Tues/Wed/Thurs Big Ten Games Prediction Thread

[bac2therac]

1/7

Ohio State at Maryland.....MARYLAND
Penn State at Rutgers.....RUTGERS
Iowa at Nebraska.....IOWA

1/8

Northwestern at Indiana.....INDIANA
Illinois at Wisconsin.....ILLINOIS

1/9

Purdue at Michigan.....MICHIGAN
Minnesota at Michigan State.....MICHIGAN STATE


Weekend: 6-1
Season to Date: 8-1

 

[kcg88]

Maryland
Penn State
Iowa

Indiana
Illinois

Michigan
Michigan State

YTD 5-4

 

[red sail]

1/7
UMD
RU
Iowa

1/8
Indiana
Wiscy

1/9
UM
MSU

Weekend: 6-1
YTD: 8-1

 

[gregkoko]

Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Indiana
Wisconsin

Michigan
Michigan State

Weekend: 5-2
YTD: 7-2

 

[phlop87]

1/7
tOSU
RU
Iowa

1/8
Indiana
Wiscy

1/9
Purdue
MSU

Weekend: 5-2
YTD: 7-2

 

[Scarlet Shack]

YTD 7-2

Tuesday
Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Wednesday
Indiana
Wisconsin

Thursday
Michigan
Michigan state

 

[cubuffsdoug]

Maryland
Penn State
Iowa

Indiana
Illinois

Michigan
Michigan State

YTD 5-4

Is there a reason you're 5-4? Oh, you're when against Bac with the PSU pick. :Laughing

 

[kcg88]

Is there a reason you're 5-4? Oh, you're when against Bac with the PSU pick. :Laughing

My 4 losses:

Minnesota (took Purdue to double OT)
Ohio State (upset loss at home to Wisconsin)
Iowa (took Penn State to the wire in Philly... I admit I did not expect such a rowdy crowd)
Nebraska (I thought they had more of an ability to play up to their competition than it turned out they did)

 

[cubuffsdoug]

My 4 losses:

Minnesota (took Purdue to double OT)
Ohio State (upset loss at home to Wisconsin)
Iowa (took Penn State to the wire in Philly... I admit I did not expect such a rowdy crowd)
Nebraska (I thought they had more of an ability to play up to their competition than it turned out they did)

I'm just pulling your chain.[cheers]

 

[Sideline20]

Weekend / 6-1
Season / 8-1

MARYLAND
RUTGERS
IOWA

INDIANA
WISCONSIN

MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN STATE

 

[RUTravesty]

Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Indiana
Wisconsin

Michigan
Michigan State

YTD: 8-1

 

[Groz]

1/7
Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

1/8
Indiana
Wisconsin

1/9
Michigan
Michigan State

Weekend 6-1
Season to Date 8-1

Best of Luck,
Groz

 

[RUJMM78]

Tuesday
Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Wednesday
Indiana
Wisconsin

Thursday
Michigan
Michigan State

YTD 7-2

 

[216 Row E]

YTD 7-2

Ohio St
Rutgers
Iowa
Indiana
Illinois
Michigan
Michigan St.

 

[fluoxetine]

1/7

Ohio State at Maryland.....MARYLAND
Penn State at Rutgers.....RUTGERS
Iowa at Nebraska.....IOWA

1/8

Northwestern at Indiana.....INDIANA
Illinois at Wisconsin.....WISCONSIN

1/9

Purdue at Michigan.....MICHIGAN
Minnesota at Michigan State.....MICHIGAN STATE


Weekend: 4-3
Season to Date: 6-3

 

[RutgersMC]

Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Indiana
Wisconsin

Michigan
Michigan State

Weekend: 5-2
Ytd: 7-2

 

[BillyC80]

Ohio State
Rutgers
Iowa

Indiana
Wisconsin

Michigan
Michigan State

Season to Date: 7-2

 

[Vegas pj]

1/7
MARYLAND
Penn State -
IOWA

1/8
INDIANA
ILLINOIS

1/9
MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN STATE

Weekend: 4-3 Yikes!
Season to Date: 6-3

 

[RocktheRac]

Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa
Indiana
Wisconsin
Michigan
Michigan St.

Weekend 3-4 ouch
YTD 5-4

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

7-2 5-2

MD
PSU
IOWA

INDIANA
ILLINOIS

MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN STATE

 

[NewJerseyHawk]

Tuesday

Maryland
Rutgers
Iowa

Wednesday
Indiana
Wisconsin

Thursday
Michigan
Michigan state

 

[bac2therac]

Indiana down at halftime at home to Northwestern

 

[BillyC80]

Neither team looks very good. NW up 57-54 with 3:20 left.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

If the bet was even $ what do you take.....

Both home teams win tonight VS Both home teams do NOT win tonight

I think I would take the later

 

[bac2therac]

would seem a no brainer right?

 

[fluoxetine]

I would take both home teams to win.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

would seem a no brainer right?

Bart says
65% chance Michigan (-3.2 bart spread) beats Purdue
80% chance MSU (-9.1 bart spread) beats Minny

LV says
Michigan -5
MSU -11

LV says
Purdue +210 (mid point of bid/ask)
Minny +750 (mid point of bid/ask)

I guess bart says 52% chance both home teams win
Las Vegas a bit higher.

It really is +600 for Minny and -900 for Michigan State. I think taking Minnesota would be very tempting. Something tells me that Minnesota is going to have a chance.

 

[bac2therac]

i think Purdue may have a better chance...desperate teams do desperate things and not a fan of how Michigan has looked in league play albeit in just 3 games. They lost to Illinois at home, were waxed by MSU and won a shootout vs Iowa

 

[kcg88]

i think Purdue may have a better chance...desperate teams do desperate things and not a fan of how Michigan has looked in league play albeit in just 3 games. They lost to Illinois at home, were waxed by MSU and won a shootout vs Iowa

They need Isaiah Livers back.

 

[bac2therac]

well hopefully not before that game at MSG

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

People overrated Ohio State early in the year.
I think people are overrating MSU right now.

There is a gap between MSU and everyone else. That gap isn't as big as people think. Paper is just paper and Izzo is a good coach, but on paper is MSU really that good?

 

[bac2therac]

We shall see..maybe its the Big 10 thats overrated

 

[RutgHoops]

People overrated Ohio State early in the year.
I think people are overrating MSU right now.

There is a gap between MSU and everyone else. That gap isn't as big as people think. Paper is just paper and Izzo is a good coach, but on paper is MSU really that good?

Yes. Having the best player on the floor every night, especially when he is a point guard (Winston), is a big advantage. Tilman is also playing at an All-B1G level. I think they are very, very good.

 

[RU-ROCS]

Interesting that not a single person had Nebraska beating Iowa. the Huskers are a bit of an enigma - now with home wins over Purdue and Iowa. That certainly makes RU's shellacking of them in Lincoln look more impressive.

 

[bac2therac]

I am confident they will finish no higher than 13

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

We shall see..maybe its the Big 10 thats overrated

:Annoyed:Angry

 

[bac2therac]

recap

Maryland 67 Ohio State 55
Rutgers 72 Penn State 61
Nebraska 76 Iowa 70

Indiana 66 Northwestern 62
Illinois 71 Wisconsin 70

Michigan 84 Purdue 78 2 OT
Michigan State 74 Minnesota 58

 

[fluoxetine]

Bart says
65% chance Michigan (-3.2 bart spread) beats Purdue
80% chance MSU (-9.1 bart spread) beats Minny

LV says
Michigan -5
MSU -11

LV says
Purdue +210 (mid point of bid/ask)
Minny +750 (mid point of bid/ask)

I guess bart says 52% chance both home teams win
Las Vegas a bit higher.

It really is +600 for Minny and -900 for Michigan State. I think taking Minnesota would be very tempting. Something tells me that Minnesota is going to have a chance.

Just FYI, this isn't really the way to calculate the midpoint.

There is a lot of debate about the best ways to do it (there is generally more vig on the underdog than the favorite) but if you just use the simplest way of assuming equal margin,

+600 / -900 => implied prob 14.286% / 90%

total is 104.286%, so subtract 2.143% from each side and you have

Minny 12.143% / Purdue 87.857% which is equivalent to ~
Minny +723.5 / Purdue -723.5