Seems like most on here are thinking the FG was a less than 5% probability of clearing the uprights even though the guy was making it from 60, yards pre-game. Have to think after he had one shot at it and tested the winds, his odds increase significantly (5% to 20%) if he gets a second try
Conversely, what is the probability that
a QB playing very mediocre game executes a 4th and 13 to get a first down AND THEN kick a 40+ yarder cuz the play call was clearly about getting the 1st down
There was no scenario where I imagined a busted defense on 4th and 13 to go for a TD. I was actually happier when he decided to go for it, the probabilities of success has to be far lower
Lots of blame to go around but a successful team needs to be able to stop a 4th and 13 or at least force them to kick a 40yarder into a swirling wind
Conversely, what is the probability that
a QB playing very mediocre game executes a 4th and 13 to get a first down AND THEN kick a 40+ yarder cuz the play call was clearly about getting the 1st down
There was no scenario where I imagined a busted defense on 4th and 13 to go for a TD. I was actually happier when he decided to go for it, the probabilities of success has to be far lower
Lots of blame to go around but a successful team needs to be able to stop a 4th and 13 or at least force them to kick a 40yarder into a swirling wind
