UCF is officially dead as they are headed to a road loss at WVU falling to 13-12
Ditto for VCU after losing to UMass by 22
Ditto for VCU after losing to UMass by 22
BACATOLOGY: 2/19 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS****RUTGERS WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY OUT AS OF 2/22***
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
Cuse going to win...its a Q1 tonight as NC State is 75 but might be tomorrow....3-7 Q1 3-1 Q2 so will be 6-8 Q1/2 either way
win over UNC, 2x Pitt, 2x NC State
if they can beat Va Tech at home and win at Clemson, things could get interesting
NC State still has a final 3 of at UNC, Duke, at Pitt but will have to win all 3 of those to make a case
win over UNC, 2x Pitt, 2x NC State
if they can beat Va Tech at home and win at Clemson, things could get interesting
NC State still has a final 3 of at UNC, Duke, at Pitt but will have to win all 3 of those to make a case
Of course it's more entertaining -- it's a #1 versus a #15, and so far the #15 at home is winning by double digits.
I’m hitting the point where every time I watch a top 5/10 team, I come away convinced that they aren’t that great and are a prime candidate to lose the first weekend.
good lord this was the longest regulation game I have ever seen......took 30 minutes to play the last 2 minutes. 72 foul shots combined
Arky wins 78-71
It looks like the win by Arkansas would move the Texas A&M road loss to them a Q2 tomorrow while this home loss would be a Q3 so the Aggies would still have 4 Q4 losses not 5. It still not good because the committee knows Arkansas is not good.
Arky wins 78-71
It looks like the win by Arkansas would move the Texas A&M road loss to them a Q2 tomorrow while this home loss would be a Q3 so the Aggies would still have 4 Q4 losses not 5. It still not good because the committee knows Arkansas is not good.
Wake beating Pitt. Might be in
Princeton on the bubble. Might be in
Mississippi State on Bubble. Might be in
Seton Hall Probably in.
Really was a fine and tough schedule.
Princeton on the bubble. Might be in
Mississippi State on Bubble. Might be in
Seton Hall Probably in.
Really was a fine and tough schedule.
Why college hoops so much more fun than football.
BYU going to beat Baylor.
Cuse beats NC State
UConn loses to Creighton
VCU blown out by UMass.
Wiscy squeaks by Maryland
Arkansas beats A&M
Utah State beats San Diego State
Just a random Tuesday night. Not staying up for TCU result…,
Good luck making heads or tails of all this.
BYU going to beat Baylor.
Cuse beats NC State
UConn loses to Creighton
VCU blown out by UMass.
Wiscy squeaks by Maryland
Arkansas beats A&M
Utah State beats San Diego State
Just a random Tuesday night. Not staying up for TCU result…,
Good luck making heads or tails of all this.
don't worry by 11AM i will have it all figured out
Thanks so much Bac for what is clearly a labor of love. Really appreciate it!
Iowa has a offense that generates over 75 points a game.Rutgers has a offense that is lucky to score 65 points.
Judging on what Creighton did to UConn, if Iowa somehow makes the tourney, UConn doesn’t want to see them. Maybe not Nebraska either. Threes the great equalizer.
3 bids absolutely not
USF would really have to improve their metrics to be considered. 2 Quad 4 losses there
Memphis is falling off the map
SMU has a great NET but little else
I would say very unlikely even 2 bids
What a mess after last night. Will be huge shakeups but razor thin margins between about 6 schools right now
I have to hand it to Iowa. I didn't think they would be this close to the bubble at this point. Man, would I love to add Payton Sandfort to next year's RU roster.
FIRST FOUR BYES: NEBRASKA, NEVADA, BUTLER, SETON HALL
LAST FOUR IN: UTAH, PROVIDENCE, TEXAS A & M, NEW MEXICO
FIRST FOUR OUT: VILLANOVA, GONZAGA, CINCINNATI, MISSISSIPPI
NEXT FOUR OUT: WAKE FOREST, IOWA, VIRGINIA TECH, KANSAS STATE
ON DECK: COLORADO, INDIANA STATE, RUTGERS, SAINT JOHN'S
Just some commentary.....some major changes given the Nova win over Butler and Texas A & M loss to Arkansas. Both schools do remain in the field with their bulky loss totals of 11. What is also interesting is when you start evaluating different groups of schools and digesting their metrics and comparing them it can move schools that did not play. Other results around the country like BYU or St Marys do have a trickle down effect. That is what happened with Utah and Gonzaga as I moved the Utes into the field and moved the Zags out and actually behind Villanova right now who moves to my first team out. Also deeper down Nova moving to that first out spot does boost a profile like St Johns. Now the Johnnnies are only 14-12 and that loss total will ultimately be their undoing.
FIRST FOUR OUT: VILLANOVA, GONZAGA, CINCINNATI, MISSISSIPPI
NEXT FOUR OUT: WAKE FOREST, IOWA, VIRGINIA TECH, KANSAS STATE
ON DECK: COLORADO, INDIANA STATE, RUTGERS, SAINT JOHN'S
Just some commentary.....some major changes given the Nova win over Butler and Texas A & M loss to Arkansas. Both schools do remain in the field with their bulky loss totals of 11. What is also interesting is when you start evaluating different groups of schools and digesting their metrics and comparing them it can move schools that did not play. Other results around the country like BYU or St Marys do have a trickle down effect. That is what happened with Utah and Gonzaga as I moved the Utes into the field and moved the Zags out and actually behind Villanova right now who moves to my first team out. Also deeper down Nova moving to that first out spot does boost a profile like St Johns. Now the Johnnnies are only 14-12 and that loss total will ultimately be their undoing.
KenPom, and to an extent the NET, are predictive metrics. Results-based criteria are needed as well
one quad 1 win...1-5 in Q1....5-9 in Q1/2
only 2 wins vs schools in field...Florida and Virginia'
SOR at 51
They closed the gap between them at the first 4 out but will need to beat Duke on Saturday to get into the projected field
Also Creighton is now a 4 seed for me...in play for a 3
Wisconsin drops to a 5...also with the San Diego State loss to Utah State, they drop out of first in MWC so I will slide them back to 5 and elevate A10 AQ Dayton to the 4. Utah State is now up to a 6. Michigan State fell to a 8 last night.
Wisconsin drops to a 5...also with the San Diego State loss to Utah State, they drop out of first in MWC so I will slide them back to 5 and elevate A10 AQ Dayton to the 4. Utah State is now up to a 6. Michigan State fell to a 8 last night.
its just terrible for the strength of the conference...its down big time. Illinois and Wisconsin are going to have to scratch and claw to be top 4 seeds
Big East, SEC, Big 12 have more high end schools
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