This one is a close one. Indiana shoots as poorly as Rutgers and is one of the worst 3 point shooting teams in the country, although Johnson can get streaky. Both Morgan and McSwain can play at the rim. This one is all about effort and intensity, thus, the reason Indiana crushed Michigan State on the boards Saturday night even though the tallest player on Indiana is 6'8" (excluding Davis who's out for the year and Priller/Moore who very rarely see the court) . Rutgers must match the intensity that Indiana will bring.
Both teams coming off 1 day rest. Thinking Rutgers wins by 4 points in a low scoring game, 66-62, filled with many opportunities for offensive rebounding due to poor shooting on both sides.