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THE OFFICIAL 2024-2025 RUTGERS BASKETBALL SEASON PREDICTION THREAD

bac2therac

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IT'S TIME...YOU GUYS KNOW THE DRILL

  • Nov. 6: vs. Wagner
  • Nov. 11: vs. St. Peter’s
  • Nov. 15: vs. Monmouth
  • Nov. 20: vs. Merrimack
  • Nov. 24: at Kennesaw State
  • Nov. 26: vs. Notre Dame - MGM Grand Arena
  • Nov. 27: vs. Alabama - MGM Grand Arena
  • Nov. 30: vs. TBA (Creighton, San Diego State, Texas A&M, Oregon) - MGM Grand Arena
  • Dec. 7: at Ohio State
  • Dec. 10: vs. Penn State
  • Dec. 14: vs. Seton Hall
  • Dec. 21: vs. Princeton - Prudential Center
  • Dec. 30: vs. Columbia
  • Jan. 2: at Indiana
  • Jan. 6: vs. Wisconsin
  • Jan. 9: vs. Purdue
  • Jan. 13: vs. UCLA
  • Jan. 16: at Nebraska
  • Jan. 20: at Penn State
  • Jan. 25: vs. Michigan State - Madison Square Garden
  • Jan. 29: at Northwestern
  • Feb. 1: vs. Michigan
  • Feb. 5: vs. Illinois
  • Feb. 9: at Maryland
  • Feb. 12: vs. Iowa
  • Feb. 16: at Oregon
  • Feb. 19: at Washington
  • Feb. 23: vs. USC
  • Feb. 27: at Michigan
  • March 4: at Purdue
  • March 9: vs. Minnesota
 
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11-1 OOC (close loss to Bama)
2-0 Big!0 in Dec
6-2 Big10 in Jan
4-4 Big10 in Feb
2-0 Big10 in March
 
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8-3 OOC
12-8 B1G
2-1 in B1G Tournament
22-12 total
7 seed in NCAA Tournament
 
Overall comment is that this team's ceiling is a Big Ten regular season championship, but our floor is on the NCAA bubble and possibly "Last 4 in"/Dayton. The actual result will probably be somewhere in the middle of those two extremes, but damn, I'm praying that we hit our ceiling for once. Anyway, on to the predictions.

We have 6 so-called cupcakes, 4 P5 OOC games (3 in Vegas plus SHU), plus Princeton, which is going to be good again, so I say it's 5 "real" OOC games.

I think we go 6-0 in the cupcake games, although the Kennesaw game in a road "bandbox" makes me a little nervous (PTSD from the Fordham loss in Pike's first or second year). I think we go 3-2 in the real OOC games (but I could also see 2-3 or even 1-4). So 9-2 OOC.

In league, I don't love playing 5 out of 7 games on the road in late February, which will coincide with our young guys potentially hitting the Freshman Wall. That stretch scares me. But I think we will be good enough to go 12-8 (9-1 at home, 3-7 on the road).

So overall record of 21-10. Firmly in the NCAA Tournament, but with a 6 or 7 seed. Need to avoid the 8 and 9 seed lines so as to avoid playing the 1 seed in the second round.

Let's f'in go!!
 
I truly wonder if B1G wants us to succeed.
Last four out of six on the road.
Farthest road trip of year to Oregon and Washington is two of those four.
Purdue away is a third of those four.
The MSU nonsense every single year.
 
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Ok, so here is how I see it through my nervous nellie / traumatized fan / have to see it to believe it lens…I’m hopeful and a believer that we do better than this. But this is just how I score it right now.

We win one in Vegas, and drop 1 amongst Princeton/Hall/Kennesaw State’s Super Bowl.

8-3 OOC

Purdue/UCLA/Iowa/Ilinois at home.
I think we take two of those.
Drop one more random B1G home game.

Win the game at the garden.

On the road, Ws vs purple teams and Penn State. Catch one more on the road in Feb.

7-3 Home B1G / 4-6 Away

19-12…4-5 road wins…1-2 neutral wins.
I’d imagine back on the bubble….but in.
 
9-2 OOC
12-8 Big Ten
21-10 overall

This is a tough league. Getting thru the season healthy will be key. Just get the team ready for the post season and make a run.
 
8-3 OOC. I have a sneaky feeling we go 0-3 in Vegas. We never seem to win non-con neutral game sites in mostly empty arenas. Shrewsbury will have ND much better this season too.

11-9 in the B1G. Rebound with wins at OSU and home to Penn State after the Vegas trip

19-12 overall. Avoid Dayton as a 10-seed
 
Nov. 6: vs. Wagner
Nov. 11: vs. St. Peter’s
Nov. 15: vs. Monmouth
Nov. 20: vs. Merrimack
Nov. 24: at Kennesaw State
(5-0)
Nov. 26: vs. Notre Dame - MGM Grand Arena
Nov. 27: vs. Alabama - MGM Grand Arena
Nov. 30: vs. TBA (Creighton, San Diego State, Texas A&M, Oregon) - MGM Grand Arena
(2-1)
Dec. 7: at Ohio State
Dec. 10: vs. Penn State
Dec. 14: vs. Seton Hall
Dec. 21: vs. Princeton - Prudential Center
Dec. 30: vs. Columbia
(4-1)
Jan. 2: at Indiana W
(1-0)
Jan. 6: vs. Wisconsin
Jan. 9: vs. Purdue
Jan. 13: vs. UCLA
(2-1)
Jan. 16: at Nebraska
Jan. 20: at Penn State
(1-1)
Jan. 25: vs. Michigan State - Madison Square Garden
Jan. 29: at Northwestern
(1-1)
Feb. 1: vs. Michigan W
Feb. 5: vs. Illinois L
(1-1)
Feb. 9: at Maryland
Feb. 12: vs. Iowa
(2-0)
Feb. 16: at Oregon
Feb. 19: at Washington
(1-1)
Feb. 23: vs. USC
Feb. 27: at Michigan
March 4: at Purdue
March 9: vs. Minnesota
(2-2)

22-9, non conf 10-1 or 9-2, B1G 12-8 or 13-7
 
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First - it's good to see this; one step closer to starting up. But I going to cheat and wait till after Wagner (and maybe St. Peter's & Monmouth) and see what the Center position looks like. Yep, like everybody else - watched the Knighthood scrimmage and St. John's - but want to see when it counts. Not that Wagner and these other early OOC games will dictate the rest of the season - but want to see if we really have to rely on Martini or really really have to rely on him (at least) early on. But 9-2 or at the very least 8-3 OOC to get to the 20 or 21; don't see getting above 12 in conference play. That's just based on history - since I have no idea what the rest of the conference teams look like.
 
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Wagner W
St. Peter's W
Monmouth W
Merrimack W
Kenn St L
ND W
Alabama L
3rd game L
Ohio St L
PSU W
SHU W
Princeton W
Columbia W
Indiana L
Wisconsin L
Purdue L
UCLA L
PSU W
MSU L
NW W
Michigan W
Illinois L
Maryland L
Iowa L
Oregon W
Washington W
USC W
Michigan L
Purdue L
Minnesota W

8-3 OOC
8-12 BIG
16-15
Loss B1G Tournament
No NIT
 
Wagner W
St. Peter's W
Monmouth W
Merrimack W
Kenn St L
ND W
Alabama L
3rd game L
Ohio St L
PSU W
SHU W
Princeton W
Columbia W
Indiana L
Wisconsin L
Purdue L
UCLA L
PSU W
MSU L
NW W
Michigan W
Illinois L
Maryland L
Iowa L
Oregon W
Washington W
USC W
Michigan L
Purdue L
Minnesota W

8-3 OOC
8-12 BIG
16-15
Loss B1G Tournament
No NIT
Not even the NIT? I agree we have to be very careful with our expectations but two lottery picks and lots of depth and not even the NIT........wow.
 
Not even the NIT? I agree we have to be very careful with our expectations but two lottery picks and lots of depth and not even the NIT........wow.

This is my first look and take at the schedule. I have no idea what this team will do in stiff competition
With all the transfers going on I have no idea what other teams will do.
After the first 2 games I will get a better idea how this team will do. We only have 3 returners. Will Pike let the team score. How will we play defense.
 
This is my first look and take at the schedule. I have no idea what this team will do in stiff competition
With all the transfers going on I have no idea what other teams will do.
After the first 2 games I will get a better idea how this team will do. We only have 3 returners. Will Pike let the team score. How will we play defense.
And this is a bad thing (outside of Cliff)? You watched last season right?
 
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19-12....think this team will have some growing pains, and the interior scares me. But we can also beat anyone. This team will be tourney bound, and that's when the fun will start!
Agree with 19-12. The conference tournament could be big, May need to win an extra game there.
 
Wagner win
St. Pete's win
Monmouth win
Merrimack win
Kennesaw win
ND win
Alabama loss
3rd game loss
OSU loss
PSU win
SHU win
Princeton win
Columbia win
Indiana loss
Wisky win
Purdue win
UCLA win
Nebby win
PSU win
MSU loss
NW loss
Michigan win
Illinois loss
Maryland loss
Iowa win
Oregon win
Washington win
USC win
Michigan win
Purdue win
Minnesota win

OOC 10-1
B1G 13-7
23-8 not sure how we are seeded in BIG

In Dance
 
I do not play these games (i.e. never project season results, as there are way too many variables for RU and for their opponents for me to ever to feel I ever have a handle on specific projections). The most I may do is guess or hope for a certain end-season result (like "make the NCAA" or Make the NIT", or "no post-season"). This year, I will say: I expect RU to "make the post-season," and in particular, I expect RU to "make the NCAA." How and by beating whom, or with what record, or seed? "Its a mystery" (as in Shakespeare in Love).

But, rocktherac ... you have RU losing to Kennesaw State? Really? Yet beating SHU and Notre Dame? Really? Yeah, I know its a road game ... but really?
 
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A good point was brought up regarding the center position..
We will not face a center close to the caliber of St John’s until Alabama. So we can rely on Martini if necessary, and even against Cliff & Alabama, as evidenced as how he played him last year..
EO will be a much improved functional big, but to really compete with the likes of Purdue & other similar teams, we need Latham to step up & develop. With Jay Young, I am confident. Look what he did with Myles..
The 22-0 run we had against a possible sweet 16 team in the scrimmage was “Uconnic” . Flashed were shown of what this team can do.
Need to eliminate teams “garbage bucket (putbacks)”, & stay out of foul trouble..
Would like to see a Seattle/Atlanta route in the tourney. Ace in Atlanta - look out ..!
 
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I do not play these games (i.e. never project season results, as there are way too many variables for RU and for their opponents for me to ever to feel I ever have a handle on specific projections). The most I may do is guess or hope for a certain end-season result (like "make the NCAA" or Make the NIT", or "no post-season"). This year, I will say: I expect RU to "make the post-season," and in particular, I expect RU to "make the NCAA." How and by beating whom, or with what record, or seed? "Its a mystery" (as in Shakespeare in Love).

But, rocktherac ... you have RU losing to Kennesaw State? Really? Yet beating SHU and Notre Dame? Really? Yeah, I know its a road game ... but really?
RU may take them lightly. They play Kennesaw on Sunday before Vegas on Tuesday. 26-9 last season. 15-1 at home. Won their conference tourney and lost to #3 Xavier by 5. Have some 5th yr transfers from SMU, UAB, Alabama. Be careful. I don't lioke this.
 
Defense and Rebounding will be an issue for the team.

In conference , we ll end up in the 6- 9. range

Tourney wise , I’m expecting NCAA March Madness however in typical Rutgers fashion - it ll be a nervous Selection Sunday wjth us either getting in as a “ last 4 in” pre Dayton or heading to Dayton.
 
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This is my first look and take at the schedule. I have no idea what this team will do in stiff competition
With all the transfers going on I have no idea what other teams will do.
After the first 2 games I will get a better idea how this team will do. We only have 3 returners. Will Pike let the team score. How will we play defense.
I think we only have 2 returners.

to get the team to Play D he is only going to let his team shoot after they got a stop
 
This is my first look and take at the schedule. I have no idea what this team will do in stiff competition
With all the transfers going on I have no idea what other teams will do.
After the first 2 games I will get a better idea how this team will do. We only have 3 returners. Will Pike let the team score. How will we play defense.
pretty absurd
 
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