The Kansas debacle was so depressing, I debated even starting a thread - and going to the game, but our group is more social than into football (they're fans, but not psycho fans like me and many of the folks on this board), so here goes.
Looks like a cold front will come through late Friday and it's very likely it'll be seasonably warm (avg high/low is 75/52F on 9/22) with temps in the mid/upper 70s, partly sunny, and very likely dry behind the front. However, it's still 5 days out and there's a small chance there will be some instability along the stalled front to our south, which could bring a light, brief shower or two to our area on Saturday. Should know better in a day or two. See the NWS discussion below.
For Friday through Sunday...As a short wave trough slides across
southern Canada Friday, low pressure tracks near northern New
England. An associated surface cold front moves through our area
Friday night, then this front may start to stall to our south
Saturday. The timing of this front along with perhaps less forcing
may result in convection dissipating as it arrives from the
northwest. For now, kept some slight chance to low chance PoPs in
with the frontal passage. High pressure, potentially expansive,
builds to our north however some guidance shows some energy tracking
eastward in the more zonal flow with potentially some overrunning
occurring Saturday and Sunday. This is highly uncertain as it will
depend on the strength and southerly push of surface high pressure
along with any ripples of energy along the nearly stalled frontal
zone. It is possible that enough subsidence from the high pressure
system allows for a drier time. For now, kept some slight chance to
low chance PoPs in for both Saturday and Sunday.
Looks like a cold front will come through late Friday and it's very likely it'll be seasonably warm (avg high/low is 75/52F on 9/22) with temps in the mid/upper 70s, partly sunny, and very likely dry behind the front. However, it's still 5 days out and there's a small chance there will be some instability along the stalled front to our south, which could bring a light, brief shower or two to our area on Saturday. Should know better in a day or two. See the NWS discussion below.
For Friday through Sunday...As a short wave trough slides across
southern Canada Friday, low pressure tracks near northern New
England. An associated surface cold front moves through our area
Friday night, then this front may start to stall to our south
Saturday. The timing of this front along with perhaps less forcing
may result in convection dissipating as it arrives from the
northwest. For now, kept some slight chance to low chance PoPs in
with the frontal passage. High pressure, potentially expansive,
builds to our north however some guidance shows some energy tracking
eastward in the more zonal flow with potentially some overrunning
occurring Saturday and Sunday. This is highly uncertain as it will
depend on the strength and southerly push of surface high pressure
along with any ripples of energy along the nearly stalled frontal
zone. It is possible that enough subsidence from the high pressure
system allows for a drier time. For now, kept some slight chance to
low chance PoPs in for both Saturday and Sunday.