A month ago, or so, I talked about implementing a "prediction engine", which pits two wrestlers against each other, and spits out who the engine thinks will win in a matchup (returning the projected points for each wrestler).
I went a step further and introduced this methodology to the Dual Rankings process.
So, for every team, I took the starters at each weight and ran them through the prediction engine. Save the results for each match so I could get the sum of the points, like if it was an actual dual. That's then used to determine the winner for that dual. Rinse-repeat for each school against every other school.
This process takes A LONG time, but I feel this gives the MOST accurate representation of a teams' "dual strength".
tl;dr
If a team does not have a starter set at the corresponding weight, then they would forfeit that match and award the other team the 6 points.
If two teams tie in a dual, then it defaults to the traditional team ranking as the tie-breaker.
Lastly, if two teams tie for ALL of their matches (ie both teams went 55-20), then again, the old-style team rankings determine who is ranked higher.
Check out the results here: http://testwrestlestat.azurewebsites.net/rankings/dual
I went a step further and introduced this methodology to the Dual Rankings process.
So, for every team, I took the starters at each weight and ran them through the prediction engine. Save the results for each match so I could get the sum of the points, like if it was an actual dual. That's then used to determine the winner for that dual. Rinse-repeat for each school against every other school.
This process takes A LONG time, but I feel this gives the MOST accurate representation of a teams' "dual strength".
tl;dr
If a team does not have a starter set at the corresponding weight, then they would forfeit that match and award the other team the 6 points.
If two teams tie in a dual, then it defaults to the traditional team ranking as the tie-breaker.
Lastly, if two teams tie for ALL of their matches (ie both teams went 55-20), then again, the old-style team rankings determine who is ranked higher.
Check out the results here: http://testwrestlestat.azurewebsites.net/rankings/dual
