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Basketball Full 2019-20 RHoops Schedule released

Maybe the NCAA will look kindly on Rutgers. When they include us in the Big Dance they will see the highest-ever first round Nielsen ratings.
If we make the dance we get shipped out west. We are not Dook.
 
Bottom line.....

Our chances of beating Seton Hall are a lot better if it isn't the last game of a tough 4 game stretch.
 
Overall Record
9-21 / 0.01%
10-20 / 0.08%
11-19 / 0.34%
12-18 / 1.11%
13-17 / 2.94%
14-16 / 6.25%
15-15 / 10.79%
16-14 / 15.25%
17-13 / 17.68%
18-12 / 16.80%
19-11 / 13.16%
20-10 / 8.45%
21-9 / 4.41%
22-8 / 1.87%
23-7 / 0.65%
24-6 / 0.18%
25-5 / 0.03%

Conference Record
2-18 / 0.03%
3-17 / 0.21%
4-16 / 0.95%
5-15 / 3.04%
6-14 / 7.21%
7-13 / 13.02%
8-12 / 18.10%
9-11 / 19.72%
10-10 / 16.85%
11-9 / 11.36%
12-8 / 6.00%
13-7 / 2.48%
14-6 / 0.80%
15-5 / 0.20%
16-4 / 0.04%

Chance of making tournament
28.4%
 
Bottom line.....

Our chances of beating Seton Hall are a lot better if it isn't the last game of a tough 4 game stretch.

I wouldn’t say a lot better at all. Since our OOC is not very demanding, why not have a 4 game stretch that tests us and hardens the team and gives a look into what the B1G schedule will feel like? I want a team that will step up to challenges. This team can build a lot of confidence playing well in those games leading up to Shoe.

Glass is half filled.
 
Overall Record
9-21 / 0.01%
10-20 / 0.08%
11-19 / 0.34%
12-18 / 1.11%
13-17 / 2.94%
14-16 / 6.25%
15-15 / 10.79%
16-14 / 15.25%
17-13 / 17.68%
18-12 / 16.80%
19-11 / 13.16%
20-10 / 8.45%
21-9 / 4.41%
22-8 / 1.87%
23-7 / 0.65%
24-6 / 0.18%
25-5 / 0.03%

Conference Record
2-18 / 0.03%
3-17 / 0.21%
4-16 / 0.95%
5-15 / 3.04%
6-14 / 7.21%
7-13 / 13.02%
8-12 / 18.10%
9-11 / 19.72%
10-10 / 16.85%
11-9 / 11.36%
12-8 / 6.00%
13-7 / 2.48%
14-6 / 0.80%
15-5 / 0.20%
16-4 / 0.04%

Chance of making tournament
28.4%
Based on what? Also, the 2nd decimal place is meaningless here, as is the first one (<1% would suffice), as the precision simply isn't there to report such numbers. Also, is the 28.4% generally the sum of all the probabilities from 19-11 through 25-5 (less not being quite 100% to make it if 19-11)?
 
Based on what? Also, the 2nd decimal place is meaningless here, as is the first one (<1% would suffice), as the precision simply isn't there to report such numbers. Also, is the 28.4% generally the sum of all the probabilities from 19-11 through 25-5 (less not being quite 100% to make it if 19-11)?

It is based on taking each game's win probability from http://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Rutgers&year=2020 and then running a million simulations.

The tournament probability is from that website as well.
 
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