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THE OFFICIAL 2017-2018 RUTGERS BASKETBALL SEASON PREDICTION THREAD

bac2therac

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Here we go

11/10: CCNY W 1-0
11/12 C CONN ST W 2-0
11/14: CLEVELAND ST W 3-0
11/19: COPPIN ST W 4-0
11/21: BRYANT W 5-0
11/24: EAST CAROLINA W 6-0
11/28: FLORIDA STATE W 6-1
12/3: at Minnesota L 6-2/0-1
12/5: MICHIGAN STATE L 6-3/0-2
12/7: NJIT W 7-3/0-2
12/9: FDU W 8-3/0-2
12/12: FORDHAM W 9-3/0-2
12/16: SETON HALL L 9-4/0-2
12/22: STONY BROOK W 10-4/0-2
12/28: HARTFORD W 11-4/0-2
1/3: at Purdue L 11-5/0-3
1/5: WISCONSIN L 11-6/0-4
1/10: at Michigan State L 11-7/0-5
1/14: OHIO STATE W 12-7/1-5
1/17: IOWA W 13-7/2-5
1/21: at Michigan L 13-8/2-6
1/24: NEBRASKA W 14-8/3-6
1/27: at Penn State L 14-9/3-7
1/30: at Illinois W 15-9/4-7
2/3: PURDUE L 15-10/4-8
2/5: INDIANA W 16-10/5-8
2/10: at Nebraska L 16-11/5-9
2/13: NORTHWESTERN L 16-12/5-10
2/17: at Maryland L 16-13/5-11
2/20: at Ohio State L 16-14/5-12
2/25: ILLINOIS W 17-14/6-12

Final Regular Season Record: 17-14
Big 10 Record: 6-12
Non Conference 11-2
RU finishes 11th
BIg 10 tourney first round win over Illinois
Big 10 tourney second round loss to Wisconsin
Final Record: 18-15

NIT bubble consideration but RU accepts CBI appearance

Now ALOT is unknown this year. Losses of Getty/Johnson loom large and yes the addition of Baker/Doucoure can offset that, I would be careful of putting expectations on freshmen to replicate or improve on the losses from last year.

The schedule is easy....I mean excrutiatingly easy. This is the type of schedule that is really about padding wins and getting the kids used to winning I am not a fan of having such a powder puff schedule even softer than last year. I absolutely hate not playing any non conference game on the road. Bad IMO. I cannot even imagine a trip up against any of the 11 so called cupcakes. The two losses I predict are FSU and SHU and RU most certainly has a shot to pick one of those off mainly FSU but not ready to pull the trigger on that.

RU has a very tough opening to the Big 10 schedule. Their first three league games are against ranked opponents and they actually get Michigan State 2x in the first 5 games. Its very possible...I think likely that RU goes 0-5 to start league play. Wisconsin offers their best chance for a win.
Then we get to the winnable stretch..this is where RU will make their most hay.....OSU, Iowa, and Nebraska at home with a trip to Michigan in between...then two winnable tossup road games at PSU and Illinols. Then the final 8 is a mix of road tossups and home toughies....this stretch will determine whether RU can make a NIT push...I think they fall short in this stretch but finish with 6 conference wins which will be good enough for 11th and 17 wins which will give RU its first winning season in over 10 years.

All about the swing games and who knows at this point...call me guardedly optimistic for this season.
 
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18-13, 7-11 big ten

1 conference tourney win and 1 loss puts them at 19-14.
 
My prediction made on October 10th of last year

Win 11 cupcakes

Find two wins against these seven rough games
Florida state
At Minnesota
Michigan state
Seton hall
At Purdue
Wisconsin
At Michigan state

13-5

Key to the my prediction is making hay in the next five games ...at least 3 of 5

Ohio state
Iowa
At Michigan
Nebraska
At penn state

16-7 with 8 games to go

Split the next 8...20-11

Win a home court advantage at the garden ...

Rutgers takes the 7-10 game against penn state to go to 21-11

With a quarterfinal match up ...buoyed by a partisan pro MSG crowd/..Rutgers upsets second seeded Purdue to get to 22-11...then falls to 3rd seeded Minnesota after a hard fought loss to fall to 22-12

Rutgers has a true, nearly 9 day sweat out ...with bac providing three time a day pecking order analysis right up to 6 pm of selection Sunday

And....

Like our previous football bowl game drought, our NCAA drought of 27 years ends at approx 6:20 pm, march 11, 2018 when Rutgers draws the 10 seed to play 7th seeded Miami in Detroit on Friday, March 16....
 
11-2 OOC
6-12 B1G

17-14 regular season

1-1 in B1G tourney (18-15)

3-1 in CBI tourney (21-16)
 
Same win total (18) as Bac, except I think we win 2 road games (instead of 1) and win 15 home games (instead of 16) in the regular season.

PS: If we can win 2 road games then we have a shot to get to 18 regular season wins by knocking off either FSU or SHU at home.

At that point we have a legit shot at 20 total wins (and an NIT bid?) by getting 2 victories in the B1G tourney.
 
The three biggest question marks are 3 point shooting,foul shooting and the impact of injuries if they occur.
16-15 regular season record with 5 B1G wins.Rutgers must show the ability to win league road games to make up for unexpected home game losses.Defeating Florida State or Seton Hall would be a clear sign that Rutgers will exceed preseason expectations.Losing to any of the cupcake out of conference foes at home would provide the opposite affect.

Expect Rutgers to win first round of B1G Tournament.
 
10-3
4-14
0-1

14-18

We have 6 games vs OSU, NEB, and Illinois. How good those 3 teams could be the difference between us being 2-16 and 6-12. The other 12 B1G games could be 1-11.
 
Last edited:
11/10: CCNY W 1-0
11/12 C CONN ST W 2-0
11/14: CLEVELAND ST W 3-0
11/19: COPPIN ST W 4-0
11/21: BRYANT W 5-0
11/24: EAST CAROLINA W 6-0
11/28: FLORIDA STATE W 7-0
12/3: at Minnesota L 7-1/0-1
12/5: MICHIGAN STATE L 7-2/0-2
12/7: NJIT W 8-2/0-2
12/9: FDU W 9-2/0-2
12/12: FORDHAM W 10-2/0-2
12/16: SETON HALL L 10-3/0-2
12/22: STONY BROOK W 11-3/0-2
12/28: HARTFORD W 12-3/0-2
1/3: at Purdue L 12-4/0-3
1/5: WISCONSIN W 13-4/1-3
1/10: at Michigan State L 13-5/1-4
1/14: OHIO STATE W 14-5/2-4
1/17: IOWA W 15-5/3-4
1/21: at Michigan L 15-6/3-5
1/24: NEBRASKA W 16-6/4-5
1/27: at Penn State L 16-7/4-6
1/30: at Illinois W 17-7/5-6
2/3: PURDUE L 17-8/5-7
2/5: INDIANA L 17-9/5-8
2/10: at Nebraska L 17-10/5-9
2/13: NORTHWESTERN L 17-11/5-10
2/17: at Maryland L 17-12/5-11
2/20: at Ohio State L 17-13/5-12
2/25: ILLINOIS W 18-13/6-12

Final Regular Season Record: 18-13
Big 10 Record: 6-12
Non Conference: 12-1
BIg 10 tourney first round win/second round loss
Final Record: 19-14
 
I do not think its overly optimistic to predict
19-12
8-10 conference
 
11/10: CCNY W 1-0
11/12 C CONN ST W 2-0
11/14: CLEVELAND ST W 3-0
11/19: COPPIN ST W 4-0
11/21: BRYANT W 5-0
11/24: EAST CAROLINA W 6-0
11/28: FLORIDA STATE W 7-0
12/3: at Minnesota L 7-1/0-1
12/5: MICHIGAN STATE L 7-2/0-2
12/7: NJIT W 8-2/0-2
12/9: FDU W 9-2/0-2
12/12: FORDHAM W 10-2/0-2
12/16: SETON HALL L 10-3/0-2
12/22: STONY BROOK W 11-3/0-2
12/28: HARTFORD W 12-3/0-2
1/3: at Purdue L 12-4/0-3
1/5: WISCONSIN W 13-4/1-3
1/10: at Michigan State L 13-5/1-4
1/14: OHIO STATE W 14-5/2-4
1/17: IOWA W 15-5/3-4
1/21: at Michigan L 15-6/3-5
1/24: NEBRASKA W 16-6/4-5
1/27: at Penn State L 16-7/4-6
1/30: at Illinois W 17-7/5-6
2/3: PURDUE L 17-8/5-7
2/5: INDIANA L 17-9/5-8
2/10: at Nebraska L 17-10/5-9
2/13: NORTHWESTERN L 17-11/5-10
2/17: at Maryland L 17-12/5-11
2/20: at Ohio State L 17-13/5-12
2/25: ILLINOIS W 18-13/6-12

Final Regular Season Record: 18-13
Big 10 Record: 6-12
Non Conference: 12-1
BIg 10 tourney first round win/second round loss
Final Record: 19-14

If we get to 17-7....only to drop 6 of 7 to finish 18-13.....I can't say it
 
11/10: CCNY W 1-0
11/12 C CONN ST W 2-0
11/14: CLEVELAND ST W 3-0
11/19: COPPIN ST W 4-0
11/21: BRYANT W 5-0
11/24: EAST CAROLINA L 5-1
11/28: FLORIDA STATE W 6-1
12/3: at Minnesota L 6-2/0-1
12/5: MICHIGAN STATE L 6-3/0-2
12/7: NJIT W 7-3/0-2
12/9: FDU W 8-3/0-2
12/12: FORDHAM W 9-3/0-2
12/16: SETON HALL L 9-4/0-2
12/22: STONY BROOK W 10-4/0-2
12/28: HARTFORD W 11-4/0-2
1/3: at Purdue L 11-5/0-3
1/5: WISCONSIN W 12-5/1-3
1/10: at Michigan State L 12-6/1-4
1/14: OHIO STATE W 13-6/2-4
1/17: IOWA L 13-7/2-5
1/21: at Michigan L 13-8/2-6
1/24: NEBRASKA L 13-9/2-7
1/27: at Penn State W 14-9/3-7
1/30: at Illinois L 14-10/3-8
2/3: PURDUE L 14-11/3-9
2/5: INDIANA L 14-12/3-10
2/10: at Nebraska W 15-12/4-10
2/13: NORTHWESTERN L 15-13/4-11
2/17: at Maryland L 15-14/4-12
2/20: at Ohio State L 15-15/4-13
2/25: ILLINOIS W 16-15/5-13

Final Regular Season Record: 16-15
Big 10 Record: 5-13
 
16-15, 5-13. I'll be thrilled with a winning season, although depending on how the season goes I can see expecting a bit more midway through.
 
10-3
4-14
0-1

14-18

We have 6 games vs OSU, NEB, and Illinois. How good those 3 teams could be the difference between us being 2-16 and 6-12. The other 12 B1G games could be 1-11.

Good job of predicting by GRF. He really nailed it by saying how good OSU, Neb. and Ill. will be could make a difference. RU was 0-6 vs. those three teams.

Hope he's wrong about Wednesday night.
 
I guess I didn’t make a prediction, but I thought we would be a little better than dead last. Very disappointing .
 
17-14 LOL. Still living in pipedream land.
I don't see that prediction as a pipe dream. It was only wrong by four games overall. Beat Stony Brook and Hartford and that's two wins right there.

The current Rutgers team needs multiple guys doing multiple things very well in the same game in order to get wins. That just didn't happen enough this season.

But the program is getting there
 
10-3
4-14
0-1

14-18

We have 6 games vs OSU, NEB, and Illinois. How good those 3 teams could be the difference between us being 2-16 and 6-12. The other 12 B1G games could be 1-11.
Gotta start giving you more credit. Great job, many of us are just starving for something positive before we die.
 
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