Maybe "Instant Impact" and future "GOAT Slot Receiver at Rutgers" Dylan Braithwaite could move over and be that final piece at TE?
I think we can make the Playoffs
- Thread starter rutgersal
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Maybe "Instant Impact" and future "GOAT Slot Receiver at Rutgers" Dylan Braithwaite could move over and be that final piece at TE?
It can be whatever we want it to be, before the season starts
I'm coming up on my 30,000th post. Been wondering how to make it kinda special. I think I just figured it out. Long time coming.
Let me generous and say we have a 25% shot in each of these. Then there is a 58% chance to win one.
If I take your word that these are all coin flips, it is 3% to win them all.
Without knowing much about the opponents and still trying to be very generous, let's give 95%, 95%, 100%, and 90%. Then winning all is 81%.
This would put the chances of making it with these generous assumptions at 58% * 3% * 81% = ~1.5%
To be fair (and I am NOT saying we are going to make the playoffs lol) there is a huge amount of variance in a 12-13 game season and you do not need to actually be one of the 12 best teams to perform the 12th best over such a small amount of games.
Even like the 30th best team has some, not completely negligable (I'm thinking 1-2%? Though I haven't done any serious analysis except my reply to Al's post) shot at it with the new format.
1-2% seems too high to me. I mean, what are the mathematical odds of us claiming the autobid in basketball? Those statistical odds have to be better than the odds of us making the play offs.
Well I’m not sure we’re actually the 30th best team but if you take the assumptions above which are probably consistent with being around 30th it comes out to ~1.5% to be 10-2 or better.
Autobid for the 30th best team is maybe similar I would have to do some math.
Yeah but at 10-2 we’d probably only have a 50% chance at the play offs correct?
Hope springs eternal.It can be whatever we want it to be, before the season starts
Frankly, I'll believe it when I see it. Last season, RU had their easiest schedule since joining the B1G and went 7-5.
Rutgers will win the National Championship, Mets will beat the Yankees in The World Series, the Jets will beat the Giants in the Super Bowl, the Knicks will beat the Nets for the NBA Championship, and the Rangers beat the Islanders for the Stanley Cup. I guess that I'm now officially crazier than Al.
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Well, if you take out the 100% not on the field of play loss to Illinois. We should have been 8-4
That tells a completely different story.
And I only use this single game as there was no would have should have could have single play on the field that needed to change. It was a TO…
BS I the Madhat hold the TKR crazy title
Al is sane compared to my predictions of wins and bowl appearances over the years.
He might have claimed RU was the USC of the east, but I claimed Terry Shea was Vince Lombardi
and Knute Rockne rolled into one. ( well that was proven false quickly)
Also no one should forget my " Give Freddie time whines on the basketball board implying Fred Hill Jr would make RU MBB elite ( we know how that worked out )
The problem most people have first with Al is that he is a crazed fan first and a rational man second.
Part one, loves the crazy predictions and has fun putting them out there. I also think there is a part of him that is now playing with many people as he does it. Sort of crazy like a fox.
As for your Hill and Shea comparison- oh boy…those turned out rough. Good thing you weren’t all in on Eddie J…
Come on man, stop lying on Al. He did not say that, he would have been hospitalized against his will 😃
I would say our should win games are 100%.
Now the 50/50 games are conditional probabilities based on how we fair against Iowa.
That game is the bellwether for our season.
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