THE OFFICIAL RUTGERS-PENN STATE PREDICTION THREAD
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
A good comp would be how PSU played at OSU, losing 79-67 to a team we played pretty evenly, also on the road.
Of note in that game, OSU was only 3-18 from 3, while PSU shot 11-24 from 3, 4-5 from the FT line, had only 7 turnovers, and still lost by 12 because they were absolutely dominated inside.
This is a game that Cliff, Mag, and Hyatt have to step up on the offensive and defensive glass, while our guards do their best to deny open looks from the arc.
Rutgers wins, 74-67.
Of note in that game, OSU was only 3-18 from 3, while PSU shot 11-24 from 3, 4-5 from the FT line, had only 7 turnovers, and still lost by 12 because they were absolutely dominated inside.
This is a game that Cliff, Mag, and Hyatt have to step up on the offensive and defensive glass, while our guards do their best to deny open looks from the arc.
Rutgers wins, 74-67.
I don't like that PSU just dropped a home game to Minnesota. That could be a wake up call for them or give us a false sense of confidence.
The bottom line is this can't be a game where we have to play comeback from a 10-12 point deficit. We have to be the team that takes the big lead and holds off any surges. If we can give the "2nd half Purdue" performance for 40 minutes, we will win. Otherwise, anything is possible.
The bottom line is this can't be a game where we have to play comeback from a 10-12 point deficit. We have to be the team that takes the big lead and holds off any surges. If we can give the "2nd half Purdue" performance for 40 minutes, we will win. Otherwise, anything is possible.
Think RU wins but Cleary exited their game against Minnesota. If he is out that makes the path a lot easier because he is their facilitator and creates his own shot.
F state penn. scumbags
Always.
RU 120
state penn 6
Always.
RU 120
state penn 6
The fact that everyone in here has predicted a win is terrifying.
Rutgers 70-67
Rutgers 70-67
And "Proud"
The judge likely coming in with a loss too
If you're predicting a loss this game, are you predicting Rutgers to lose every single game left on the schedule then?
Penn State's road results to date, going backwards in time:
at Ohio State, L 79-67
at Purdue, L 95-78
at Michigan State, L 92-61
at Maryland, L 81-75
Penn State has two wins this year: vs Wisconsin 87-83 (a nice win), and vs Michigan 79-73
In B1G play only, they are dead last in scoring defense at 82.4 ppg allowed. Their margin of -7.3 per game is only ahead of our margin of -8.3 per game.
FG% allowed: .497 !!!
Dead last in rebound margin at -9.2 per game. We are up to -0.6 per game.
They are very good in turnover margin (+4.44 per game).
Conclusion - they appear to be weak inside. Feed the Big Dog, protect the basketball, hammer the glass, win the game.
RU 73
PSU 62
at Ohio State, L 79-67
at Purdue, L 95-78
at Michigan State, L 92-61
at Maryland, L 81-75
Penn State has two wins this year: vs Wisconsin 87-83 (a nice win), and vs Michigan 79-73
In B1G play only, they are dead last in scoring defense at 82.4 ppg allowed. Their margin of -7.3 per game is only ahead of our margin of -8.3 per game.
FG% allowed: .497 !!!
Dead last in rebound margin at -9.2 per game. We are up to -0.6 per game.
They are very good in turnover margin (+4.44 per game).
Conclusion - they appear to be weak inside. Feed the Big Dog, protect the basketball, hammer the glass, win the game.
RU 73
PSU 62
We play more like the 2nd half against Purdue.( A little better performance in the first half and we have beaten number 2) More Gavin and JMD as they continue to improve their game and their confidence level. We take the lead at 5 minute mark and don't look back.
RU 72-62
RU 72-62
It has to do with the opponent and location of game.Both teame are bottom tier B1G Ten teams this season.
I'm not saying they're unreasonable predictions (I predicted a win myself). I just feel like performance is always inversely proportional to the mood around here.
If we arent winning at home vs a team terrible on the road that is perceived in the bottom 3 or 4 then what does that say about RU
RU has played pretty good in its last 3 league road wins especially defensively
I expect this game will be played at a higher pace than usual because Penn State is woeful defensively. Transition game and forcing turnovers a big key to more points
It would say we're not very good (which we already know) and that we had a bad game. We won't be favored *that* heavily, maybe 4-5 points.
This will be a game in which Woolfolk will be able to do some damage inside without looking overmatched. Woolfolk will score 8 points and Rutgers will prevail, 73-60.
PSU defense the perfect game for the true Griffiths breakout
PSU is terrible on the boards, getting outrebounded by an average of 38-32. With our improved rebounding recently, I think this will be a big advantage for us since we shoot so poorly.
PSU also doesn't block many shots. They've only blocked 59 shots this season, for an average of about 3 per game. In contrast, we have blocked 101 shots (59 by Cliff alone) for an average of 5.3 per game. We should be pounding the ball inside and/or dribble driving on every possession, which hopefully would lead to alley-oops or kickout threes.
This is a game where our small guards won't be overmatched, as PSU's two best scorers are Kanye Clary (who is 5-11) and Ace Baldwin (who is 6-1). And as a team, the Nits are not markedly better from deep (30.9% PSU vs. 29.4 RU).
Not-so-side note -- Clary is listed as "day to day" after suffering from a late injury against Minnesota the other night. According to one media report: "Against Minnesota, Clary appeared to run into a Minnesota player’s elbow and remained on the floor, holding his face. He left the court with a towel covering part of his face." So it looks like he may have broken his nose or something (my speculation). Surely, even if he plays, I have to imagine he will be wearing one of those facial masks, which should impact his effectiveness. And there's a chance he won't even play.
So, overall, this is a good "matchup" for us, and I predict Rutgers will win in a Stripe-Out juiced RAC. 😂
Rutgers 72
PSU 63
PSU also doesn't block many shots. They've only blocked 59 shots this season, for an average of about 3 per game. In contrast, we have blocked 101 shots (59 by Cliff alone) for an average of 5.3 per game. We should be pounding the ball inside and/or dribble driving on every possession, which hopefully would lead to alley-oops or kickout threes.
This is a game where our small guards won't be overmatched, as PSU's two best scorers are Kanye Clary (who is 5-11) and Ace Baldwin (who is 6-1). And as a team, the Nits are not markedly better from deep (30.9% PSU vs. 29.4 RU).
Not-so-side note -- Clary is listed as "day to day" after suffering from a late injury against Minnesota the other night. According to one media report: "Against Minnesota, Clary appeared to run into a Minnesota player’s elbow and remained on the floor, holding his face. He left the court with a towel covering part of his face." So it looks like he may have broken his nose or something (my speculation). Surely, even if he plays, I have to imagine he will be wearing one of those facial masks, which should impact his effectiveness. And there's a chance he won't even play.
So, overall, this is a good "matchup" for us, and I predict Rutgers will win in a Stripe-Out juiced RAC. 😂
Rutgers 72
PSU 63
Figure why not change it up stalker man ..you do realize I’m a 55 year fan… alum … donor … in both basketball and football …👍🏻👏🪓
While I hope to gawd we win, I think back to the last game of the season a couple years ago when we should have crushed the nits and escaped when their last second 3 missed.
