But ru tied for turnovers and lost the rebounding battle..all of my coaches would have said those are the two most important stats...I understand both of your points..but Simpson needs to clean up that handle and steady that jumpshot...Hold the presses and wake up John Wooden — we’ve got the formula for winning here folks and it’s gonna bring us to the promised land!!
Those 4 parameters are correlated with winning teams over the course of a full season. Smoothed out over a full season. They aren’t an effective strategy to pursue going into an individual game and they certainly aren’t predictive of a win in a single game.
Doubt the veracity of that? Look at Rutgers vs Houston from 2021. Rutgers won all FG percentage, ft margin, pushed on TOs and lost the rebounding measure and still lost. To reduce the game to those 4 parameters just doesn’t give you a reliable predictor; it’s an accumulative stat that will explain things after the fact…
Houston 63-60 Rutgers (Mar 21, 2021) Final Score - ESPN
Game summary of the Houston Cougars vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAM game, final score 63-60, from March 21, 2021 on ESPN.www.espn.com
…Individual games are governed by a litany of things… including other parameters like three point percentage, offensive rebounds, and points off turnovers. It’s also clutch plays at crunch time and a willingness to hold the ball and make the play. Simpson, at his best, embraces that challenge and goes for it. He’s a terrific player and this year it’ll be irrefutable