I didn't get the score right last week, nor the winning team, but everything I said based on Team Stat comparison of Iowa with Illinois, along with SOS, was spot-on:
- we'd be able to move the ball better on O
- both teams have lousy ST's
- it would come down to execution, penalties, and TURNOVERS
...lo-and-behold our TO's, while only leading to 7 of their points, absolutely killed us last week. Probably 21 points (7 to them, 14 not to us) combined.
Anyway Minny has a good D. GOOD, not great, or even close to great, because despite being in the mid-30's across the board they've played the 69th most difficult schedule in the nation thus far (or 59th easiest if you'd like...). So:
Total D - 35
Pass Eff D - 33
Run D - 33
SOS - 69 (RU 10th, btw...)
...so I believe they're D is more in line with those of Iowa and Illinois than those #'s bear out right now. Can we score on them this week? IMHO, despite our woes on O against Mich and OSU, we've proven we actually CAN get up-and-down the field - somewhat - against both Iowa and Illinois. The problems related to scoring in those 2 games, however, were execution(Iowa) and TO's(Illinois).
ST's appear to be a push and penalties, well, they're one of the best...at piling up the yardage....Unfortunately they're also one of the best when it comes to turnover margin.
Tough one here BUT if we hold onto the ball we make a game of it into the 4th quarter:
Gophers 27
Knights 17