Rutgers +5
- Thread starter Spare130
- Start date
The odds makers understand the disparity in the way B1G teams play home and away.
I expect a tight game in the 2H similar to the PSU game. Let’s see if we can grab control down the stretch.
I like it that RU will be the underdog. It will make them play harder, with a chip on their shoulders. They've played some of their best bball this season under those circumstances.
The flip side of that coin is that the Illini may be a little overconfident. If so, hopefully RU will make them pay big time.
This is the sort of stupid stuff that fans say, but a five point road spread between two evenly matched teams isn’t going to make anyone feel doubted or overconfident.
I think rule of thumb is 5-7 points.. it varys. I recall a time when the RAC was a 7 point advantage.. one of the better ones.
Overall I think this thread has been fair.. that is, anything can happen here and my hope is, win or lose, we see the type of play we have grown to appreciate from this team. Then, win or lose, we can expect more good play in future games.
I was always under the impression that winning at home vs PSU would be infinitely easier than winning on the road at Illinois.
I'm surprised it's not +6 or 7
I'm surprised it's not +6 or 7
Kenpom has an algorithm that accounts for home court advantage taking into account point differential (between home and away), fouls called, non steal turnovers, and elevation. #1 is colorado with a 4.8 point home court advantage, mainly due to them being 5400 ft above sea level. The rac is good for 77th with a 3.6 point home court adv
Home court is worth 4 points in college basketball, and most computer models has Illinois about 0.5-1.5 pt better than us, hence the -5.
Rutgers is better than Illinois.. damn shame to lose to them. Uneven foul calls.. not that we hit FTs. And by that I mean that what was called before the shot for us was in the act of shooting for them. Otherwise calls weren't that bad.
