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Season Probability Distribution Model

fluoxetine

Heisman Winner
Nov 11, 2012
10,483
13,785
113
As of 11/8/2018 - Zero Games Played
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Probability of Record:
6-24 = 0.1%
7-23 = 0.3%
8-22 = 1.1%
9-21 = 3.0%
10-20 = 6.4%
11-19 = 11.0%
12-18 = 15.3%
13-17 = 17.5%
14-16 = 16.4%
15-15 = 12.8%
16-14 = 8.3%
17-13 = 4.5%
18-12 = 2.0%
19-11 = 0.8%
20-10 = 0.2%
21-9 = 0.1%
-----------
Probability of Conference Record:
1-19 = 0.3%
2-18 = 1.6%
3-17 = 4.9%
4-16 = 10.6%
5-15 = 16.8%
6-14 = 20.1%
7-13 = 18.6%
8-12 = 13.6%
9-11 = 7.9%
10-10 = 3.7%
11-9 = 1.4%
12-8 = 0.4%
13-7 = 0.1%
-------------
10th Percentile = 10-20 (4-16)
20th Percentile = 11-19 (5-15)
30th Percentile = 12-18 (5-15)
40th Percentile = 13-17 (6-14)
50th Percentile = 13-17 (6-14)
60th Percentile = 14-16 (7-13)
70th Percentile = 14-16 (7-13)
80th Percentile = 15-15 (8-12)
90th Percentile = 16-14 (9-11)
 
GAME BY GAME PERCENTILES
------------------------------
Game #1 - F Dickinson
10th = 1-0
25th = 1-0
50th = 1-0
75th = 1-0
90th = 1-0
------------------------------
Game #2 - Drexel
10th = 1-1
25th = 2-0
50th = 2-0
75th = 2-0
90th = 2-0
------------------------------
Game #3 - St John's
10th = 2-1
25th = 2-1
50th = 2-1
75th = 3-0
90th = 3-0
------------------------------
Game #4 - E Michigan
10th = 2-2
25th = 3-1
50th = 3-1
75th = 4-0
90th = 4-0
------------------------------
Game #5 - Boston Univ
10th = 3-2
25th = 3-2
50th = 4-1
75th = 5-0
90th = 5-0
------------------------------
Game #6 - at Miami FL
10th = 3-3
25th = 4-2
50th = 4-2
75th = 5-1
90th = 5-1
------------------------------
Game #7 - Michigan St
10th = 3-4 (0-1)
25th = 4-3 (0-1)
50th = 4-3 (0-1)
75th = 5-2 (1-0)
90th = 6-1 (1-0)
------------------------------
Game #8 - at Wisconsin
10th = 3-5 (0-2)
25th = 4-4 (0-2)
50th = 5-3 (0-2)
75th = 5-3 (1-1)
90th = 6-2 (1-1)
------------------------------
Game #9 - at Fordham
10th = 4-5 (0-2)
25th = 5-4 (0-2)
50th = 5-4 (0-2)
75th = 6-3 (1-1)
90th = 7-2 (1-1)
------------------------------
Game #10 - at Seton Hall
10th = 4-6 (0-2)
25th = 5-5 (0-2)
50th = 6-4 (0-2)
75th = 6-4 (1-1)
90th = 7-3 (1-1)
------------------------------
Game #11 - Columbia
10th = 5-6 (0-2)
25th = 6-5 (0-2)
50th = 6-5 (0-2)
75th = 7-4 (1-1)
90th = 8-3 (1-1)
------------------------------
Game #12 - Maine
10th = 6-6 (0-2)
25th = 7-5 (0-2)
50th = 7-5 (0-2)
75th = 8-4 (1-1)
90th = 9-3 (1-1)
------------------------------
Game #13 - Maryland
10th = 6-7 (0-3)
25th = 7-6 (0-3)
50th = 8-5 (1-2)
75th = 9-4 (1-2)
90th = 10-3 (2-1)
------------------------------
Game #14 - Ohio St
10th = 6-8 (0-4)
25th = 7-7 (1-3)
50th = 8-6 (1-3)
75th = 9-5 (2-2)
90th = 10-4 (2-2)
------------------------------
Game #15 - at Minnesota
10th = 7-8 (0-5)
25th = 7-8 (1-4)
50th = 8-7 (1-4)
75th = 9-6 (2-3)
90th = 10-5 (3-2)
------------------------------
Game #16 - at Purdue
10th = 7-9 (0-6)
25th = 8-8 (1-5)
50th = 9-7 (2-4)
75th = 10-6 (2-4)
90th = 11-5 (3-3)
------------------------------
Game #17 - Northwestern
10th = 7-10 (1-6)
25th = 8-9 (1-6)
50th = 9-8 (2-5)
75th = 10-7 (3-4)
90th = 11-6 (4-3)
------------------------------
Game #18 - Nebraska
10th = 7-11 (1-7)
25th = 8-10 (2-6)
50th = 10-8 (3-5)
75th = 11-7 (3-5)
90th = 12-6 (4-4)
------------------------------
Game #19 - at Penn St
10th = 7-12 (1-8)
25th = 9-10 (2-7)
50th = 10-9 (3-6)
75th = 11-8 (4-5)
90th = 12-7 (4-5)
------------------------------
Game #20 - Indiana
10th = 8-12 (2-8)
25th = 9-11 (2-8)
50th = 10-10 (3-7)
75th = 11-9 (4-6)
90th = 13-7 (5-5)
------------------------------
Game #21 - at Ohio St
10th = 8-13 (2-9)
25th = 9-12 (2-9)
50th = 10-11 (3-8)
75th = 12-9 (4-7)
90th = 13-8 (5-6)
------------------------------
Game #22 - Michigan
10th = 8-14 (2-10)
25th = 9-13 (3-9)
50th = 11-11 (4-8)
75th = 12-10 (5-7)
90th = 13-9 (6-6)
------------------------------
Game #23 - at Illinois
10th = 8-15 (2-11)
25th = 10-13 (3-10)
50th = 11-12 (4-9)
75th = 12-11 (5-8)
90th = 13-10 (6-7)
------------------------------
Game #24 - at Northwestern
10th = 9-15 (2-12)
25th = 10-14 (3-11)
50th = 11-13 (4-10)
75th = 12-12 (5-9)
90th = 14-10 (6-8)
------------------------------
Game #25 - Iowa
10th = 9-16 (3-12)
25th = 10-15 (4-11)
50th = 12-13 (5-10)
75th = 13-12 (6-9)
90th = 14-11 (7-8)
------------------------------
Game #26 - at Michigan St
10th = 9-17 (3-13)
25th = 10-16 (4-12)
50th = 12-14 (5-11)
75th = 13-13 (6-10)
90th = 14-12 (7-9)
------------------------------
Game #27 - Minnesota
10th = 10-17 (3-14)
25th = 11-16 (4-13)
50th = 12-15 (5-12)
75th = 14-13 (7-10)
90th = 15-12 (8-9)
------------------------------
Game #28 - at Iowa
10th = 10-18 (3-15)
25th = 11-17 (4-14)
50th = 13-15 (6-12)
75th = 14-14 (7-11)
90th = 15-13 (8-10)
------------------------------
Game #29 - Penn St
10th = 10-19 (4-15)
25th = 11-18 (5-14)
50th = 13-16 (6-13)
75th = 14-15 (7-12)
90th = 16-13 (9-10)
------------------------------
Game #30 - at Indiana
10th = 10-20 (4-16)
25th = 12-18 (5-15)
50th = 13-17 (6-14)
75th = 15-15 (8-12)
90th = 16-14 (9-11)
 
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