THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-MICHIGAN PREDICTION THREAD

[bac2therac]

RUTGERS 74 Michigan 71

Vlad Goldin was hampered with the flu like symptoms vs Penn State and they say he is getting better but we know from experience how that works...could be a big factor if he is not 100%

 

[Caliknight]

If he can’t go or is limited that would be a huge plus for us. With him healthy it’s a very tough order. Their size is a real problem for us.

 

[zebnatto]

RU 78
Mich 70

 

[zebnatto]

RUTGERS 74 Michigan 71

Vlad Goldin was hampered with the flu like symptoms vs Penn State and they say he is getting better but we know from experience how that works...could be a big factor if he is not 100%

Bac, we’ve won three of our last five, two of them at very difficult road venues. One loss was a road loss and the other was a so-called home loss in the gameplay at MSG. I’m wondering what your assessment is as to whether or not, we’ve moved the needle in any significant way in terms of even approaching, the bubble or if the movement has really been minimal diminished by the two losses. Also, I don’t know if you’ve done any mathematical breakdown on where we now stand in terms of making the big 10 tournament. Put differently do we have a bit of a cushion now to at least get into that tournament? Thanks.

 

[bac2therac]

Bac, we’ve won three of our last five, two of them at very difficult road venues. One loss was a road loss and the other was a so-called home loss in the gameplay at MSG. I’m wondering what your assessment is as to whether or not, we’ve moved the needle in any significant way in terms of even approaching, the bubble or if the movement has really been minimal diminished by the two losses. Also, I don’t know if you’ve done any mathematical breakdown on where we now stand in terms of making the big 10 tournament. Put differently do we have a bit of a cushion now to at least get into that tournament? Thanks.

Nowhere near bubble being only 1 game above .500. Non starter

Win next 2 and then they are near the bubble but still on outside of field but at least talk could be realistic

Reality is Rutgers has just one win currently vs a team projected to be in the NCAA tournament

 

[Degaz-RU]

This is a bad "matchup" for us with the injury to Ogbole, as UM has two 7-footers who are both very good on the offensive side of the ball, plus UM is very good from 3-pt range with a 37% average overall (5th in the B1G), including FIVE guys who shoot 36% or better on high volume; and they average 83.2 ppg (3rd in the B1G). Because they can score both inside and out, we won't be able to play much zone defense to neutralize Goldin and Wolf on the inside, because then we're just inviting UM to rain threes.

If Dylan and Ogbole were healthy, I'd probably pick us to win, but I just can't see us scoring enough points without Dylan, and the absence of Ogbole will give Goldin an easier time in the paint. We will put up a fight but ultimately will fall short.

Michigan 84
Rutgers 77

 

[RUfromNJ]

Michigan 77
Rutgers 70

 

[Degaz-RU]

I wonder how we will guard UM's starting lineup

Goldin 7-0 --> Sommerville/Dortch
Wolf 7-0 (but more of a point F) --> Grant/sometimes Bailey/sometimes Martini
Burnett 6-5 --> Bailey (his length is needed to defend threes - Burnett is their best 3-pt shooter)
Donaldson 6-3 --> JWill (taller to defend threes -- he's almost as good as Burnett on threes)
Gayle 6-5 --> Acuff

 

[lion1983]

I wonder how we will guard UM's starting lineup

Goldin 7-0 --> Sommerville/Dortch
Wolf 7-0 (but more of a point F) --> Grant/sometimes Bailey/sometimes Martini
Burnett 6-5 --> Bailey (his length is needed to defend threes - Burnett is their best 3-pt shooter)
Donaldson 6-3 --> JWill (taller to defend threes -- he's almost as good as Burnett on threes)
Gayle 6-5 --> Acuff

Assuming Acuff starts. Gayle will destroy Acuff ... Gayle likes to drive and Acuff has trouble stopping dribble penetration.

I do not know what the answer is ... UM is a very good offensive team who gives all sorts of teams match-up fits.

A\I am resuming Gayle will cover Bailey, to start - Gayle is very athletic, and the best defenders of Bailey so far have been athletic players who can keep Bailey from getting the ball in shooting position with their quickness,, fronting him. Now ... agains NW, when NW started to try to do that, RU finally figured out to toss the ball high and let Bailey go get the ball through elevation. But Gayle and other UM players are much more athletic than the NW defenders.

 

[zebnatto]

Nowhere near bubble being only 1 game above .500. Non starter

Win next 2 and then they are near the bubble but still on outside of field but at least talk could be realistic

Reality is Rutgers has just one win currently vs a team projected to be in the NCAA tournament

Thanks. I wasn’t suggesting that we were on the bubble or even within a half dozen teams of being on the bottle. I was wondering, though, if you think that the past few wins that we’ve had have at least chipped away a little bit at the distance between ourselves and the bubble.

 

[G- RUnit]

This is the team I fear most match up wise.
However we are playing well, could have beat MSU if it had been played at the RAC.
RU 74. Mich 68

 

[zappaa]

Grant, Dortch and Lathen will need to be tough down low on D….3 freshman.
I can’t see how Martini can help us defend.
Acuff or Derk depending on what versions of them show up will need to add secondary scoring beyond Ace.

 

[Rufans]

Rutgers 81
Michigan 76

 

[RAC93]

Rutgers - 76
Michigan - 71

 

[bethlehemfan]

RUTGERS 74 Michigan 71

Vlad Goldin was hampered with the flu like symptoms vs Penn State and they say he is getting better but we know from experience how that works...could be a big factor if he is not 100%

Here we go again!

 

[bac2therac]

Here we go again!

Michigan hasnt been good the last 4 games. Barely beating NW and PSU and losing to Minnesota and losing to Purdue by 26. I think peeps are thinking they are elite. They arent

 

[Degaz-RU]

Michigan hasnt been good the last 4 games. Barely beating NW and PSU and losing to Minnesota and losing to Purdue by 26. I think peeps are thinking they are elite. They arent

I don’t think they’re elite. I just think they’re a bad matchup for us because of the two 7-footers after we lost Ogbole for the season, and no Dylan to help us score in the 80s.

 

[dfr1966]

RU 79-75

 

[bac2therac]

I don’t think they’re elite. I just think they’re a bad matchup for us because of the two 7-footers after we lost Ogbole for the season, and no Dylan to help us score in the 80s.

Maybe but we are at home and Ace is pretty much undefendable

Michigan very vulnerable coming into this game

 

[Rutgers56]

Rutgers 75
Michigan 73

Ann Arbor is a whore.

 

[RUJMM78]

Its clearly a must win for Rutgers playing at the RAC . Rutgers is only 2-2 at the RAC against B1G Ten opponents.Playing without Harper makes winning even more difficult.Michigan will concentrate on limiting Bailey to less than 20 points just like Michigan State did at MSG.

Michigan 75 Rutgers 68

 

[cRURah]

UM 67
RU 70

 

[fluoxetine]

Michigan 79, Rutgers 75

 

[fluoxetine]

Thanks. I wasn’t suggesting that we were on the bubble or even within a half dozen teams of being on the bottle. I was wondering, though, if you think that the past few wins that we’ve had have at least chipped away a little bit at the distance between ourselves and the bubble.

The 3-2 stretch improved our WAB by 0.9 games.

WAB (after game)
Columbia W -1.5
Indiana L -1.9
Wisconsin L -2.3
Purdue L -2.7
UCLA W -2.2
Nebraska W -1.5
Penn St L -1.9
Michigan St L -2.3
Northwestern W -1.8

 

[fluoxetine]

We are currently #77 in T-Rank and -1.8 WAB which is #80.

For those who like to hope: through 1/30/2022 we were #111 in T-Rank and -2 WAB which was #97

 

[RUSJ73]

M 82 RU 74

 

[SBP]

Dercack Acuff step up. Ace be Ace
Grant plays well both ends
RU 74
M 69

 

[RUSCFORMERLYRULOU]

Michigan 85
RU 75

 

[shields]

Rutgers 74-70. Bailey with 30. Goldin I hope is still sick.

 

[BillyC80]

Rutgers wins, 78-74

 

[RUbytheshore]

Rutgers 75 - Michigan 74

 

[Rutgers25]

Assuming Vlad is healthy, we are going to get hammered down low. Only shot is if we get a role player get hot + Ace going for 25+. Think we lose this one by double digits.

UM 84
RU 70

 

[ceranm]

Rutgers 74 Michigan 73

 

[GoodOl'Rutgers]

Love all the positivity so far in this thread..

Rutgers 73 Meechigan 69

 

[JudgeSmails56]

Michigan 93-71

 

[toby83]

Michigan 91-72