OT: Overnight euro showing snow for this Friday evening
- Thread starter Tango Two
- Start date
No change in the forecast other than the light precip tonight (still around 0.05") could be a mix of rain and snow showers (no accumulation) as temps will likely be in the mid/upper 30s vs the ~40F forecast yesterday.
Flakes are flying in Philly and the surrounding area - no accumulation expected with temps well above 32F. Hopefully we'll see some of those flakes up here soon...
Plenty of flakes up here, even on the forum. . . . but we don't want no snowflakes flying around the shore.
Recently moved from Hillsborough to Flemington. Some light flakes falling around 10 am. I hope the Flemington Deli is as good as Hillsborough Deli.
Most winter predictions I've seen (including NOAA's) are for a warmer than normal winter with normal precip levels, implying less snow than normal, although the 2000-2020 period which was the 2nd snowiest 20-year period in recorded history, featured generally well above normal temps, so it's quite possible to have warmth and snow, as long as the timing of precip and cold is aligned. Anyway, while I'd love to see a snowy, cold winter, I put little stock in winter predictions, as I haven't seen winter predictions that are anywhere near as accurate as tropical season activity predictions.
Wow, would've thought you would before us, given that folks towards Philly got flakes. Not one here either. Still possible, but not counting on it. If only this had hit in a month - could've been a big snowmaker for most.
For those curious, the Euro and CMC at 12Z showed a moderate to significant (2-5"/4-8" range) snowfall for just NW of 95 and beyond with just a little snow along 95 and nada towards the coast (all rain), while the GFS shows no storm. The models have not been consistent from run to run either, although the key point is a winter storm of some sort is looking at least somewhat likely for Thursday into Friday. Worth watching.
This was a good and informative thread by the OP. Saw some quality snow in northwest NJ today in my travels so was good to be in the know.
As usual, forecasts beyond 7-8 days (especially for snow) are pretty inaccurate in the finer details, but we certainly do have a major winter storm going on for interior NY/New England with winter storm warnings up for most, so the ski resorts from the Catskills through New England should do well (could be a slushy 1-2" in NW Sussex and the Poconos). Another good soaking rain for our area today and then winter arrives on Saturday through next week with highs in the upper 30s/low 40s and lows in the 20s, but dry.
Could be some light accumulating snow, the first of the season for the vast majority of the Philly-NJ-NYC region, on Wednesday night with a potential Alberta Clipper type system and cold air in place. Only looking like an inch or less on most models, but sometimes these storms can overperform and drop 2-3". Could also whiff.
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The brisk northwest flow may finally diminish toward Wednesday.
This will be due to an approaching Alberta Clipper which
guidance is projecting will cross the region on Wednesday night.
With cold air in place, its possible we could see a widespread,
albeit light, accumulating snow, so have chance of snow in the
forecast for much of the region. The far southern areas,
southern NJ and central Delmarva, may yet be a bit too warm for
anything other than a mix or some cold rain, but still a long
ways off.
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The brisk northwest flow may finally diminish toward Wednesday.
This will be due to an approaching Alberta Clipper which
guidance is projecting will cross the region on Wednesday night.
With cold air in place, its possible we could see a widespread,
albeit light, accumulating snow, so have chance of snow in the
forecast for much of the region. The far southern areas,
southern NJ and central Delmarva, may yet be a bit too warm for
anything other than a mix or some cold rain, but still a long
ways off.
