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Weather for Buffalo - warm (mid-70s), dry, and comfortable

RU848789

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The Kansas debacle was so depressing, I debated even starting a thread - and going to the game, but our group is more social than into football (they're fans, but not psycho fans like me and many of the folks on this board), so here goes.

Looks like a cold front will come through late Friday and it's very likely it'll be seasonably warm (avg high/low is 75/52F on 9/22) with temps in the mid/upper 70s, partly sunny, and very likely dry behind the front. However, it's still 5 days out and there's a small chance there will be some instability along the stalled front to our south, which could bring a light, brief shower or two to our area on Saturday. Should know better in a day or two. See the NWS discussion below.

For Friday through Sunday...As a short wave trough slides across
southern Canada Friday, low pressure tracks near northern New
England. An associated surface cold front moves through our area
Friday night, then this front may start to stall to our south
Saturday. The timing of this front along with perhaps less forcing
may result in convection dissipating as it arrives from the
northwest. For now, kept some slight chance to low chance PoPs in
with the frontal passage. High pressure, potentially expansive,
builds to our north however some guidance shows some energy tracking
eastward in the more zonal flow with potentially some overrunning
occurring Saturday and Sunday. This is highly uncertain as it will
depend on the strength and southerly push of surface high pressure
along with any ripples of energy along the nearly stalled frontal
zone. It is possible that enough subsidence from the high pressure
system allows for a drier time. For now, kept some slight chance to
low chance PoPs in for both Saturday and Sunday.
 
Interest is obviously really low, lol. Anyway, Saturday is looking pretty good, as the front should come through late Friday, with any showers ending before sunrise on Saturday morning and then Saturday tailgates and games should be partly sunny and dry, with highs in the mid-70s (and comfortable humidity, with dewpoints in the low 60s), after a low in the mid-60s (so not cold for the early birds). The next chance for showers is Saturday night. Can't 100% rule out a brief shower or spritz from 8 am to 4 pm, but that period being dry is definitely the way to bet right now.

Forecast models continue to trend slower and drier with an approaching front
so only keep low chances for scattered showers/storms in for areas
mainly N/W of the I-95 corridor. The front then moves south across
the area Friday night through Saturday before stalling in the
general vicinity of the Delmarva. A few showers or storms will be
possible during this time but overall this shouldn`t amount to too
much as high pressure will be trying to build in behind the front
resulting in a lot of subsidence. Temperatures will be a few degrees
cooler for Saturday.
 
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Interest is obviously really low, lol. Anyway, Saturday is looking pretty good, as the front should come through late Friday, with any showers ending before sunrise on Saturday morning and then Saturday tailgates and games should be partly sunny and dry, with highs in the mid-70s (and comfortable humidity, with dewpoints in the low 60s), after a low in the mid-60s (so not cold for the early birds). The next chance for showers is Saturday night. Can't 100% rule out a brief shower or spritz from 8 am to 4 pm, but that period being dry is definitely the way to bet right now.

Forecast models continue to trend slower and drier with an approaching front
so only keep low chances for scattered showers/storms in for areas
mainly N/W of the I-95 corridor. The front then moves south across
the area Friday night through Saturday before stalling in the
general vicinity of the Delmarva. A few showers or storms will be
possible during this time but overall this shouldn`t amount to too
much as high pressure will be trying to build in behind the front
resulting in a lot of subsidence. Temperatures will be a few degrees
cooler for Saturday.
Who cares, nobody will be there anyway.
 
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Why is it that when I see a weather forecast involving Buffalo that has "chance" in it I always expect to see "Chance of snow shower or two"? Even when the game's at RU.
 
along with the chance of Ash saying the rebuild will take 7 years ,after posting a L.
 



Looking good to eat a bunch of wings and drink a lot of beer before sleeping in the stadium.
 
Weather's still looking very good for tailgates and the game, with partly sunny skies, temps in the mid-70s and dry conditions with comfortable humidity (bring sunscreen though). There's a slight risk of the light showers that might fall in the wee hours on Saturday, associated with the passing cold front, lingering until 7-8 am, but every model is showing precip being over by 6 am right now (and most by 4 am). After 8 am looks great right now. Worst case is a brief, light shower after 8 am, but that's looking very unlikely.
 
Weather's still looking very good for tailgates and the game, with partly sunny skies, temps in the mid-70s and dry conditions with comfortable humidity (bring sunscreen though). There's a slight risk of the light showers that might fall in the wee hours on Saturday, associated with the passing cold front, lingering until 7-8 am, but every model is showing precip being over by 6 am right now (and most by 4 am). After 8 am looks great right now. Worst case is a brief, light shower after 8 am, but that's looking very unlikely.

NWS saw the model output and has taken any showers out of the forecast for Saturday, so I'd say lock it up for partly sunny, warm, and dry, with comfortable humidity. At least we should now be favored to win the tailgates...

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
350 PM EDT Thu Sep 20 2018
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

On Friday night, a cold front will be moving across the area
from the west. As the front approaches the east coast overnight,
most guidance dissipates the shower and thunderstorm activity
as the parent low moves well north into Canada, stretching the
front and precip out, but also daytime heating and instability
wanes as well lessening the chance of more widespread activity.
Nevertheless, there will remain a chance of showers and
thunderstorms overnight as the front moves through, with the
greatest chances across northeast Pennsylvania and northern New
Jersey.

The front is expected to have swept across the area by daybreak
Saturday morning, then dry are expected on Saturday. Saturday
is expected to be the nicest day area wide as no precipitation
is forecast during the daytime.


https://forecast.weather.gov/produc...&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
 
Gonna be a gorgeous day - mostly sunny and dry with almost fall-like temps in the low/mid 70s and dewpoints finally down into the 50s for the first time in, well, a long time. Great day for a tailgate and a game.

Summer's over folks, both on the calendar and in reality, as we've probably seen our last day of 80F until next year (unless we sneak in an 80F day next Wednesday). Temps should be a bit below normal for most of the next 2 weeks and we should see our first 40s next weekend or the following week. Finally - have had enough of the heat and humidity. And y'all know what that means...
 
Gonna be a gorgeous day - mostly sunny and dry with almost fall-like temps in the low/mid 70s and dewpoints finally down into the 50s for the first time in, well, a long time. Great day for a tailgate and a game.

Summer's over folks, both on the calendar and in reality, as we've probably seen our last day of 80F until next year (unless we sneak in an 80F day next Wednesday). Temps should be a bit below normal for most of the next 2 weeks and we should see our first 40s next weekend or the following week. Finally - have had enough of the heat and humidity. And y'all know what that means...

wrong thread, lol...
 
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The Kansas debacle was so depressing, I debated even starting a thread - and going to the game, but our group is more social than into football (they're fans, but not psycho fans like me and many of the folks on this board)....

2igr0g.jpg
 
its been mainly cloudy for 12 of the last 15 days....just one day of sun this week after being promised more....will we see sun tomorrow or will it continue to underperform. The constant drab grey skies every day is depressing for sure
 
its been mainly cloudy for 12 of the last 15 days....just one day of sun this week after being promised more....will we see sun tomorrow or will it continue to underperform. The constant drab grey skies every day is depressing for sure

We will see plenty of sun tomorrow. Although I kind of like cloudy cool days like today...
 
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