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Some fans still believe that coaching is far more important than recruiting.I don't share that viewpoint based on 27 years without 1 NCAA bid and 11 straight losing seasons.Talent really matters in a power conference.
No one says talent doesn't matter, but the only basis on talent is an arbitrary Top 150 ranking system, where 35 to 40% of the Top 150, doesn't even come close to their actual rankings.
The reality is coaching is the key, because if you don't have good coaching, you have ZERO shot at winning and good coaching identifies talent and finds pieces that fit into what needs to happen.
Let's just simplify the argument that says "you need better talent" and if it's not Top 150 talent, you cannot win consistently (which frankly and by the stats, is 100% inaccurate, once you leave the obvious Top 30 to 40 kids. In most cases, no one really knows the difference between the two players ranked at 135 and 175.
There are 65+ Power 5 schools plus the a couple at the top of the Big East, plus the AAC, plus the Mountain West and other schools like Gonzaga, Wichita State etc. ...There are only 150 "difference makers" according to those here continuing to only look at the Top 150 bandwagon....
What you usually see is that certain Power 5 schools usually land multiple kids from the Top 150 and in most cases, they tend to be in the Top 60-70 kids every year....Duke, UNC, Kentucky, Kansas, Louisville, Michigan State, UCLA, Arizona, Indiana and to a lesser extent, Villanova, UConn, Oregon, Texas, Ohio State etc.
Those schools significantly shrink the Top 150 to around 80 kids in the Top 150....so you are now talking about 80 kids nationally left for 50 or so schools....in this argument, there is NOT enough of those "Top 150" kids to go around.
The reality is that staff earn their money by landing one or maybe 2 Top 150 kids a year BUT, you have to clearly know what you are coaching and getting beyond the "Top 150", to earn your money.....if there are 3 to 4 kids recruited at 65+ Power 5 schools per year, that means that there are 250 to 300+ recruits that land at big time programs each year.....OR more than half of the kids landing at winning programs that are NIT or NCAA bubble teams are made up of mostly non-Top 150 kids.
If you believe coaching doesn't matter when the pool of players beyond the Top 100 is fairly watered down or equal OR that evaluation of players outside the obvious Top 60-70 isn't important, then not sure how you can ignore the numbers....
To support the argument that coaching is more important and rankings are not as critical, there are more Power 5 schools "stealing" from low or mid-major freshman and sophomores that have shown they can perform or outperform their higher-ranked competition....otherwise, why is North Carolina taking a grad transfer from William and Mary or explain what Oregon is taking a grad transfer from Illinois State....and how did Virginia and Virginia Tech decide they needed to chase a freshman guard from Mt St Marys, to get backcourt help down the road.
If an unrated 2* kid is one year removed from high school and played at Mt St Marys, Quinnipiac, Sacred Heart for one year and lands at a Power 5 school, then that tells you the rankings are more flawed........ and coaching and system matters more than recruiting talent....Give me a top flight coach and staff that can identify vs strictly relying on "it's 150 talent or bust" anyday of the week.