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They can easily cover the story without sending a local reporter. ABC national already has several people down there. The lady 6ABC sent down adds nothing.
Well she did add some comic relief on the 12 noon news. While on air her hat flew off and she went running down the road to get it.It's a big story, especially compared to a lot of the drivel we see on the local stations.
I would assume that, like the power companies pulling people from other states, ABC is happy to have reporters from affiliates fill in at different locations.They can easily cover the story without sending a local reporter. ABC national already has several people down there. The lady 6ABC sent down adds nothing.
I would assume that, like the power companies pulling people from other states, ABC is happy to have reporters from affiliates fill in at different locations.
Of course, I think they should use robotic cameras. We have seen plenty of reporting from people in safe cities showing video from reporters standing there at the shore.. they are not needed except to interview people who should have evacuated... and even then you have people in studios taking calls and doing interviews... let the robot put them on camera and a guy in the studio talk to them.
She isn't filling in. She works for a Philly Station and is only on the Philly Station. Besides ABC already has Ginger Zee and 3 other national reporters there.I would assume that, like the power companies pulling people from other states, ABC is happy to have reporters from affiliates fill in at different locations.
Of course, I think they should use robotic cameras. We have seen plenty of reporting from people in safe cities showing video from reporters standing there at the shore.. they are not needed except to interview people who should have evacuated... and even then you have people in studios taking calls and doing interviews... let the robot put them on camera and a guy in the studio talk to them.
seems relatively calm in the cam unless its not actually live
Woman and infant killed in Wilmington. Father in bad shape in hospital.
Tree fell on the house.
The 11 am NHC advisory is up and Florence's winds are down to 80 mph as the hurricane has been just over land, moving across Wilmington and is now about 20 miles SW of Wilmington, moving at only 2-3 mph to the SW. Florence is predicted to chug along the NC then SC coast to Myrtle Beach from now through Saturday morning or it could even go back over the ocean a few miles offshore for a bit and then come back ashore around Myrtle Beach.
Either way we'll continue to see major storm surges to the NE of the track and torrential rains for anywhere within 50-100 miles of the NE SC and SE NC coasts for the next 24 hours, as Florence will remain a hurricane for at least the next 12 hours and a strong tropical storm after that. Florence will then speed up a bit and head west towards Columbia SC by Saturday night, Spartanburg, SC by Sunday morning and then NW towards Asheville, NC by Sunday night with winds not being as much of an issue by the time it reaches Spartanburg (will be just a depression by then with winds <40 mph), but 6-12" of rain along and to the NE of that inland track.
Some good news in this is that Florence won't affect UNC athletes' ability to attend class in any way.
Not that there isn't serious danger involved with parts of this storm, but it's funny to see The Weather Channel busted again for their sensationalism.
That classic is getting a lot of airplay today.
I know I've been saying it for days, but the worst case scenario for rainfall and flooding is unfolding. With 20-40" over the coast and 20-50 miles inland in SE NC and NE SC by the time this is over, plus 5-15" 50+ miles inland of there, which all has to eventually drain to the NC coast via the network of streams and rivers, we're likely looking at a 500-1000 year flood for large parts of coastal to somewhat inland NC (and probably SC). Biblical flooding is possible if the forecast verifies over the next 36-48 hours. I don't think people really know how bad this is going to be. I hope I'm wrong. Say a prayer...
Repeating the graphic Tango had - it's very scary...
Can we stop with the tired and played out worse can scenario and blaming flood for damaging everything. That ship sailed a long time ago.I know I've been saying it for days, but the worst case scenario for rainfall and flooding is unfolding. With 20-40" over the coast and 20-50 miles inland in SE NC and NE SC by the time this is over, plus 5-15" 50+ miles inland of there, which all has to eventually drain to the NC coast via the network of streams and rivers, we're likely looking at a 500-1000 year flood for large parts of coastal to somewhat inland NC (and probably SC). Biblical flooding is possible if the forecast verifies over the next 36-48 hours. I don't think people really know how bad this is going to be. I hope I'm wrong. Say a prayer...
Repeating the graphic Tango had - it's very scary...
I know I've been saying it for days, but the worst case scenario for rainfall and flooding is unfolding. With 20-40" over the coast and 20-50 miles inland in SE NC and NE SC by the time this is over, plus 5-15" 50+ miles inland of there, which all has to eventually drain to the NC coast via the network of streams and rivers, we're likely looking at a 500-1000 year flood for large parts of coastal to somewhat inland NC (and probably SC). Biblical flooding is possible if the forecast verifies over the next 36-48 hours. I don't think people really know how bad this is going to be. I hope I'm wrong. Say a prayer...
Repeating the graphic Tango had - it's very scary...
23" in Morehead City. Not surprising.There has already been up to 23" of rain in Morehead City, which is nearing the NC all-time rainfall of 27", which is almost certainly going to fall. Easily. With the storm only moving 3 mph, it's just going to keep raining. Here's the latest mesoscale discussion and associated graphic from the WPC. As I said above, this is an unfolding 500-1000 year flooding situation for large swaths of NE SC and coastal/inland NC SE of Cape Hatteras, as per the area in blue in the WPC graphic, below. Like I said, I'll say a prayer. And I'm an atheist. Seriously.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0837&yr=2018
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0837
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
422 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018
Areas affected...Portions of the Carolinas
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 142020Z - 150220Z
Summary...Florence is producing heavy rain west of its center and
within a stalled inflow band in southeast NC. Hourly rain totals
to 3" with local amounts to 7" are expected, which could bring
storm total amounts to 24" locally by 02z/10 p.m. EDT.
Discussion...Radar imagery shows Florence meandering westward at 6
mph towards the eastern SC/NC border, with an increasingly diffuse
center. Heavy rain continues west of the center across southern
Columbus County and continues in a stalled band across Carteret,
Craven, and southern Pimplico Counties. The Morehead City
Office/MHX reported 19.4" of rain as of 4 p.m./20z. Precipitable
water values of 2.6" were noted in the 18z sounding from Morehead
City NC/MHX. Inflow at 850 hPa is 60-70 kts per VAD wind profile
and the recent sounding. Effective bulk shear of 30-45 kts exists
here, which when combined with the deep unidirectional cyclonic
flow has organized the rain bands in its eastern periphery. ML
CAPE of 500-1500 J/kg near the persistent band.
The 12z HREF probabilities of 1"+ an hour indicate some westward
drift to the inflow band is expected with time, though the
guidance has definite spread with how quickly it retrogrades.
There have been some hints of this on recent radar imagery and ML
CAPE trends. Hourly rain totals to 3" remain possible in this
environment, which were occasionally achieved over the past six
hours. While the mesoscale guidance is not unified in their
solutions for Florence's inflow band, they do indicate local
amounts in the 4-7" are possible over the next several hours.
This would compound existing flooding/flash flooding across
southeast NC and further saturate soils in northeast SC and
central NC with time. Catastrophic flash flooding remains in the
cards for the NC coast southeast of the Outer Banks.
23" in Morehead City. Not surprising.
So true Robert Plant.If it keeps on rainin', the levee's gonna break...
Talk about old.. is that pre-vinyl? I hardly think mentioning this twice is a "broken record?.
Is this real? If so, I lost a lot of respect for Mike Seidel and the weather channel. I always respected Seidel but to somewhat fake the extent of a nasty storm is not needed. GeeThat classic is getting a lot of airplay today.
The best part (besides the guys strolling in the background) of the new TWC one is that he has no idea that his own channel is selling him out by showing a graphic that sustained winds are only 29MPH (gusts to 48) while he is acting like the winds are twice that.
I wasn't calling you out; I was just assuming that because you posted in the thread, you had been reading it. Sorry for my error. But I think my central point is right; that 6 ABC is covering the storm because people in this area are interested in it. That's also why the major media are covering it; just look at the national news if you want an example.
I doubt he faked it. Those were easily 50 mph gusts in that shot (you can tell by the trees/bushes) and all he said was "60 mph gusts" and the graphic said 29 mph sustained and 48 mph gusts and that's likely the current observation in Myrtle Beach at the time, which could easily be much different where he was. And it's also possible that he was in a bit of a wind tunnel, while the kids were not. He didn't look like he was faking being pushed (and even 29/48 mph will push you a bit). He's also covered 70+ tropical systems and I doubt he'd fake anything - he's always been one of the most fearless guys they have.Is this real? If so, I lost a lot of respect for Mike Seidel and the weather channel. I always respected Seidel but to somewhat fake the extent of a nasty storm is not needed. Gee
There has already been up to 23" of rain in Morehead City, which is nearing the NC all-time rainfall of 24", which is almost certainly going to fall. Easily. With the storm only moving 3 mph, it's just going to keep raining. Here's the latest mesoscale discussion and associated graphic from the WPC. As I said above, this is an unfolding 500-1000 year flooding situation for large swaths of NE SC and coastal/inland NC SE of Cape Hatteras, as per the area in blue in the WPC graphic, below. Like I said, I'll say a prayer. And I'm an atheist. Seriously.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0837&yr=2018
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0837
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
422 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018
Areas affected...Portions of the Carolinas
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 142020Z - 150220Z
Summary...Florence is producing heavy rain west of its center and
within a stalled inflow band in southeast NC. Hourly rain totals
to 3" with local amounts to 7" are expected, which could bring
storm total amounts to 24" locally by 02z/10 p.m. EDT.
Discussion...Radar imagery shows Florence meandering westward at 6
mph towards the eastern SC/NC border, with an increasingly diffuse
center. Heavy rain continues west of the center across southern
Columbus County and continues in a stalled band across Carteret,
Craven, and southern Pimplico Counties. The Morehead City
Office/MHX reported 19.4" of rain as of 4 p.m./20z. Precipitable
water values of 2.6" were noted in the 18z sounding from Morehead
City NC/MHX. Inflow at 850 hPa is 60-70 kts per VAD wind profile
and the recent sounding. Effective bulk shear of 30-45 kts exists
here, which when combined with the deep unidirectional cyclonic
flow has organized the rain bands in its eastern periphery. ML
CAPE of 500-1500 J/kg near the persistent band.
The 12z HREF probabilities of 1"+ an hour indicate some westward
drift to the inflow band is expected with time, though the
guidance has definite spread with how quickly it retrogrades.
There have been some hints of this on recent radar imagery and ML
CAPE trends. Hourly rain totals to 3" remain possible in this
environment, which were occasionally achieved over the past six
hours. While the mesoscale guidance is not unified in their
solutions for Florence's inflow band, they do indicate local
amounts in the 4-7" are possible over the next several hours.
This would compound existing flooding/flash flooding across
southeast NC and further saturate soils in northeast SC and
central NC with time. Catastrophic flash flooding remains in the
cards for the NC coast southeast of the Outer Banks.
11 pm advisory is out. Finally, the 5-day track shows a landfall, right on Wilmington, NC, Thursday evening, as a 130 mph storm, after reaching 145 mph the day before. This track is nearly identical to the 5 pm NHC track. Still not clear what happens beyond landfall, however; will wait until after the upcoming 00Z model runs to discuss those wide ranging possibilities.
When the Weather Channel first started they gave you the straight story on the weather. They must have realized at some point years ago that not enough people tune to a channel devoted to the weather just to be told things are fine. They overhype everything, with the best recent example being their unilateral move in 2012 to give winter storms names.Is this real? If so, I lost a lot of respect for Mike Seidel and the weather channel. I always respected Seidel but to somewhat fake the extent of a nasty storm is not needed. Gee
The hits keep coming with the torrential rains in these bands pinwheeling around Florence, which is located about 20 miles WNW of Myrtle Beach and is still at 65 mph and moving quite slowly (4-5 mph) to the WSW. See the latest WPC mesoscale discussion about the rainfall threat in the link below and the graphic. Expecting at least another 6-9" in areas that have already received 10-20" (mostly within the blue area in the graphic). Not good.
And the latest NHC track...
When the Weather Channel first started they gave you the straight story on the weather. They must have realized at some point years ago that not enough people tune to a channel devoted to the weather just to be told things are fine. They overhype everything, with the best recent example being their unilateral move in 2012 to give winter storms names.
What seems to show you are giving Seidel too much credit is his constant shifting as if he is being buffeted by sustained strong winds, not the gusts you are talking about.While I can't stand the hubris of TWC in naming winter storms, TWC has improved immensely over the past several years, with top-notch meteorological talent in the various expert areas and much better explanations, graphics, reporting, etc., including real discussion of things like model runs, ensemble forecasting, uncertainty, etc. - you know, meteorology. Their biggest coup, in the recent past, was probably their call that the Jan-15 blizzard was going to underperform significantly vs. what the NWS and most other forecasters were saying and they ended up being right. They're been doing an awesome job with Florence - having Rick Knabb, former NHC director, on staff certainly hasn't hurt.
I'm not saying they're not prone to some hyping, like most TV sources these days (there's always something "breaking" and some of the headlines are overdone), but the quality of the meteorological discussions and forecasts has gotten much better. And I know the video looks bad, but it's possible Seidel was in a bit of a wind tunnel, as it really looks like he's feeling some 40-50 mph gusts, IMO. I'd expect ham out of Cantore, but not Seidel, as he's never been known to hype stuff - I could be wrong of course.