You answered my question which is what 4 wins are they. A win over Maryland adds more quality than beating a Michigan as of now. If they beat Northwestern, Michigan, Ohio State on the road and the their first round Big Ten game. I don't think it's a lock. It's a better than 50% chance, but there is still doubt. You have the WCC, A-10, American which their conference tournaments can cause havoc and steal some bids. 5 wins any way you slice it, takes out uncertainty.
Road and neutral wins are a measuring factor. If we had beaten St. Bona., this isn't a conversation. If I had to bet that we win 4 games (3 at home (not Maryland) and 1 in the Big Ten Tournament), I'd say 10 or 11 seed and hoping there aren't too many bid stealers.
4 wins is a lock..if 3 arecat home and 1 on the tlroad thats a q1 right there
You are a troll here..you dont even know the schedule