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We Beat Miami If . . . .

Good start. We have seen some production from Shaq, but the competition was inferior. This will be a good test for what we can expect from him in conference.

I think a lot depends on Pikiells gameplan on managing Lykes, controlling possession and cutting down turn overs, and Kiss or Harper Jr stepping up a little more offensively.

Should be fun.
 
I think we'll get open looks from 3. Gotta hit em. I also agree we need 14 TO's or less.
 
If we make our 3's we will always be tough to beat. Need to get good games from at least 2 ideally 3 out of Thiam Kiss Harper Mathis assuming Geo and EO do their thing
 
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U Miami struggled vs Bethune Cookman...
BK out rebounded them
BK shot 45% to Miamis 40%
BK was ahead at the half

We could win this one


I saw that too but remember St Johns struggled with Bowling Green before playing us

but the Hurricanes also struggled against mediocre Fresno State and they lost to a Hall team that while improving isnt exactly a top 25 team either
 
offensively, Kiss, Johnson and Harper have to pitch in...... Kiss got off to a great start, but the last couple of games were tough.... Johnson had some bad luck, just misses that seemed to
frustrate him

we could use their help....Gio and Eugene will show up, as long as they don't get in foul trouble
 
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Is it a good plan to have to hit threes to win games? Seems to me that many of the misses just seem to give the ball back to the other team, so one and done.
Are we unable to work the ball around for closer shots and layups? Or, is this where we are most likely to turn it over?
Real questions from a casual BB fan.
 
U Miami struggled vs Bethune Cookman...
BK out rebounded them
BK shot 45% to Miamis 40%
BK was ahead at the half

We could win this one
without their (suspended) big man, they are playing inexperienced front line guys meaningful minutes
 
Is it a good plan to have to hit threes to win games? Seems to me that many of the misses just seem to give the ball back to the other team, so one and done.
Are we unable to work the ball around for closer shots and layups? Or, is this where we are most likely to turn it over?
Real questions from a casual BB fan.

We definitely want to work the ball inside for easy shots. Alley-oops are good as long as they're not forced. Open layups are... well, better than last year but we're still missing too many.

What we don't want are out of control drives or contested 2-point jump shots. We've done a great job of cutting down on the latter, but there's been way too much dribbling into trouble that results in either a turnover or a forced shot.

Montez Mathis is shooting 6-26 on two-point attempts, for instance. I just did a quick look at the worst power-5 teams (California, Washington State, DePaul, Wake Forest, Georgia) and none of them have a guy that bad on two-pointers with at least 15 attempts.

So that needs to improve.
 
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If you disrupt Miami's ball screen action. They are averaging 1.08 points per possession when using a ball screen. That's pretty efficient.

Also need to find a way to contain Dejan Vasiljevic. He is basically a catch-and-release shooter. When Rutgers is on defense they cannot lose him, and if possible, make him dribble the basketball. He is much less effective off the bounce. He is making 54.5 percent (eFG 81.8 percent) of his shots off the catch. An eye popping 85 percent of his jump shots are three-pointers.
 
Montez Mathis is shooting 6-26 on two-point attempts, for instance. I just did a quick look at the worst power-5 teams (California, Washington State, DePaul, Wake Forest, Georgia) and none of them have a guy that bad on two-pointers with at least 15 attempts.

.
watching him for the first time went like this -

(1st touch - drives wildly to basketball and misses dunk) OK , i like this kid, he's not afraid, came in and right away tried to make something happen, nice athleticism

(2nd touch - throws up a long contested two with hand in his face, early in shot clock) wow, kid is aggressive, can't knock that. not the best shot selection but i like the moxy

(3rd touch - another wild drive to the basket, circus layup with no chance) Whoa , let's slow down a bit son, we have others on the court no need to foce

(4th touch - another long two - fading away with hand in face, early in clock)
STOP SHOOTING THE BALL. PASS THE BALL. STOP SHOOTING THE BALL. TAKE HIM OUT.
 
Steals GP No. Avg.
1. Josh Reaves, Penn State 6 14 2.3
2. Thomas Allen, Nebraska 7 13 1.9
3. Trent Frazier, Illinois 6 11 1.8
4. Cassius Winston, Michigan State 7 12 1.7
Aaron Wiggins, Maryland 6 10 1.7
Anthony Cowan, Maryland 6 10 1.7
7. Geo Baker, Rutgers 5 8 1.6
Da'Monte Williams, Illinois 7 11 1.6
Isaac Copeland, Nebraska 7 11 1.6
Ayo Dosunmu, Illinois 7 11 1.6
11. Rob Phinisee, Indiana 6 9 1.5
Myles Dread, Penn State 6 9 1.5
Jordan Bohannon, Iowa 6 9 1.5
14. Isaiah Roby, Nebraska 7 10 1.4
Montez Mathis, Rutgers 5 7 1.4
16. Carsen Edwards, Purdue 6 8 1.3
Kaleb Wesson, Ohio State 6 8 1.3
Darryl Morsell, Maryland 6 8 1.3
 
I think Mathis is pressing and completely in his own head. He got to the line 15 times in the first three games and didn't get there once against EMU or Boston U. I think he was shaky shooting FTs and that affected his confidence so in the last two games he played it "safe" and avoided contact.

He needs to be a slasher and play hard and get to the line and sort his issues out there.

Steals GP No. Avg.

This is all well and good but he also goes all-out for steals and makes some risky gambles. Too often he's tried to jump in the passing lane, not gotten it, and taken himself out of the play. It all ties in to him figuring out when to be aggressive and when to be a little more passive.

It's not an apples-to-apples comparison but the first guy that came to mind is Tra Holder on Arizona State. He was a 4* guy (a PG whereas Mathis is a SG) who was awful as a freshman (35% on two-pointers, 24% on three-pointers). But he kept attacking the basket and getting to the line and by his junior year he had figured it all out.
 
RU takes 30+ 3's and we stick around...get on offensive glass...10 to 11 3s is 30-33 points, get 36 slashes to basket and draw fouls another....15 to 18 of those drives mixed with a few pull up 2s from Geo, Kiss, Mathis and Eugene should get RU another 30 points.

Make 67 to 70% of 15 FT attempts....adds another 10-11 points.

Can't see RU winning without getting to 70 or more points....take some bad shots, some bad 3s, and avoid "overpassing" which leads to turnovers or lost possessions.

Miami is going to want to get up and down but half court defense has been OK but not great.
 
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Not counting on any of the freshmen. The backcourt matchup to me is the major problem for RU. Kiss needs to have a good game and Geo needs to stay out of foul trouble and have a good game. I think the front court is even and we have 12 fouls to use at the center position, which is good. Stay with our strengths: good D and effort and we should be able to hang with them.
 
One thing I noticed from pike's first year is that he used to put a guard on the opposing player bringing up the ball. This shortened the shot clock and thereby the game as well. Now that we have some shooters maybe a slower game is in our favor.
 
Reading the Miami board it sounds like Lykes is more of a shooter at 5'7" than a penetrator/distributor. He will be disruptive on D, but he may have some serious issues against our long backcourt as well. Commits a lot of turnovers.

They are also weak inside because they are still holding out their best big over the FBI stuff...

This isn't a team with two NBA guys at guard like St. Johns had. I'm feeling better about this, except for it being on the road. If Geo and Issa can keep the 3pt% up we will win
 
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Not counting on any of the freshmen. The backcourt matchup to me is the major problem for RU. Kiss needs to have a good game and Geo needs to stay out of foul trouble and have a good game. I think the front court is even and we have 12 fouls to use at the center position, which is good. Stay with our strengths: good D and effort and we should be able to hang with them.
12 fouls to use at the center position?
 
Reading the Miami board it sounds like Lykes is more of a shooter at 5'7" than a penetrator/distributor. He will be disruptive on D, but he may have some serious issues against our long backcourt as well. Commits a lot of turnovers.

They are also weak inside because they are still holding out their best big over the FBI stuff...

This isn't a team with two NBA guys at guard like St. Johns had. I'm feeling better about this, except for it being on the road. If Geo and Issa can keep the 3pt% up we will win
When Lykes is the ball handler and he uses a ball screen Miami scores at least one point 52.9 percent of the time. They average 1.176 points per possession whenever he is the ball screen ball handler. He is making 50 percent of his jump shots but, he has twice as many possessions running pick and roll, as you would expect for a point guard, than he does as a spot up shooter.
 
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Surprisingly I think we have done better than expected (at least I expected) defending high ball screens. We got torched by SJU, but it wasn't because of ball screens.

Hopefully our length will help us make up for our "slow" feet. Lykes i believe is 5'7''.

Great stats....how the heck did you come up with those numbers
 
When Lykes is the ball handler and he uses a ball screen Miami scores at least one point 52.9 percent of the time. They average 1.176 points per possession whenever he is the ball screen ball handler. He is making 50 percent of his jump shots but, he has twice as many possessions running pick and roll, as you would expect for a point guard, than he does as a spot up shooter.
These are amazingly detailed stats. Thanks! I guess I shouldn't base everything on an angry Miami thread following a loss to SHU... lol
 
When Lykes is the ball handler and he uses a ball screen Miami scores at least one point 52.9 percent of the time. They average 1.176 points per possession whenever he is the ball screen ball handler. He is making 50 percent of his jump shots but, he has twice as many possessions running pick and roll, as you would expect for a point guard, than he does as a spot up shooter.
To work your numbers out, what’s the range of possessions per game? Thanks.
 
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