy into Pikes system. He can coach d but last year he showed he can also get walked all over by his players. What attitude do the kids have this year. You can’t assume they’ll be either way right now.

The problem is, yes, we’ll have rock fights. But when we were successful we had Geo or RHJ to pull out a rock fight with a clutch shot. I don’t see that player on this team, no go to guy.

In the end I think we lose a lot of lower scoring close games. I don’t think our record will be as good as last years. But what do I know.

Listen, last year expectations couldn’t have been higher. We started scraping by cupcakes and seeing it’s not so rosy.

Toni’s year expectations couldn’t be lower. Maybe they’ll surprise us. It still rewards mediocrity, which sucks, but maybe they’ll show promise. Hope they do.
 
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Imo this year's roster is already better than last year's roster even if you include ace and Dylan. There are certain things that make up a good basketball team that last year's team didn't have. Like a center that can rebound maybe even block a shot or 2.
Not True.The loss of Bailey and Harper alone is 37 less points .Adding the rest of players not returning the scoring deficit is over 50 points that has to be made up by next seasons roster.The only way next seasons team might be better is winning games scoring less than 65 points.
 
Not True.The loss of Bailey and Harper alone is 37 less points .Adding the rest of players not returning the scoring deficit is over 50 points that has to be made up by next seasons roster.The only way next seasons team might be better is winning games scoring less than 65 points.
Yeah that's not how I look at it . I'm looking at the roster construction. This team is solid (on paper) at every position but pg. And I have faith in jmike to get better in the off-season. Last seasons roster was deficient at every spot not filled with ace or Dylan
 
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I think PG is ok with JMike, Lino, and Francis also doing some ball handling.

I'm not sure this team has a true shooting guard on the roster, outside of Powers. Zrno, I think is more a wing than guard, but let's hope his handle and defense are playable at guard at this level.

Wing forwards we have them. Grant, Buchannon, Dortch, Romanian kid, Nwuli, Ware probably here too as old school 4?

Center is still light with EO, Fall.
 
Anyone care to take this on? I’d do it but I’d rather read it done by someone more knowledgeable.

The reason I suggested exclusion of the big two (ace/dylan) i think is obvious - ie they skew the comparison too much to one side and makes the comparison I’m looking for impossible

What I am ultimately wondering is this: we are losing 2 lottery picks so I don’t think anyone thought that the overall talent would be better this year but position-by-position did we otherwise improve?
I think the more productive comparison is this roster compared to the roster in 2023-24. Because of Harper and Bailey you simply cannot make any meaningful comparisons.

FYI: Those 2 teams had essentially identical records, even if they got there differently (both 15-17 overall, 2023-24 7-13 in conference, 2-24-25 8-12 in conference). I would add my recollection was that the 2023-24 team actually had more better wins, IMO, and fewer "bad" losses". But looking at SRS ratings show that is not actually true (the 2023-24 team beat 3 ranked teams, to just 1 for the 2024-25 team - but by SRS the 2024-25 had more wins of higher rated by SRS teams than did the 2023-24 team. However, the 2023-24 team did not have ANY so-called "bad" losses - the worst team they lost to was in the opening game vs Princeton, who was WAY better rated in SRS than 3 teams the 2024-25 team lost to ... and the 2024-25 team had 2 ridiculously bad losses, to a Princeton team that was much worse than the 2023-24 Princeton team RU lost to, plus @Kennesaw St. That said, the 2024-25 team, other than those 2 losses did not lose to another team on the schedule rated materially worse than them. The 2023-24 team did lose to 3 teams theoretically worse rated (by SRS) than they were rated.

According to sports-reference.com, here are some comps between the 2 respective teams:

SRS (a team rating/ranking):

23-24 = 88th
24-25 = 68th

SOS (strength of schedule):

23-24 = 42nd
24-25 = 32nd

Offensive/Defensive Ratings:

23-24 = 346th (of 362) / 25th
24-25 = 141st / 304th


So ... versus 2023-24 team:

Center: Omoruyi/a FR Woolfolk vs Ogbole/Fall/Ware

PF: Mag - off injury, half-season (but not consecutive) - quitting on team/Hyatt/Palmquist vs Grant/Dortch - maybe a little Buchanan, let's say

WF: Hyatt/12 games of J. Williams/Griffiths vs ... Buchanan/Nwuli/Badalau/Dortch

2G: Ouch ... a SO Simpson/Fernandes/Griffiths/Austin Williams vs Zrno/Francis/Powers

PG: a FR J. Davis/Fernandes/a SO Simpson vs a JR J. Davis/a FR Mark/Francis

That would be my set up - I guess to evaluate in another post.
 
Yeah that's not how I look at it . I'm looking at the roster construction. This team is solid (on paper) at every position but pg. And I have faith in jmike to get better in the off-season. Last seasons roster was deficient at every spot not filled with ace or Dylan

No - shooting guard is realistically a complete wildcard. We don’t know what Zrno will bring. Powers a frosh. Francis 6 foot. Those are the options and it may be the case that none of them are better on D than someone like Peter Kiss. That would be a problem. A big one.
 
No - shooting guard is realistically a complete wildcard. We don’t know what Zrno will bring. Powers a frosh. Francis 6 foot. Those are the options and it may be the case that none of them are better on D than someone like Peter Kiss. That would be a problem. A big one.
Which is why I said on paper. I like the way zrno looks on tape. If we are judging the entire roster the way you are judging the sg position. The entire team is a complete wild card which is the way to factually talk about next year's team. But imo based on what I managed to see from the current roster on YouTube, I'm more confident in this year's team than last year's. I also believe in Kaden powers a little more than most seem to..I just really wish they can bring in a bigger veteran pg then id really be more confident in this year than I was last year..
 
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I think the more productive comparison is this roster compared to the roster in 2023-24. Because of Harper and Bailey you simply cannot make any meaningful comparisons.

FYI: Those 2 teams had essentially identical records, even if they got there differently (both 15-17 overall, 2023-24 7-13 in conference, 2-24-25 8-12 in conference). I would add my recollection was that the 2023-24 team actually had more better wins, IMO, and fewer "bad" losses". But looking at SRS ratings show that is not actually true (the 2023-24 team beat 3 ranked teams, to just 1 for the 2024-25 team - but by SRS the 2024-25 had more wins of higher rated by SRS teams than did the 2023-24 team. However, the 2023-24 team did not have ANY so-called "bad" losses - the worst team they lost to was in the opening game vs Princeton, who was WAY better rated in SRS than 3 teams the 2024-25 team lost to ... and the 2024-25 team had 2 ridiculously bad losses, to a Princeton team that was much worse than the 2023-24 Princeton team RU lost to, plus @Kennesaw St. That said, the 2024-25 team, other than those 2 losses did not lose to another team on the schedule rated materially worse than them. The 2023-24 team did lose to 3 teams theoretically worse rated (by SRS) than they were rated.

According to sports-reference.com, here are some comps between the 2 respective teams:

SRS (a team rating/ranking):

23-24 = 88th
24-25 = 68th

SOS (strength of schedule):

23-24 = 42nd
24-25 = 32nd

Offensive/Defensive Ratings:

23-24 = 346th (of 362) / 25th
24-25 = 141st / 304th


So ... versus 2023-24 team:

Center: Omoruyi/a FR Woolfolk vs Ogbole/Fall/Ware

PF: Mag - off injury, half-season (but not consecutive) - quitting on team/Hyatt/Palmquist vs Grant/Dortch - maybe a little Buchanan, let's say

WF: Hyatt/12 games of J. Williams/Griffiths vs ... Buchanan/Nwuli/Badalau/Dortch

2G: Ouch ... a SO Simpson/Fernandes/Griffiths/Austin Williams vs Zrno/Francis/Powers

PG: a FR J. Davis/Fernandes/a SO Simpson vs a JR J. Davis/a FR Mark/Francis

That would be my set up - I guess to evaluate in another post.

On paper, the teams match up except at center where that team had Cliff. That gap in talent is similar to the drop off in losing Dylan or Ace. To even be as good at that team, we’d have to make up for that somehow. Someone would have to overperform expectation. One of the Euro guys or a frosh?
 
I think the more productive comparison is this roster compared to the roster in 2023-24. Because of Harper and Bailey you simply cannot make any meaningful comparisons.

FYI: Those 2 teams had essentially identical records, even if they got there differently (both 15-17 overall, 2023-24 7-13 in conference, 2-24-25 8-12 in conference). I would add my recollection was that the 2023-24 team actually had more better wins, IMO, and fewer "bad" losses". But looking at SRS ratings show that is not actually true (the 2023-24 team beat 3 ranked teams, to just 1 for the 2024-25 team - but by SRS the 2024-25 had more wins of higher rated by SRS teams than did the 2023-24 team. However, the 2023-24 team did not have ANY so-called "bad" losses - the worst team they lost to was in the opening game vs Princeton, who was WAY better rated in SRS than 3 teams the 2024-25 team lost to ... and the 2024-25 team had 2 ridiculously bad losses, to a Princeton team that was much worse than the 2023-24 Princeton team RU lost to, plus @Kennesaw St. That said, the 2024-25 team, other than those 2 losses did not lose to another team on the schedule rated materially worse than them. The 2023-24 team did lose to 3 teams theoretically worse rated (by SRS) than they were rated.

According to sports-reference.com, here are some comps between the 2 respective teams:

SRS (a team rating/ranking):

23-24 = 88th
24-25 = 68th

SOS (strength of schedule):

23-24 = 42nd
24-25 = 32nd

Offensive/Defensive Ratings:

23-24 = 346th (of 362) / 25th
24-25 = 141st / 304th


So ... versus 2023-24 team:

Center: Omoruyi/a FR Woolfolk vs Ogbole/Fall/Ware

PF: Mag - off injury, half-season (but not consecutive) - quitting on team/Hyatt/Palmquist vs Grant/Dortch - maybe a little Buchanan, let's say

WF: Hyatt/12 games of J. Williams/Griffiths vs ... Buchanan/Nwuli/Badalau/Dortch

2G: Ouch ... a SO Simpson/Fernandes/Griffiths/Austin Williams vs Zrno/Francis/Powers

PG: a FR J. Davis/Fernandes/a SO Simpson vs a JR J. Davis/a FR Mark/Francis

That would be my set up - I guess to evaluate in another post.
I guess it's because they are all wild cards and I know who didn't work out 2 years ago but I'm taking this year's roster over those other guys. I forgot about Austin Williams lol
 
Which is why I said on paper. I like the way zrno looks on tape. If we are judging the entire roster the way you are judging the sg position. The entire team is a complete wild card which is the way to factually talk about next year's team. But imo based on what I managed to see from the current roster on YouTube, I'm more confident in this year's team than last year's. I also believe in Kaden powers a little more than most seem to..I just really wish they can bring in a bigger veteran pg then id really be more confident in this year than I was last year..

On paper - Zrno and Kaden Powers have proven nothing. “On paper” by definition is based on what you’ve already proven in the past. Neither have played D1 basketball yet. The only proven upgrade on paper is Buchanan if you choose to focus on his frosh season (which is reasonable to choose to do). He proved at least once, he could be an efficient scorer in a respectable league. As a frosh no less. And he’s not awful at D. We didn’t add anyone else with D1 experience other than Francis and he was inefficient in a bad league. So on paper he’s not an upgrade either.
 
On paper - Zrno and Kaden Powers have proven nothing. “On paper” by definition is based on what you’ve already proven in the past. Neither have played D1 basketball yet. The only proven upgrade on paper is Buchanan if you choose to focus on his frosh season (which is reasonable to choose to do). He proved at least once, he could be an efficient scorer in a respectable league. As a frosh no less. And he’s not awful at D. We didn’t add anyone else with D1 experience other than Francis and he was inefficient in a bad league. So on paper he’s not an upgrade either.
Well just the names written next to the names from last year or the year before (besides ace and Dylan) leave me more bullish on this roster lol
 
On paper - Zrno and Kaden Powers have proven nothing. “On paper” by definition is based on what you’ve already proven in the past. Neither have played D1 basketball yet. The only proven upgrade on paper is Buchanan if you choose to focus on his frosh season (which is reasonable to choose to do). He proved at least once, he could be an efficient scorer in a respectable league. As a frosh no less. And he’s not awful at D. We didn’t add anyone else with D1 experience other than Francis and he was inefficient in a bad league. So on paper he’s not an upgrade either.
There was nothing to even be excited about with transfers like Austin Williams or pj Hayes or martini...there was hope for for Fernandes but he was 5'11". Had high hopes for Acuff then he broke his foot over the summer. None of the previous transfers even had exciting tape on YouTube. These current guys have exciting tape..
 
On paper, the teams match up except at center where that team had Cliff. That gap in talent is similar to the drop off in losing Dylan or Ace. To even be as good at that team, we’d have to make up for that somehow. Someone would have to overperform expectation. One of the Euro guys or a frosh?
I think the analysis would be the "question marks" of the incoming players and returness for 2025-26 versus the ACTUAL performance of the 2023-24 team.

For example, any speculative analysis at 2G would be a comparison of the incoming very, very uncertain and thin options at 2G for 2025-26 versus the REALITY of 26 mpg of Simpson - a good defensive player, but literally the singularly worst offensive player in the country. How does one handicap that? And so on and so forth.

Of course, that won't stop me from doing so - just not going to happen until later today or tomorrow, perhaps, when I have the time.
 
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Hopefully this isn’t Brandin pushing Francis and Pike buying in. Unless Brandin is right, of course but on paper that seems unlikely,

J Mike is the only proven competent ball handler on the team. That’s a real concern for early on. Remember how Derek looked in the Temple game without Paul or Caleb? Geo and Caleb went through growing pains too the year Corey left.

More broadly I think we’ve upgraded the D at every position per 40. That takes into account the drop off late in games when Dylan and Ace had logged 30+ minutes. But the offense is likely going to take a nose dive of epic proportion. All this said - it’s certainly possible that we end up with a similar record. Unfortunately - that feels like the best case scenario which is depressing.
If you ask some fans on here they seem to be firm believers Francis is going to excel and do better at Rutgers than he did at NJIT due to the increased level of physicality, competition, speed of the game, etc.

I hope they are right
 
If you ask some fans on here they seem to be firm believers Francis is going to excel and do better at Rutgers than he did at NJIT due to the increased level of physicality, competition, speed of the game, etc.

I hope they are right
Has anyone ever actually said something close to this? Hawk seems to be the only pro Francis guy and even he doesn't see him playing more than like 15 min, I think
 
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RU scored 77 and gave up 77 with some of the worst defense seen since the time of the flood. And most of that was points in the paint. Subtracting Latham for the length of Fall is a good start. The goal is to knock that defensive number down to the upper 60s. Pike appears to have enough depth to run full court pressure all game. If he can find enough offense is the question. Everyone is a question mark on offense. But there are plenty of options.
 
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I have no clue about next year's team so I have zero expectations. I guess anything will be a pleasant surprise.
 
Has anyone ever actually said something close to this? Hawk seems to be the only pro Francis guy and even he doesn't see him playing more than like 15 min, I think
Yes the Francis thread and another thread on here have multiple apologists for the signing
 
RU scored 77 and gave up 77 with some of the worst defense seen since the time of the flood. And most of that was points in the paint. Subtracting Latham for the length of Fall is a good start. The goal is to knock that defensive number down to the upper 60s. Pike appears to have enough depth to run full court pressure all game. If he can find enough offense is the question. Everyone is a question mark on offense. But there are plenty of options.

Yes - I completely agree this should be the strategy and there’s at least reason to hope that it could be effective. Historically, Pike has run a good press when he has the right parts to execute. The “right parts” in this instance thankfully has very little correlation to how sought after a player was in the portal or as a recruit. Mag a good fit. Jaden Jones types not. Which kind of kids will we have? That’s the open question.

Yes the Francis thread and another thread on here have multiple apologists for the signing

I don’t think anyone was really arguing that he was a “good” pick up. There seems to be disagreement in terms of just how poor of an addition he could turn out to be. I see him as an awful choice (even at budget) if Pike is planning on a traditional style defense. In general, I dislike the idea of having a tiny player on the roster for any role other than PG and Francis isn’t a good ball handler. I’d much rather take a perrenial major conference utility player who can handle the ball but is limited on offense for an emergency PG role.

That said - in a pressing scheme there could and likely would be a potential role for Francis. If the plan is to commit to the press / trap shemes full time (kind of like in football when a team commits to an option style), the addition certainly would make a lot more sense. I wouldn’t be against Pike doing this, but it doesn’t come without risk. An ineffective press creates lots of easy transition baskets and can be counter productive. The right types of kids is critical for success. When Huggins suddenly didn’t have the right kinds of kids - Press VA crashed and burned. Nwuli might be the most important piece on the roster… He seems like he can be Mag’s replacement as that anchor. In an effective press scheme, Francis can actually be an asset. He’s an efficient transition 3 point shooter off the dribble. In a press, Francis can play with another guard because height doesn’t matter quite as much if there are less halfcourt sets.
 
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I don’t think anyone was really arguing that he was a “good” pick up. There seems to be disagreement in terms of just how poor of an addition he could turn out to be.

thats what I read.

I dont see any "apologists". not sure what he is talking about.

but perhaps there are 1 or 2, but if so they are certainly in the minority to say the least.
 
thats what I read.

I dont see any "apologists". not sure what he is talking about.

but perhaps there are 1 or 2, but if so they are certainly in the minority to say the least.
He could be referring to me because I don't see it as a catastrophic signing that prevented Rutgers from signing an experienced high level guard. I do not buy into the narrative of brandin knight forcing pike to sign Francis instead of better options that are available. I think they couldn't sign the guards that they wanted and brought on Francis when it was obvious they couldn't get the guys they wanted. Still think they could possibly bring in another pg because I doubt Francis broke the bank .
 
He could be referring to me because I don't see it as a catastrophic signing that prevented Rutgers from signing an experienced high level guard. I do not buy into the narrative of brandin knight forcing pike to sign Francis instead of better options that are available. I think they couldn't sign the guards that they wanted and brought on Francis when it was obvious they couldn't get the guys they wanted. Still think they could possibly bring in another pg because I doubt Francis broke the bank .

We’re done. Richie sounded pretty definitive about it on the last TKR podcast. We ran out of money and spent whatever we had left on the second European kid. Most of us realized we probably couldnt get a top established guard. the point Lion was making is that if you pool whatever we gave francis and whatever we had left for the second Euro kid there’s more money to work with to try to get one kid who would have a legit chance of being a core rotation piece. Thats all.

If I knew we were planning to commit to a full time press I’d feel a lot better about the decision to go this route. I don’t know that we’ll have the right personnel to execute it effectively but Francis could be a useful piece in an effective press system. He’s pretty good in transition which will probably translate up reasonably well. We have to force turnovers to get him those kind of opportunities. Can we do it? Because it’s Kool Aid talk to have a vision of much help from him in a traditional system. He doesn’t have a position at the major conf level.
 
We’re done. Richie sounded pretty definitive about it on the last TKR podcast. We ran out of money and spent whatever we had left on the second European kid. Most of us realized we probably couldnt get a top established guard. the point Lion was making is that if you pool whatever we gave francis and whatever we had left for the second Euro kid there’s more money to work with to try to get one kid who would have a legit chance of being a core rotation piece. Thats all.

If I knew we were planning to commit to a full time press I’d feel a lot better about the decision to go this route. I don’t know that we’ll have the right personnel to execute it effectively but Francis could be a useful piece in an effective press system. He’s pretty good in transition which will probably translate up reasonably well. We have to force turnovers to get him those kind of opportunities. Can we do it? Because it’s Kool Aid talk to have a vision of much help from him in a traditional system. He doesn’t have a position at the major conf level.
My thing is, id like to believe the staff had enough sense to try and get those guards before they signed Francis or any of the euros. This was the contingency plan..
 
My thing is, id like to believe the staff had enough sense to try and get those guards before they signed Francis or any of the euros. This was the contingency plan..

Well yeah. I’m sure we tried to get a top tier kid and realized we just couldn’t afford it. But after that, we consciously must’ve decided not to go with a taller version of J Mike (I.e. 15 Min utility player at the major conf level who defends well but isn’t much of a scorer and took Francis instead). As I said before, if we’re being honest, this really only makes sense if Pike is truly planning to play a full on style where the goal for all 40 minutes is to focus on creating your offense from your defense. We did a lot of that in 2023-24 with a mix of press and trap but we didn’t have any transition scorers. We were among the worst teams in the country at that. Francis won’t likely help with finishing at the rim but if he can hit transition 3s Grant and Bryce run the floor well and would be capable of scoring at the rim. Buchanan is very good at scoring at the rim. We added a blend of kids who have different types of transition skills which could actually be useful IF and that’s a tremendous IF Pike figures out an Ace in the Hole scheme on D.

But again - to be successful, the press needs an anchor. Whether we’ll have one and be able implement is a big question mark. It’s our best chance to be decent though IMO. Hopefully that was Pike’s thinking in constructing the roster.
 
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Let me add one thing here. I think the preseason interviews with Pike could be telling for the first time in a while. He always presents a bed of roses picture of things, but how he frames our intended path to the promise land will be interesting.

We know we’re in trouble if his focus is on how our new European pick ups and Powers are going to be lights out shooters who can shock everyone. There is enough historical data to know with near certainty that next year’s Pike roster will not win Iowa style. Anyone willing to entertain that is well, sorry but just foolish. We couldn’t outgun with 2 NBA stars. It’s not happening now. I’m actually hoping to hear nothing about how amazing our roster is on offense. I want to hear something along the lines of - “ I think we’re going to surprise people. We’re going to make it really difficult for our opponents to score. Nobody is going to want to play us. Our group is the type where everyone gives 150% on every possession and at the end of the day - good things happen when that’s the case so let’s just wait and see how the chips will fall. We’re going to play a lot of guys to keep everyone fresh”.
 
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We’re done. Richie sounded pretty definitive about it on the last TKR podcast. We ran out of money and spent whatever we had left on the second European kid. Most of us realized we probably couldnt get a top established guard. the point Lion was making is that if you pool whatever we gave francis and whatever we had left for the second Euro kid there’s more money to work with to try to get one kid who would have a legit chance of being a core rotation piece. Thats all.

If I knew we were planning to commit to a full time press I’d feel a lot better about the decision to go this route. I don’t know that we’ll have the right personnel to execute it effectively but Francis could be a useful piece in an effective press system. He’s pretty good in transition which will probably translate up reasonably well. We have to force turnovers to get him those kind of opportunities. Can we do it? Because it’s Kool Aid talk to have a vision of much help from him in a traditional system. He doesn’t have a position at the major conf level.
I think it goes without saying that the talent pool is a lot of ifs and maybes at the budget we apparently have

Tough place to be in as a power 4 school and in reality power 2 because the B10 and SEC rule the roost
 
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