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THE OFFICIAL 2022-2023 RUTGERS BASKETBALL PREDICTION THREAD

bac2therac

bac2therac

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  • Nov. 7 Columbia
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn.
  • Nov. 22 Rider
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge)
  • Dec. 3. Indiana
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue
  • Jan. 5 Maryland
  • Jan. 8 Iowa
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State
  • Jan. 24 Penn State
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin
  • Feb. 23 Michigan
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State
  • March 2 at Minnesota
  • March 5 Northwestern


HAVE AT IT!
 
19-12. One wtf loss, 1-1 in the B1G tourney and squeak into the dance again at 20-13. One and done and lose in the 10-7 game for 20-14 overall.
 
I think we will be more consistent, though the highs won’t be as high as last year in terms of who we knocked off.
10-1 OOC
11-9 B1G
20-11 overall
2-1 B1G tournament
9 seed NCAA, reach 2nd round, finish 23-13
 
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9-2 OOC
10-10 B1G
1-1 B1G Tourney
20-13 overall (11-seed, play-in game, NCAA)
Win round of 68, lose in round of 64
Finish at 21-14.
 
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Degaz-RU said:
9-2 OOC
13-7 B1G
5th seed B1G tournament
1-1 B1G tournament
23-10 overall
5th seed NCAA tournament
2-1 NCAA tournament (Sweet 16)
25-11 final record
Click to expand...
This is a pretty hopeful yet realistic scenario that I'm also learning towards so I'll cosign this

With so many questions in the league this year and so much top end talent leaving the B1G, that means a lot of younger players / transfers are going to need to come into the RAC and try to beat us. I can't see us losing many home games

This team just feels like a true team. Sharing the ball. Everyone involved. So many different skill sets and options for Pike

This team can be very good
 
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  • Nov. 7 Columbia - Win
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart - Win
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell - Win
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn. - Win
  • Nov. 22 Rider - Win
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State - Win
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge) - Win
  • Dec. 3. Indiana - Win
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State - Loss
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall - Win
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest - Win
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell - Win
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State - Win
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue - Loss
  • Jan. 5 Maryland - Win
  • Jan. 8 Iowa - Win
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern - Win
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State - Win
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State - Loss
  • Jan. 24 Penn State - Win
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa - Loss
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota - Win
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden - Win
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana - Loss
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois - Loss
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska - Win
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin - Loss
  • Feb. 23 Michigan - Win
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State - Win
  • March 2 at Minnesota - Win
  • March 5 Northwestern - Win
24W - 7L (13 - 7 in conference play)
 
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armenius said:
  • Nov. 7 Columbia - Win
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart - Win
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell - Win
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn. - Win
  • Nov. 22 Rider - Win
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State - Win
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge) - Win
  • Dec. 3. Indiana - Win
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State - Loss
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall - Win
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest - Win
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell - Win
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State - Win
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue - Loss
  • Jan. 5 Maryland - Win
  • Jan. 8 Iowa - Win
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern - Win
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State - Win
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State - Loss
  • Jan. 24 Penn State - Win
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa - Loss
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota - Win
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden - Win
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana - Loss
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois - Loss
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska - Win
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin - Loss
  • Feb. 23 Michigan - Win
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State - Win
  • March 2 at Minnesota - Win
  • March 5 Northwestern - Win
24W - 7L (13 - 7 in conference play)
Click to expand...
Undefeated OOC! I'll take it
 
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Conservative (floor) view, assuming Caleb is healthy before Temple and no major injuries : 8-3 OOC, 10-10 B1G, 1-1 B1G tournament, bubble, NIT.

Scarlet-colored glasses view: 11-0 OOC, 13-7 in league, top 4 seed again but this time we're a 5/6 seed in the NCAAs. Sweet 16 appearance with a real shot at the Elite Eight.

I will be rosy in my pick and say 10-1, 12-8, 5th seed, B1G semfinals appearance (2-1). We are 24-10 on Selection Sunday and are a 6 seed, making our sweet 16 apperance. Kyk willingly eats crow about the lack of an offense and our ceiling under Pike.
 
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I'm going to say 19-12. Bubble for NCAA Tournament bid but RU gets in. No prediction what happens in B1G or NCAA Tournament. Teams will be too evenly matched.

Need Cliff healthy to avoid disappointment.
 
9-2 OOC
12-8 B1G
1 B1G tournament win, 1 NCAA tournament win
11 seed NCAA tournament (At-Large, do not need first four)
23-12 overall, 21-10 regular season.
 
20-11 season record
11-9 BIG record
BIG Tournament 1-1
NCAA Seeding 10/11
NCAA Tournament record 1-1
Home record strong but road record weak
 
  • Nov. 7 Columbia - WIN 1-0 (OOC 1-0)
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart - WIN (OOC 2-0)
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell - WIN (OOC 3-0)
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn. - WIN (OOC 4-0)
  • Nov. 22 Rider - WIN (OOC 5-0)
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State - WIN 6-0 (OOC 6-0)
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge) - LOSE 6-1 (OOC 6-1)
  • Dec. 3. Indiana - WIN 7-1 (OOC 6-1, B1G 1-0)
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State - LOSE 7-2 (OOC 6-1, B1G 1-1)
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall - WIN 8-2 (OOC 7-1, B1G 1-1)
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest - WIN 9-2 (OOC 8-1, B1G 1-1)
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell - WIN 10-2 (OOC 9-1, B1G 1-1)
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State - WIN 11-2 (OOC 10-1, B1G 1-1)
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue - LOSE 11-3 (OOC 10-1, B1G 1-2)
  • Jan. 5 Maryland - WIN 12-3 (OOC 10-1, B1G 2-2)
  • Jan. 8 Iowa - WIN 13-3 (OOC 10-1, B1G 3-2)
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern - WIN 14-3 (OOC 10-1, B1G 4-2)
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State - WIN 15-3 (OOC 10-1, B1G 5-2)
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State - LOSE 15-4 (OOC 10-1, B1G 5-3)
  • Jan. 24 Penn State - WIN 16-4 (OOC 10-1, B1G 6-3)
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa - LOSE 16-5 (OOC 10-1, B1G 6-4)
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota - WIN -17-5 (OOC 10-1, B1G 7-4)
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden - WIN 18-5 (OOC 10-1, B1G 8-4)
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana - LOSE 18-6 (OOC 10-1, B1G 8-5)
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois - LOSE 18-7 (OOC 10-1, B1G 8-6)
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska - WIN 19-7 (OOC 10-1, B1G 9-6)
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin - WIN 20-7 (OOC 10-1, B1G 10-6)
  • Feb. 23 Michigan - LOSE 20-8 (OOC 10-1, B1G 10-7)
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State - WIN 21-8 (OOC 10-1, B1G 11-7)
  • March 2 at Minnesota - LOSE 21-9 (OOC 10-1, B1G 11-8)
  • March 5 Northwestern - WIN 22-9 (OOC 10-1, B1G 12-8)
Overall 22-9 (OOC 10-1, B1G 12-8)
 
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11-9 in B1G 8-3 OOC (19-12 overall).
"Downish" year in B1G somehow makes it still makes the schedule a grind, but then doesn't garner quite the benefit it has in past years on Selection Sunday leaving us on the bubble and puts us back in the first four.
 
Nov 7 vs Columbia - W
Nov 10 vs Sacred Heart - W
Nov 12 vs UMass Lowell - W
Nov 18 vs UMass (Mohegan- W
Nov 22 vs Rider - W
Nov 26 vs CCSU - W
Nov 30 @ Miami - L
Dec 3 vs Indiana - W
Dec 8 @ Ohio State - L
Dec 11 vs Seton Hall - W
Dec 17 vs Wake Forest - W
Dec 23 vs Bucknell - W
Dec 30 vs Coppin St - W
Jan 2 @ Purdue - L
Jan 5 vs Maryland - W
Jan 8 vs Iowa - W
Jan 11 @ Northwestern - W
Jan 15 vs Ohio St - W
Jan 19 @ Michigan St. - L
Jan 24 vs Penn State - W
Jan 29 @ Iowa - L
Feb 1 vs Minnesota - W
Feb 4 vs MSU (MSG) - L
Feb 7 @ Indiana - L
Feb 11 @ Illinois - L
Feb 14 vs Nebraska - W
Feb 18 @ Wisconsin - L
Feb 23 vs Michigan - W
Feb 26 @ Penn State - L
March 2 @ Minnesota - W
March 5 vs Northwestern - W

Overall Record: 21- 10
OOC Record: 10 -1
B1G Record: 11-9 (6th place)
B1G Tournament: 1-1

Lose in round of 32 in NCAA Tournament

Final Overall Record: 23 -12
 
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  • Nov. 7 Columbia W 1-0
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart W 2-0
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell W 3-0
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn. W 4-0
  • Nov. 22 Rider W 5-0
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State W 6-0
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge) L 6-1
  • Dec. 3. Indiana L 6-2/0-1
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State L 6-3/0-2
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall W 7-3
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest W 8-3
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell W 9-3
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State W 10-3
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue L 10-4/0-3
  • Jan. 5 Maryland W 11-4/1-3
  • Jan. 8 Iowa W 12-4/2-3
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern W 13-4/3-3
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State W 14-4/4-3
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State L 14-5/4-4
  • Jan. 24 Penn State W 15-5/5-4
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa L 15-6/5-5
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota W 16-6/6-5
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden W 17-6/7-5
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana L 17-7/7-6
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois L 17-8/7-7
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska W 18-8/8-7
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin L 18-9/8-8
  • Feb. 23 Michigan W 19-9/9-8
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State L 19-10/9-9
  • March 2 at Minnesota W 20-10/10-9
  • March 5 Northwestern W 21-10/11-9
Big 10 tournament 2nd round: 6 Rutgers vs 11 Ohio State W 22-10
Big 10 tournament Quarterfinals: 6 Rutgers vs 3 Purdue L 22-11

Final Regular Season: 22-11
Big 10 Regular Season: 11-9


Rutgers will have a lack of wins vs teams in the field, perhaps only 1 or 2. Their 6th place finish and 11-9 looks good on paper but will be filled with mediocrity. Wins vs SHU, Wake and Temple OOC will not be looked at as real quality wins. The SOS will become an issue again and unlike other years where RU had strong net wins vs top 25 and 50, not so much this year. Miami offers the best shot at a OOC win. Id trade a win there with a loss to Wake at home. I think RU avoids the WTF loss this season and if there was ever a season to avoid one it would be this season. I think the Big 10 is down and it will show. 11-9 is not your older brothers Big 10 11-9. RU will need to close out its final 4 games very strong. Sweating it out once again. RU even with the gaudy 22-10 record will be one of the last selected schools in the tournament and play in the first four vs USC

NCAA tourney first four: 11 Rutgers vs 11 USC W 23-11
NCAA 2nd round: 11 Rutgers vs 6 Dayton L 23-12
 
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bac2therac said:
  • Nov. 7 Columbia
  • Nov. 10 Sacred Heart
  • Nov. 12 UMass-Lowell
  • Nov. 18 vs. Temple at Mohegan Sun Arena, Conn.
  • Nov. 22 Rider
  • Nov. 26 Central Connecticut State
  • Nov. 30 at Miami (Big Ten-ACC Challenge)
  • Dec. 3. Indiana
  • Dec. 8 at Ohio State
  • Dec. 11 Seton Hall
  • Dec. 17 Wake Forest
  • Dec. 23 Bucknell
  • Dec. 30 Coppin State
  • Jan. 2 at Purdue
  • Jan. 5 Maryland
  • Jan. 8 Iowa
  • Jan. 11 at Northwestern
  • Jan. 15 Ohio State
  • Jan. 19 at Michigan State
  • Jan. 24 Penn State
  • Jan. 29 at Iowa
  • Feb. 1 Minnesota
  • Feb. 4 vs. Michigan State at Madison Square Garden
  • Feb. 7 at Indiana
  • Feb. 11 at Illinois
  • Feb. 14 Nebraska
  • Feb. 18 at Wisconsin
  • Feb. 23 Michigan
  • Feb. 26 at Penn State
  • March 2 at Minnesota
  • March 5 Northwestern


HAVE AT IT!
Click to expand...
18-13 reg season
8-3 OOC
10-10 B1G
2 B1G tourney wins get us into a First 4 game
 
9-2 OOC and 11 or 12 B1G wins seems to be popular and right in line with my expectations.

I really wouldn't be surprised if we outperformed that though... so many question marks with essentially all the other schools and the advantage Rutgers has in terms of returning production should be an advantage in chemistry.

If things break our way like Cliff's evolved offensive game, Mag true break out, Spencer being a sniper, Simpson the spark plug off the bench etc we could threaten to win the conference with the most bullish case. It's in the range of outcomes
 
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Amazing that folks are Predicting s positive outcomes for Rutgers men's basketball.

Awesome.

I'm not prepared to predict game by game but north of 20 wins, at least one top 10 (or so) win and an NCAA berth, likely seeded similar or slightly better than last year seems about right.

I'd love more than that, but that would be gravy.
 
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Every year there are unknowns. This year is certainly no different. How we finish will be partly (not completely) dependent on the answer to these questions......

1. Cam Spencer's adjustment both offensively and defensively to the higher level of opponent
2. It is a given Cliff's scoring will go up at least 4 ppg. At what efficiency is that incremental offense.
3. Will Hyatt's defense be at a level where he can play 15-20+ MPG, if not can Mag be a 30 MPG guy
4. How will Caleb handle the added responsibilities? We have seen good and bad over his career as it relates to him as a teammate?
5. Caleb's health
6. Everything that happens on offense with less than 5 on shot clock and less than 2:00 on game clock

A QUICK synopsis of last year
We finished 75th in bart rankings and 77 in kenpom
When looking at the average game score throughout the game ONLY 11 out of 30 games on average we were ahead. We certainly were clutch to finish 18-12.
Our margin of error was unbelievable small and weren't many possessions away from an under .500 season.
Geo and Ron were an integral part of "outperforming" the data.

MY PREDICTION

Anyone with conviction is delusional. So many unknown that won't be knowns well in to the season.

I am looking at this as a 24 game season. Sorry for those who are in to jinx, but I am assuming 7-0. So we are looking at temple, seton hall, clemson, miami and 20 B1G games

BULL CASE (20%)

Most of my fears above were non issues. We continued to win our share of close games. We go 13-11 in the 24 games. 20-11 is our final record and whether we dance or first 4 is contingent on B1GT

BASE CASE (50%)

We are wildly inconsistent. We lose a lot of close games. Pike has a tough time figuring out if he is willing to sacrifice D to get more offense. We realize how much we miss Ron and Geo. It is especially apparent late in games and long stretches where we play good D, but just cant score. We go 10-14 in the 24 games. 17-14 is our final record and we need a run in the B1GT to have a chance to make the NCAAs

BEAR CASE (30%)

Our half court offense is bad. Our defense takes a step back too. Chemistry isn't what we have been accustomed to. We lose 3/4 of our close games because no one really steps up to be the guy. We really miss Geo here. Almost of all of my concerns ends up being issues. We go 6-18 in the 24 games. 13-18 is our final regular season record.

If I have to give a final prediction I'll go with 16-15.
 
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7-0 vs Columbia, SH, (Nov12)UML, Rider, (Nov26)CCSU, Coppin St, Bucknell

(Nov18)N Temple- vs Wagner, vs Nova, (Nov15)vs Vandy, N RU, N SJU, I think Temple is a win given the rest factor but Nova, Vandy can lead to a motivated Temple team for the game pending the results.

(Nov30)@Miami- N Prov, St. Fran(NY), (Nov27)@UCF, vs RU, @Louisville
**Dec 3 vs Indiana- vs Little Rock, Jackson St, vs UNC, @RU, vs Neb
**Dec 8 @Ohio St- N San Diego St, @Duke, vs St Fran(Pa), vs RU, N UNC
(Dec11)vs SHU- N Memphis, @Kansas, (Dec7)Lincoln Pa, @RU, Drexel
(Dec17)vs Wake- @ Clemson, N LSU, (Dec14)vs App St, @RU, vs Duke

The only non conference games to worry about is Miami and Seton Hall the way the schedule shakes out. Interesting, Indiana plays UNC before us and Ohio St plays UNC after us. November and December should be at worst 10-3(1-1), at best 11-2(1-1).

Jan to March, @Purdue, @Mich St. @Iowa, @Illinois are the toughest games on the schedule, I will not count @Indiana Don't care about preseason rankings nonsense. Home to Penn St Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern are considered the easiest. If we go 4-0 easy and 1-3 in those 8 games, puts us at 5-3.

Other 10 games, vs Md, vs Iowa, @NW, vs Ohio St, vs Mich St., @Indiana, @Wisconsin, Vs Michigan, @Penn St, @Minnesota. I could see us going 4-1 at home, 2 out of 3 @NW, @Penn St, @Minn, and 1-1 @Ind & @Wisc for 3-2, for 7-3. (12-6)

I think everything gels and falls right for a special year
10-1 OOC, 13-7 B1G
23-8 regular season.
 
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