The stat breakdown I saw yesterday on the games since January were eye opening on how balanced the scoring actually was and how far the dropoff was from the primary 6 players who were around 19 to 20 minutes or more and those who played less than that.
I don't believe in the grad transfer player given this roster and what we saw last year. Anyone brought in for 18 to 20 minutes a game or 600 minutes of playing time to replace Doorson, can go to Doucoure.
The minutes breakdown went this way since Maryland or in last 11 games when the rotation was adjusted.
Baker 34 MPG....11PPG
Mathis 27.5......10.5 PPG
Harper 22.5 (28 over the last 12 or so games)....9PPG
Caleb 18 (22 over last 11 games)...9.3PPG in last 11 games
Eugene 30.5 since January which includes 3-4 games missed.....13.5 PPG
Myles 19.5 MPG.....6.5 PPG
Doorson 17 MPG.....3.5PPG....more critical on defense and rebounding vs offense
Carter 16 MPG .....4.6 PPG
Kiss 13.5 MPG & Thiam 10.5 MPG....5PPG combined
The combined 374 total minutes of Kiss and Thiam since January only yielded 97 total points in almost 20 MPG. Most of the 97 points generated from Kiss but only 5 PPG between the 2 is a huge dropoff vs what we can expect from Jacob Young alone in 20 MPG....and we can expect Geo to have less minutes from 34 MPG to 26MPG.
I haven't even factored in Mulcahy, who I think finds himself on the floor for 18-20 minutes.
The minutes up for discussion IMO, comes from finding a legitimate threat on defense that can move, be a stronger offensive player than Doorson for 18 MPG when Myles isn't playing
OR
Completely going with Harper junior and Eugene at times up front vs Eugene and Shaq Carter or Eugene and Thiam which is what we worked with this year.
If you have that legitimate shooting threat at the 4, who can also block shots or move his feet defensively OR have Harper in that role, then the Ismael Massoud or Josh Hall type of wing or 3/4 immediately plugs in for Carter or Doorsons minutes. If you added a Massoud or Hall, RUs scoring goes up a bit, when factoring in Young.
You would be more efficient without the Thiam and Kiss minutes going elsewhere and more effective on offense giving Carter back up minutes at the 5 behind Johnson and opening up 20 or so minutes for the scoring threat from perimeter and improved defense.
This is my "Scarlet Shack" mode that kinda helps break it down.
Baker 27MPG....Mulcahy 13 MPG
Mathis 24MPG.... Young 14 MPG
McConnell.....24MPG....Young....10 MPG....Mulcahy 6 MPG
Harper...26 MPG.....Ismael Massoud OR Josh Hall type OR JUCO PF...7MPG
Eugene 26MPG....Massoud/Hall/JUCO 14 MPG
Myles...20MPG....Doucoure/Carter....20 MPG
For RU to look different and have more players that can function with less turnovers and more play off the dribble/shoot/pass/score, this is the minute breakdown I can forecast if we landed that wing player to compliment Harper....and that player steps in after Eugene and Carter depart in 2019-20.
I am not anti Peter Kiss, but I cant forecast a situation where he finds minutes unless there's nothing brought in for recruiting this spring that changes the front court minutes.
The breakdown of minutes is 220 minutes per game, when there are only 200 available minutes. There's going to be matchups against smaller teams where 40 minutes a game may not make sense for Myles/Doucoure/Carter....
If a grad transfer steps in, he has to be an immediate match or upgrade as a starter, otherwise I don't see where the fit is....I would pass on a grad transfer.