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Home dogs against a 2-9 team

Wow I'm a little surprised...truthfully i think we run all day on them and cover....take the points. I was more worried about Army.
 
Stack the box and make us throw 3 yard passes sideways all day.
On our side, we need to blitz the crap out of them. Their QB situation is bad: pressure them and whoever is playing QB will be running all game.
 
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On our side, we need to blitz the crap out of them. Their QB situation is bad: pressure them and whoever is playing QB will be running all game.
that's the only thing to do with our D Backfield too. I'm in. Roll the dice.
 
Can't wait to read the bitching and moaning on this board Saturday. Good play for Rutgers? "Oh no, now we are going to be stuck with Flood! We might even make a bowl as a 5-7 team! This is horrible! "

Good play for Maryland: "Oh no, even if we can Flood, which is no sure thing, we are in such a deep hole now it will be years before we can compete! Even Maryland is better than us and they have Under Armour money. Indiana would kill us today!"

We are going to win Saturday.
 
Of course the fact that the spread is used to even out the betting between the two teams is now conveniently being ignored.
 
Wow I'm a little surprised...truthfully i think we run all day on them and cover....take the points. I was more worried about Army.

We aren't playing Norfolk State....or Army, for that matter. Regardless of what our coaching staff thinks, we aren't good enough to do this. Once they stack the box the game is over.
 
Thought this might add a little clarity.

Conference Games:
w3jUg90.jpg
 
We (Maryland) are basically screwed at QB. Perry Hills got hurt two weeks ago and Caleb Rowe, his backup, got hurt this week. The next guy on the depth chart is Shane Cockerille, who started the season as a FB (seriously). Cockerille was somehow named a former Elite 11 QB, but he can't throw the ball to save his life. Go figure. I think Rutgers rolls – our secondary is really bad and Carroo is going to eat us alive.
 
MD is every bit as banged up and on their 3rd string QB.

Watched the Indiana Maryland game after getting home from West Point. Maryland is banged up and Brown was suspended for the Indiana game a la Cioffi style (not sure what for). Likely left the Indiana game and it didn't look good. They want the season to end as badly as we do. Indiana destroyed them at College Park.
 
We (Maryland) are basically screwed at QB. Perry Hills got hurt two weeks ago and Caleb Rowe, his backup, got hurt this week. The next guy on the depth chart is Shane Cockerille, who started the season as a FB (seriously). Cockerille was somehow named a former Elite 11 QB, but he can't throw the ball to save his life. Go figure. I think Rutgers rolls – our secondary is really bad and Carroo is going to eat us alive.

During the Indiana game, announcers said that Hills had Mono and may be back for the Rutgers game. Do you know if Hills will be back? Hills is like another tailback in the backfield.
 
Of course the fact that the spread is used to even out the betting between the two teams is now conveniently being ignored.

The consensus bettor is putting their money on Maryland to win this game. Betting flows will move this line as they balance things out, but the experts set the line initially where they believe the betting public will split their wagers. Those guys are extremely good at doing this. Are you saying betting lines are not the market consensus on how a game will turn out and should be ignored? If so, you are sadly mistaken. If you think for some odd reason that RU should be favored and the consensus is wrong, you should be betting a large amount on this game. And you very well may win that bet (I hope you do) but that doesn't disprove that the "market" believes (and is betting real money) on Maryland in Saturday's game.
 
During the Indiana game, announcers said that Hills had Mono and may be back for the Rutgers game. Do you know if Hills will be back? Hills is like another tailback in the backfield.

Still TBD. And yeah he is a good runner (ran for 170 I think against OSU – only reason we were remotely in the game), but he is pretty one-dimensional. I know your fanbase is down on Laviano, but he has a far better arm than any of Maryland's current options. Rowe has the best arm of the bunch and going into this weekend he had thrown 50 completions and 15 interceptions. We need Dwayne Haskins, and we need him fast.
 
We (Maryland) are basically screwed at QB. Perry Hills got hurt two weeks ago and Caleb Rowe, his backup, got hurt this week. The next guy on the depth chart is Shane Cockerille, who started the season as a FB (seriously). Cockerille was somehow named a former Elite 11 QB, but he can't throw the ball to save his life. Go figure. I think Rutgers rolls – our secondary is really bad and Carroo is going to eat us alive.
Third string backups normally play like Heisman contenders against us.
 
Last time I could find us as home dogs to a team this bad was the early 00's. Happened several times back then - Temple, Army, an 0-10 Cal team. Our descent back to the bad ol' days continues.
 
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The consensus bettor is putting their money on Maryland to win this game. Betting flows will move this line as they balance things out, but the experts set the line initially where they believe the betting public will split their wagers. Those guys are extremely good at doing this. Are you saying betting lines are not the market consensus on how a game will turn out and should be ignored? If so, you are sadly mistaken. If you think for some odd reason that RU should be favored and the consensus is wrong, you should be betting a large amount on this game. And you very well may win that bet (I hope you do) but that doesn't disprove that the "market" believes (and is betting real money) on Maryland in Saturday's game.

Ignored? No. However, 3-7 Dallas is currently a 1.5 point favorite over undefeated Carolina in one of Thursday's NFL games. Yes, they are the home team with Romo back, but you also have a lot of rabid Dallas fans (more so than non-national brand Carolina) putting money on the game. I think the folks that set the betting line start with what they truly believe the line should be, and then adjust based on the realities of those who will be betting. You seem to think that the line gets adjusted AFTER the initial line is set. I believe the first adjustment is reflect in the opening line.
 
- lots of off-season losses
- lots of injuries
- problems at the top (HC) of the program

...but were competitive (MORE THAN in 2 of these...) in games vs OSU(49-28), PSU(31-30) and Wisconsin(31-24), 3 things we DID NOT even come close to doing.

Terps likely win this game fellas.
 
Wow, that PF/PA graph is brutal! It looks like our defense has played twice as many games as Wisconsin.
 
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I get that you guys are frustrated with Laviano, but he has 5x the arm as our 3rd string QB. I promise you that.

Can't disagree with you there. People put way, way, way too much stock into our QB "depth," bottom line, we really don't have much (after Rettig...IF Rettig...we don't know...) at all despite having #'s. You want depth? Take a look at what Baylor did, with a 3rd string QB (moved back from WR 2 weeks ago) against OSU, Saturday night!
 
Ignored? No. However, 3-7 Dallas is currently a 1.5 point favorite over undefeated Carolina in one of Thursday's NFL games. Yes, they are the home team with Romo back, but you also have a lot of rabid Dallas fans (more so than non-national brand Carolina) putting money on the game. I think the folks that set the betting line start with what they truly believe the line should be, and then adjust based on the realities of those who will be betting. You seem to think that the line gets adjusted AFTER the initial line is set. I believe the first adjustment is reflect in the opening line.

This comes up every once in a while. So, America's Team (Dallas) is a home favorite against an undefeated team. You seem to think that due to their popularity, this is a market distortion and not a reflection of reality. So, if you really believe that, you should always bet against Dallas since they have the most fans. This popularity doesn't evaporate week to week. People always do the same with Notre Dame and their legions of fans. But professionals will exploit this tendency to the point where it is a very small factor. Over time, both Dallas and Notre Dame end up being a winning bet right around 50% of the time. How do you explain that if you think those rapid Dallas fans are moving the line in so much? You can't. As far as setting the line, the "experts" do it in Vegas, it is put out, gamblers make bets and if they are too much in favor of one team or the other, they are adjusted. Not sure what 1st adjustment you are talking about. The line can change multiple times during a week based on betting volumes and injury news/player issues.
 
Even if we were favored by a few points that would say volumes given that Maryland fired their coach earlier this year because they're so bad. If we're on the roughly the same level as they are why haven't we done the same? Oh right, we're rutgers. We think athletics don't matter even as we lament the low rate of donations to the university...
 
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