Ranking 134 college football teams after Week 14
- Thread starter Tango Two
- Start date
Sports reference has them at #51 out of 134.
www.sports-reference.com
2024 Rutgers Scarlet Knights Stats | College Football at Sports-Reference.com
2024 Rutgers Scarlet Knights Stats
www.sports-reference.com
Paywalled, but of interest:
Rutgers #46
Washington #47
USC #48
Minnesota #39
Michigan #31
Iowa #37
Nebraska #51
UCLA #61 (that loss hurts)
Wisconsin #63 (that loss hurts)
Michigan State #67
Maryland #73
Illinois #17
OTHERS:
Virginia Tech #57
BC #44 (weird)
Pitt #45 (weird)
Vanderbilt #42
Kansas (5-7) #50 (weird)
Rutgers #46
Washington #47
USC #48
Minnesota #39
Michigan #31
Iowa #37
Nebraska #51
UCLA #61 (that loss hurts)
Wisconsin #63 (that loss hurts)
Michigan State #67
Maryland #73
Illinois #17
OTHERS:
Virginia Tech #57
BC #44 (weird)
Pitt #45 (weird)
Vanderbilt #42
Kansas (5-7) #50 (weird)
Syracuse at 20 and Colorado at 18 stand out. Strength of schedule seems underpowered in the formulation. Big ten middle of the pack teams seem punished for beating up on each other yet many could knock off either of the above teams without it being a major upset. I'm not a hater of either of those programs to be clear. I'm not much of a Deon fan but his model is holding up and I am happy for Browns success. I think Rutgers right now beats them both though.
Top half of the B1G with a soft schedule, offset by too many injuries. Would be top half of ACC (old Big East) as well.
Brown getting it done at Saralosers. Unfortunately this only helps with their Recruiting and playing in a more prestigious Bowl helps as well. He might be moving up hopefully to a more elite program.
Well, it's got us ranked ahead of four teams we lost to (USC, UCLA, Wisconsin, Nebraska). And behind one team we beat (Minnesota).
Colorado has won this year but I am not sure if it is his model or the schedule.
I actually give Cuse more credit as they beat better teams then expected.
Big 10 seemed to have 3 tierings this year:
- Oregon, Ohio State, State Penn, Indiana (maybe Illinois goes here)
- The middle 11 or 12
- Purdue
This is also paywall but the SP+ rankings
Just when Ohio State eased ahead in the "Who's the best team in college football?" conversation, Rivalry Week reeled the Buckeyes right back in. Saturday's loss to Michigan both knocked them out of the Big Ten title race and once again compressed the top of the SP+ ratings. The top four teams are all within two points of each other, and the top 10 are all within five and a half. This is pretty much exactly what you want to see heading into the first 12-team CFP.
Here's another thing you want to see: tightly projected conference championship games. Based on the ratings below, eight of nine title games are projected within 5.4 points, including all four power-conference games: Georgia vs. Texas (Horns by 1.5), Oregon vs. Penn State (Ducks by 3.2), Iowa State vs. Arizona State (Cyclones by 3.7, though SP+ has been underselling ASU for a while) and SMU vs. Clemson (Mustangs by 5.4).
What is SP+? In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system.
SP+ is indeed intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a résumé ranking, so it does not automatically give credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system does. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.
Rutgers is 53 overall, 65 offense, 40 defense, 73 STs
Wisc 64, 97, 28, 78
Illinois 41, 55, 41, 23
Minn 34, 78, 14, 63
UCLA 76, 105, 48, 56
MSU 92, 116, 57, 28
USC 25, 16, 46, 57
Neb 54, 94, 14, 120
Wash 57, 67, 32, 126
Maryland 89, 99, 74, 77
IU 11, 14, 10, 11
Cuse 50, 23, 82, 96
VT 26, 37, 30, 35
BC 62, 56, 51, 112
Pitt 47, 62, 49, 8
Colorado 27, 19, 43, 95
Kansas 51, 32, 73, 98
www.espn.com
Just when Ohio State eased ahead in the "Who's the best team in college football?" conversation, Rivalry Week reeled the Buckeyes right back in. Saturday's loss to Michigan both knocked them out of the Big Ten title race and once again compressed the top of the SP+ ratings. The top four teams are all within two points of each other, and the top 10 are all within five and a half. This is pretty much exactly what you want to see heading into the first 12-team CFP.
Here's another thing you want to see: tightly projected conference championship games. Based on the ratings below, eight of nine title games are projected within 5.4 points, including all four power-conference games: Georgia vs. Texas (Horns by 1.5), Oregon vs. Penn State (Ducks by 3.2), Iowa State vs. Arizona State (Cyclones by 3.7, though SP+ has been underselling ASU for a while) and SMU vs. Clemson (Mustangs by 5.4).
What is SP+? In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system.
SP+ is indeed intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a résumé ranking, so it does not automatically give credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system does. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.
Rutgers is 53 overall, 65 offense, 40 defense, 73 STs
Wisc 64, 97, 28, 78
Illinois 41, 55, 41, 23
Minn 34, 78, 14, 63
UCLA 76, 105, 48, 56
MSU 92, 116, 57, 28
USC 25, 16, 46, 57
Neb 54, 94, 14, 120
Wash 57, 67, 32, 126
Maryland 89, 99, 74, 77
IU 11, 14, 10, 11
Cuse 50, 23, 82, 96
VT 26, 37, 30, 35
BC 62, 56, 51, 112
Pitt 47, 62, 49, 8
Colorado 27, 19, 43, 95
Kansas 51, 32, 73, 98
SP+ rankings for all 134 FBS teams after Rivalry Week
How did a wild Rivalry Week shake up the SP+ rankings? Let's check it out.
The middle 11/12 can be divided into groups. I'm confident that Michigan State, Northwestern, Maryland, and Purdue are the worst of this bunch. They are clearly inferior to other middle-tier teams.
its shocking to me that Wisconsin only won 5 games. Beat the snot out of us and almost beat Oregon
Perfect example of NIL allowing fast turnarounds. If he can reel in another million dollar QB no reason to expect a falloff.
If the $ isn’t there and he has to rely a maturing recruit the outcomes may be different.
Had a Wisconsin friend say to me this weekend: "7-5, that's a good record for you guys." Get the sense their fans look down their noses at RU. I replied, "5-7 is an awful record for the Badgers. Fickell is in a pickle." Silence after that.
Pillow soft schedule. Did not play either team in the playoff- Clemson or SMU. Or Notre Dame.
Next year, they play Tennessee in Atlanta, Notre Dame, Clemson, and SMU. 4 losses right there.
That's a tall ask. Chances of them getting the leading FBS passer again are slim to none. More than likely, they'll spend a million and take a big step down. Don't forget Brown and the McCord's lived only 20 mins. away from each other and knew each other. Got to hand it to McCord though, he was a one-man wrecking crew and carried that team to 9 victories.
Yes, but covered above, they were gifted a win against Va Tech, and they nearly lost to Cal. Had the refs not given the Va Tech game to them, they probably were not a playoff team.
Can’t stand Cuse but they did win a few good games. I knew they would have a winning record because of their schedule but they did well.
Now- if NIL dries up and they can’t bring in a handful of super impact players, including QB- watch it drop to 4 wins next year
