THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-MARYLAND PREDICTION THREAD
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
On the road, against an elite defense is going to be very tough.
RU 50
MU 60
Keep in mind that I am 0 for my last 3 predictions.
RU 50
MU 60
Keep in mind that I am 0 for my last 3 predictions.
Solution is chemistry
Scarlet Knights 67
Twerps 63
Chemistry is the solution
Scarlet Knights 67
Twerps 63
Chemistry is the solution
When Willard was hired by Maryland I said they’d never win a game at the RAC.
With that said, this game is not at the RAC.
Maryland rolls
With that said, this game is not at the RAC.
Maryland rolls
General question for anyone with the answer: Has RU won consecutive B10 road games since joining the conference?
Can there be a home game in between?
Last season we won at Wisconsin on 2/18, then lost at home, and then won at Penn St on 2/26. We also won at Purdue on 1/2, then split two games at home, then won at Northwestern on 1/11.
Last season we won at Wisconsin on 2/18, then lost at home, and then won at Penn St on 2/26. We also won at Purdue on 1/2, then split two games at home, then won at Northwestern on 1/11.
So he’s another whiff you think? Seemed pretty solid in his debut against a Big 10 road opponent.
This is the perfect matchup to employ my patented fouling strategy (think Moneyball, but strategically using fouls instead playing guys who walk a lot).
Try to use most of our non-shooting fouls per half on fouling Jahmir Young before the shot (go for a steal each time). This gets the ball out of his hands, at least temporarily. Then, when we get to 7 fouls, only foul Reese (59% on FTs) or Harris-Smith (61%), but not in the act of shooting.
As a volume shooter (15 shots per game), Young will get frustrated having the ball taken out of his hands. We should avoid fouling Jahmir on the shot or once we get to 7 fouls because he’s automatic from the line (90%).
If Pike follows this strategy, or if it somehow happens organically without forcing it, our odds of winning go way up, and RU will win, 63-62.
Since no coach will ever purposely employ my strategy (much like in Moneyball when initially only one team recognized the genius in using unorthodox but statistically valid methods), then the only way to beat MD is for RU to outshoot them, which is unlikely, so MD wins, 67-59.
Glad I got that off my chest 😎
Try to use most of our non-shooting fouls per half on fouling Jahmir Young before the shot (go for a steal each time). This gets the ball out of his hands, at least temporarily. Then, when we get to 7 fouls, only foul Reese (59% on FTs) or Harris-Smith (61%), but not in the act of shooting.
As a volume shooter (15 shots per game), Young will get frustrated having the ball taken out of his hands. We should avoid fouling Jahmir on the shot or once we get to 7 fouls because he’s automatic from the line (90%).
If Pike follows this strategy, or if it somehow happens organically without forcing it, our odds of winning go way up, and RU will win, 63-62.
Since no coach will ever purposely employ my strategy (much like in Moneyball when initially only one team recognized the genius in using unorthodox but statistically valid methods), then the only way to beat MD is for RU to outshoot them, which is unlikely, so MD wins, 67-59.
Glad I got that off my chest 😎
MD does a poor job scouting and RU wins the tip and 6 seconds later Cliff converts the alley op from Derek. The lead hold up.
Rutgers 2
Maryland 0
Rutgers 2
Maryland 0
I think he's good. I think people underestimate how good you need to be to improve a team by 10 points per game. If we improved by 10 points per game we would move from our current ranking of #100 on Kenpom to #16, right between Duke and Baylor. That's quite the impact from one player.
I like last week's 3 point shooting ideas better
Lol, kinda surprised since my system involves playing aggressive defense and going for steals against the best playmaker (until you get to 6 fouls in each half).
Fair point. I think he could be worth a 10 point overall swing per game though through better D, smarter Offensive decisions/shot selection, and a better shooting percentage. We’ll see.
The first 6 fouls, if on the floor, are non-shooting, each half. So 6 possessions per half you’re causing the opponent to restart their offense with 20 seconds on the shot clock while taking the ball out of the best player’s hands each time (if done correctly).
Also, once you get to 7 fouls I’m not suggesting we foul Reese and Harris intentionally, just don’t let them beat you with easy looks inside without aggressively going for the ball.
And, Young scores 21 points on 15 shots per game (1.4) versus a 60% FT shooter that is shooting either 1 and 1 or a 2-shot foul (less than 1.2).
Lastly, you have to account for some steals when playing that aggressively.
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Maybe for a middle school girl's team but not for us.
Doesn't look like it (I looked back through 2019 but I assume we didn't before then given we barely won any games at all). But to be fair we only get a couple chances per season to do it.
This is a pretty even matchup style-wise, two good defenses and two poor offenses. Like Rutgers, Maryland is dreadful on 3-pointers (29% overall), and two of their starters are at 16%. The strategy here is to contain Young, defend Scott and Reese, and sag off of Geronimo and Harris-Smith and make them beat you. Easier said than done, of course.
I just can't see Rutgers winning on the road against a really, really good defense that only gives up 63 ppg (tops in the Big Ten). But this will be a rock fight between two very good defenses.
Maryland 62
Rutgers 56
I just can't see Rutgers winning on the road against a really, really good defense that only gives up 63 ppg (tops in the Big Ten). But this will be a rock fight between two very good defenses.
Maryland 62
Rutgers 56
I’ll leave it at this: If Reese and Harris (combined) have more FT attempts than Young, and if Young gets 12 or fewer shots from the field, RU will win.
Maybe I am being shortsighted. I am not worried about our opponent's offense or offensive pieces. Our offense is what gets my attention and focus. If we do get hurt on D it is usually the 3rd or 4th option that hurts us.
