THE OFFICIAL 2021-2022 RUTGERS BASKETBALL SEASON PREDICTION THREAD

[bac2therac]

It's time!

cut and paste is your friend if you want to do your prediction game by game


November 10: LEHIGH WIN
November 13: MERRIMACK WIN
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY WIN
November 18: at De Paul WIN
November 22: LAFAYETTE WIN
November 27: at Massachusetts WIN
November 30: CLEMSON WIN
December 3: at Illinois* LOSS
December 9: PURDUE* LOSS
December 12: at Seton Hall WIN
December 18: RIDER WIN
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE WIN
December 29: MAINE WIN
January 4: MICHIGAN* LOSS
January 8: NEBRASKA* WIN
January 11: at Penn State* WIN
January 15: at Maryland* LOSS
January 19: IOWA* WIN
January 22: at Minnesota* WIN
January 25: MARYLAND* WIN
January 29: at Nebraska* LOSS
February 1: at Northwestern* WIN
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* LOSS
February 9: OHIO STATE* WIN
February 12: at Wisconsin* LOSS
February 16: ILLINOIS* WIN
February 20: at Purdue* LOSS
February 23: at Michigan* LOSS
February 26: WISCONSIN* WIN
March 2: at Indiana* LOSS
March 6: PENN STATE* WIN

21-10 overall, 10-10 in the Big East good enough for a tie for 7th.

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT

1-1 Big 10 Tourney

RU will be around the bubble, a fairly weak non conference schedule will be criticized

22-11 overall. RU will end up a 10 seed and get 7 seed Oklahoma State where they will win and then fall to 2 seed Villanova in the 2nd round

23-12 final record.

thoughts to come.....


POST SEASON:

 

[Degaz-RU]

10-1 OOC
12-8 B1G

1-1 B1G tournament

23-10 heading into the NCAA tournament.

We get 5 seed.

We get to Sweet 16 and then lose.

Final record: 25-11

 

[NJDOVES]

November 10: LEHIGH - 62 RU - 79
November 13: MERRIMACK - 57 RU -82
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY - 59 RU - 77
November 18: at De Paul - 61 RU - 74
November 22: LAFAYETTE - 64 RU - 78
November 27: at Massachusetts - 70 - RU - 89
November 30: CLEMSON - 71 RU - 79
December 3: at Illinois* - 82 RU - 78
December 9: PURDUE* - 88 RU - 89
December 12: at Seton Hall 69 RU - 76
December 18: RIDER - 67 RU - 79
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE - 64 RU - 78
December 29: MAINE - 69 RU - 77
January 4: MICHIGAN* 74 RU - 76
January 8: NEBRASKA* 69 RU 71
January 11: at Penn State* 72 RU 77
January 15: at Maryland* 78 RU 71
January 19: IOWA* 74 RU - 76
January 22: at Minnesota* 65 RU - 69
January 25: MARYLAND* 71 RU - 77
January 29: at Nebraska* 67 RU - 85
February 1: at Northwestern* 71 RU - 75
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* 77 RU 69
February 9: OHIO STATE* 71 RU - 75
February 12: at Wisconsin* 68 RU - 64
February 16: ILLINOIS* 79 RU 83
February 20: at Purdue* 76 RU - 79
February 23: at Michigan* 81 RU - 77
February 26: WISCONSIN* 77 RU -74
March 2: at Indiana* 74 RU - 71
March 6: PENN STATE* 66 RU - 74

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT - Rutgers Big 10 Champions


POST SEASON: Sweet Sixteen

Pike : Coach of the Year

 

[RUby RED]

November 10: LEHIGH (W 87-64)
November 13: MERRIMACK (W 78-55)
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (W 88-50)
November 18: at De Paul (W 68-59)
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W 70-57)
November 27: at Massachusetts (W 77-61)
November 30: CLEMSON (W 63-59)
December 3: at Illinois* (L 70-65)
December 9: PURDUE* (W 68-60)
December 12: at Seton Hall (W 74-69)
December 18: RIDER (W 93-54)
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (W 84-47)
December 29: MAINE (W 78-60)
January 4: MICHIGAN* (L 79-72)
January 8: NEBRASKA* (W 69-57)
January 11: at Penn State* (W 73-68)
January 15: at Maryland* (W 72-66)
January 19: IOWA* (W 68-63)
January 22: at Minnesota* (W 75-61)
January 25: MARYLAND* (L 64-62)
January 29: at Nebraska* (L 72-68)
February 1: at Northwestern* (W 79-69)
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* (L 65-58)
February 9: OHIO STATE* (W 80-74)
February 12: at Wisconsin* (L 66-65)
February 16: ILLINOIS* (W 81-73)
February 20: at Purdue* (L 71-60)
February 23: at Michigan* (L 82-78)
February 26: WISCONSIN* (W 68-55)
March 2: at Indiana* (L 74-66)
March 6: PENN STATE* (W 68-51)

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT
6th in Big Ten — Big Ten finals loss to Purdue


POST SEASON:
5 seed — Sweet 16 loss to Gonzaga

OOC — 11-0
Big Ten — 11-9

Final record — 27-11

RHJ - 1st Team All-Big Ten — 18.2 ppg/6.4 reb

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I quite frankly don’t have a clue as there are so many new pieces. Geo and Ron are coming off bad years. Our defensive core is gone. Is Cliff going to replace Myles? Is Jaden going to be a reliable scorer? Is Hyatt more than he was on LSU? Will there be a pleasant surprise?

My base case is basically what the number driven models like bartovik say.

8-3
8-12
1-1
17-16

I will put probability of NCAA at 20%
Probability of 6 or less B1G wins 25%

As I said I have little confidence in my or any prediction. The optimism I see on this board is irrational, but certainly possible.

 

[Mr Magoo]

OOC…..9-2
B1G……9-11
Final Record..19-15

 

[GRU23]

OOC: 10-1
B1G: 11-9
6 seed B1G, make it to final four in conference tournament.
Make it to round of 32 in NCAA tournament.
24-12 overall

 

[needmorecowbell]

November 10: LEHIGH - W
November 13: MERRIMACK -W
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY - W
November 18: at De Paul - W
November 22: LAFAYETTE -W
November 27: at Massachusetts - W
November 30: CLEMSON -W
December 3: at Illinois* - L
December 9: PURDUE* - W
December 12: at Seton Hall - W
December 18: RIDER- W
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE -W
December 29: MAINE - W
January 4: MICHIGAN* - W
January 8: NEBRASKA* - W
January 11: at Penn State* - W
January 15: at Maryland* - L
January 19: IOWA* - W
January 22: at Minnesota* - W
January 25: MARYLAND* - W
January 29: at Nebraska* - L
February 1: at Northwestern* - W
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* - L
February 9: OHIO STATE* - W
February 12: at Wisconsin*- L
February 16: ILLINOIS* - W
February 20: at Purdue* - L
February 23: at Michigan*- L
February 26: WISCONSIN* - W
March 2: at Indiana* - L
March 6: PENN STATE* - W

Reg season 23-8 (12-8)

 

[Scarlet Shack]

Mine coming later ...

 

[GimmeSomeMore]

23-8 (13-7 tied 4th in conference)
Highest ranking - 14
Regular Season year end ranking - 16
Big Ten Tourney - semifinal loss to Michigan
NCAA Tourney - 5 seed, Elite 8 loss to Alabama [after upsetting 1 seed Kansas in Sweet 16]
Leading Scorer - RHJ 16.8ppg
Leading Rebounder - Cliff 7.1rpg
Leading Assist - Geo 3.6apg
Team will be more up tempo than we have seen in a LONG time - 76+ppg


RHJ - 1st team Big Ten (honorable mention AA) - 16.8ppg, 6.5rpg, 1.5 apg
Cliff - honorable mention all-conference - 9.0ppg, 7.1rpg, 3.0bpg, 2.0spg
Geo - honorable mention all-conference - 10.3ppg, 3.3rpg, 3.6apg
Jaden - Big Ten 6th man of the year - 11.0ppg, 2.5rpg

Harper drafted by Philly in round 1 (27th)

2022 starting 5:

Transfer PG
Jaden
Paul
Aundre
Cliff

First off bench: Mawot, Jalen, Reiber

Preseason ranking: 17

 

[kcg88]

November 10: LEHIGH (W, 1-0)
November 13: MERRIMACK (W, 2-0)
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (W, 3-0)
November 18: at De Paul (W, 4-0)
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W, 5-0)
November 27: at Massachusetts (W, 6-0)
November 30: CLEMSON (W, 7-0)
December 3: at Illinois* (L, 7-1 - 0-1)
December 9: PURDUE* (W, 8-1 - 1-1)
December 12: at Seton Hall (L, 8-2 - 1-1)
December 18: RIDER (W, 9-2 - 1-1)
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (W, 10-2 - 1-1)
December 29: MAINE (W, 11-2 - 1-1)
January 4: MICHIGAN* (L, 11-3 - 1-2)
January 8: NEBRASKA* (L, 11-4 - 1-3)
January 11: at Penn State* (W, 12-4 - 2-3)
January 15: at Maryland* (L, 12-5 - 2-4)
January 19: IOWA* (W, 13-5 - 3-4)
January 22: at Minnesota* (W, 14-5 - 4-4)
January 25: MARYLAND* (L, 14-6 - 4-5)
January 29: at Nebraska* (L, 14-7 - 4-6)
February 1: at Northwestern* (W, 15-7 - 5-6)
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* (W, 16-7 - 6-6)
February 9: OHIO STATE* (L, 16-8 - 6-7)
February 12: at Wisconsin* (W, 17-8 - 7-7)
February 16: ILLINOIS* (L, 17-9 - 7-8)
February 20: at Purdue* (L, 17-10 - 7-9)
February 23: at Michigan* (L, 17-11 - 7-10)
February 26: WISCONSIN* (W, 18-11 - 8-10)
March 2: at Indiana* (W, 19-11 - 9-10)
March 6: PENN STATE* (W, 20-11 - 10-10)

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT
W vs. Penn State in the 7-10 game
L vs. Michigan in the 2-7 game

POST SEASON:
The two dumb losses to Nebraska (or maybe one is to Northwestern, or home to Iowa, etc) have us fighting for our lives on the bubble. Purdue rounds into form late and is in the mix for a #2 or #3 seed and that win barely gets us over the line.

W vs. #11 seed San Francisco (play-in)
W vs. #6 seed Xavier (round of 64)
W vs. #3 seed Memphis (round of 32)
L vs. #2 seed UCLA (Sweet 16)

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

November 18: at De Paul (W, 4-0) 45%
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W, 5-0) 95%
November 27: at Massachusetts (W, 6-0) 54%
November 30: CLEMSON (W, 7-0) 62%
December 3: at Illinois* (L, 7-1 - 0-1) 14%
December 9: PURDUE* (W, 8-1 - 1-1) 37%
December 12: at Seton Hall (L, 8-2 - 1-1) 26%

Whether you want to include DePaul or just make it a 5 game stretch starting with UMASS.......our season most likely gets shaped in this stretch.

Bart has us 6-4....
5-5 or worse puts us in a big hole
8-2 or better has us on the right path

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

kcg...you have us playing our 1st 2 opponents twice. Were you watching Bill Murray in groundhog day?

 

[kcg88]

kcg...you have us playing our 1st 2 opponents twice. Were you watching Bill Murray in groundhog day?

Copying and pasting is hard! Somehow I came up with exactly 31 games in our record anyway.

 

[RutgHoops]

OOC: 9-2
B1G: 12-8
B1G Tournament: 2-1

23-11. 6/7 Seed. Let's go Rutgers!

 

[GORU2014]

November 10: LEHIGH (W)
November 13: MERRIMACK (W)
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (W)
November 18: at De Paul (W)
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W)
November 27: at Massachusetts (W)
November 30: CLEMSON (L)
December 3: at Illinois* (L)
December 9: PURDUE* (W)
December 12: at Seton Hall (W)
December 18: RIDER (W)
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (W)
December 29: MAINE (W)
January 4: MICHIGAN* (L)
January 8: NEBRASKA* (W)
January 11: at Penn State* (W)
January 15: at Maryland* (L)
January 19: IOWA* (L)
January 22: at Minnesota* (W)
January 25: MARYLAND* (W)
January 29: at Nebraska* (W)
February 1: at Northwestern* (W)
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* (L)
February 9: OHIO STATE* (L)
February 12: at Wisconsin* (W)
February 16: ILLINOIS* (W)
February 20: at Purdue* (L)
February 23: at Michigan* (L)
February 26: WISCONSIN* (W)
March 2: at Indiana* (W)
March 6: PENN STATE* (W)

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT (2 wins)

POST SEASON: Sweet 16

Regular season: 22-9 (12-8)
Overall: 26-11

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Looking at probabilities from bart (who has us 16-15)

Chances of us going 7-0 vs chump opponents 54.8% 6.5 wins
Average Probabilty of win a B1G game 40.45% 8.1 wins
Average Probability of a win in OOC vs non chump opponent 46.75% 1.9 wins

 

[RutgHoops]

I quite frankly don’t have a clue as there are so many new pieces. Geo and Ron are coming off bad years. Our defensive core is gone. Is Cliff going to replace Myles? Is Jaden going to be a reliable scorer? Is Hyatt more than he was on LSU? Will there be a pleasant surprise?

My base case is basically what the number driven models like bartovik say.

8-3
8-12
1-1
17-16

I will put probability of NCAA at 20%
Probability of 6 or less B1G wins 25%

As I said I have little confidence in my or any prediction. The optimism I see on this board is irrational, but certainly possible.

Have we exceeded your W/L prediction every year Pike has been HC?

 

[armenius]

November 10: LEHIGH - W
November 13: MERRIMACK - W
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY - W
November 18: at De Paul - W
November 22: LAFAYETTE - W
November 27: at Massachusetts - W
November 30: CLEMSON - W
December 3: at Illinois* - L
December 9: PURDUE* - W
December 12: at Seton Hall - W
December 18: RIDER - W
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE - W
December 29: MAINE - W
January 4: MICHIGAN* - W
January 8: NEBRASKA* - W
January 11: at Penn State* - W
January 15: at Maryland* - L
January 19: IOWA* - W
January 22: at Minnesota* - L
January 25: MARYLAND* - W
January 29: at Nebraska* - W
February 1: at Northwestern* - W
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* - W
February 9: OHIO STATE* - W
February 12: at Wisconsin* - L
February 16: ILLINOIS* - W
February 20: at Purdue* - L
February 23: at Michigan* - L
February 26: WISCONSIN* - W
March 2: at Indiana* - W
March 6: PENN STATE* - W

25 - 6 (14 - 6)

 

[RUJMM78]

The key to having a winning B1G record is splitting the six games with Illinois,Michigan and Purdue.

9-2 OCC
11-9 B1G
1-1 B1G Tournament
21-12 prior to NCAA tournament
7 seed NCAA Tournament
1-1 NCAA Tournament
22-13 final record

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

Have we exceeded your W/L prediction every year Pike has been HC?

He has completely ruined my predictive capabilities...

Last year I had us 14-12 and said B1GT was going to determine our fate......didn't miss by much (15-11)
2019-20 was a complete whiff as I was concerned about defense after losing Eugene
2018-19 cant find, probably was wrong
2017-18 I got it almost exactly right

 

[HeavenUniv.]

Not concerned about game by game, but we go to the NCAA Tournament for the third year in a row. Thank you Coach Pike and New Jersey’s Team !!!

 

[Eagleton96]

I would have written the season off as a huge question mark and a likely step back. But with so much hype coming from Pike and the media, I'm going to say:

OOC: 10-1
B1G: 11-9
B1G Tournament: 2-1

I've fallen victim to the pre-season wishful thinking hype machine before. Coming from Carino and Pike I feel it's a little different. This will be a learning experience for me either way once we see how the hype meets the other teams on the court.

 

[RUHouston]

In my heart we are undefeated and the talk of the Hoops world...but even in my overly optimistic way:

November 10: LEHIGH (W)
November 13: MERRIMACK (W)
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (W)
November 18: at De Paul (W)
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W)
November 27: at Massachusetts (W)
November 30: CLEMSON (W)
December 3: at Illinois* (L)
December 9: PURDUE* (W)
December 12: at Seton Hall (W)
December 18: RIDER (W)
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (W)
December 29: MAINE (W)
January 4: MICHIGAN* (W)
January 8: NEBRASKA* (W)
January 11: at Penn State* (W)
January 15: at Maryland* (W)
January 19: IOWA* (W)
January 22: at Minnesota* (W)
January 25: MARYLAND* (W)
January 29: at Nebraska* (W)
February 1: at Northwestern* (W)
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* (W)
February 9: OHIO STATE* (L)
February 12: at Wisconsin* (L)
February 16: ILLINOIS* (W)
February 20: at Purdue* (L)
February 23: at Michigan* (L)
February 26: WISCONSIN* (W)
March 2: at Indiana* (W)
March 6: PENN STATE* (W)

OOC: 11-0

B1G: 15-5

Regular Season: 26-5

March 9-14: BIG TEN TOURNAMENT

1-1

Head to NCAAs with 27-6

POST SEASON:

Make Elite 8

3-1

Final record 30-7

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

RU Houston you should read this.....The game that cemented us making the dance.

GAME 24 MINNESOTA: Jacob Young

Lock it up. Rutgers will FINALLY see their name called on Selection Sunday. RU would have their name called last season but then came Covid. Amazingly its almost like we saw this movie as the season wound down last year. RU built up a strong resume early on but sort of tailed off toward the...

rutgers.forums.rivals.com

 

[RutgHoops]

He has completely ruined my predictive capabilities...

Last year I had us 14-12 and said B1GT was going to determine our fate......didn't miss by much (15-11)
2019-20 was a complete whiff as I was concerned about defense after losing Eugene
2018-19 cant find, probably was wrong
2017-18 I got it almost exactly right

I'm hoping you are wrong again this season, but I keep looking at our B1G schedule and can't get away from the thinking that it is brutal. One game each against Minny and NW with both on the road is a bad draw. Those are (likely) the two worst teams in the league and to get them both only once, with both on the road sets up a really tough B1G slate.

 

[GRU23]

I'm hoping you are wrong again this season, but I keep looking at our B1G schedule and can't get away from the thinking that it is brutal. One game each against Minny and NW with both on the road is a bad draw. Those are (likely) the two worst teams in the league and to get them both only once, with both on the road sets up a really tough B1G slate.

To be fair, if we can defend home court like we did in 2019-20, having two very winnable road games is big. Could give us 10 wins right there.

 

[WhichReligionIsRight]

Keeping things simple. 40-0.

 

[superfan01]

19-12 regular season

1-1 in big ten tourney.

will wait for bac to tell me in 4 months if 20-13 gets us in.

 

[kcg88]

I'm hoping you are wrong again this season, but I keep looking at our B1G schedule and can't get away from the thinking that it is brutal. One game each against Minny and NW with both on the road is a bad draw. Those are (likely) the two worst teams in the league and to get them both only once, with both on the road sets up a really tough B1G slate.

Agreed. Important to have no St. Bonaventure esque losses in OOC this year.

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I'm hoping you are wrong again this season, but I keep looking at our B1G schedule and can't get away from the thinking that it is brutal. One game each against Minny and NW with both on the road is a bad draw. Those are (likely) the two worst teams in the league and to get them both only once, with both on the road sets up a really tough B1G slate.

Bart has 17 games where our probability of winning is between 33 and 67%. That is a ton of games that could go either way. The 14 games out side that band are 7 wins and 7 losses.

To your point there are too many games where we lose if we don’t bring our A or B game. Only 7 games where we win just by showing up. No easy B1G games.

 

[scarletrat]

I will buy into the team chemistry, and that we get big years from Harper, Jr and Baker--we always lamented when other teams had the experienced seniors as best players, and now that is us. I will buy into Hyatt being the missing guy we didn't have last year. I will buy into watching Cliff and Jaden improving over the season, to where they both become big contributors in 2nd half of season, and are primary reasons why RU will be better at season end. There will be 1-2 WTF games, and 1-2 surprises in the other decision. I also think we will reestablish home court. I have felt this year would be our best team, and while the losses of Myles and Young are tough, it's not like we didn't struggle last year.

I think RU sweeps OOC and finishes 12-8 in B1G to finish 23-8, reaches B1G semis, 5 seed in tourney, and reaches Sweet 16 to finish 26-10 overall.

 

[BillyC80]

November 10: LEHIGH (W)
November 13: MERRIMACK (W)
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY (W)
November 18: at De Paul (L)
November 22: LAFAYETTE (W)
November 27: at Massachusetts (W)
November 30: CLEMSON (W)
December 3: at Illinois* (L)
December 9: PURDUE* (W)
December 12: at Seton Hall (W)
December 18: RIDER (W)
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (W)
December 29: MAINE (W)
January 4: MICHIGAN* (W)
January 8: NEBRASKA* (W)
January 11: at Penn State* (W)
January 15: at Maryland* (L)
January 19: IOWA* (W)
January 22: at Minnesota* (L)
January 25: MARYLAND* (W)
January 29: at Nebraska* (L)
February 1: at Northwestern* (L)
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* (W)
February 9: OHIO STATE* (W)
February 12: at Wisconsin* (L)
February 16: ILLINOIS* (W)
February 20: at Purdue* (L)
February 23: at Michigan* (L)
February 26: WISCONSIN* (W)
March 2: at Indiana* (L)
March 6: PENN STATE* (W)

OOC: 10-1

B1G: 11-9

Regular Season: 21-10

BIG TEN TOURNAMENT

1-1

Before NCAA: 22-11

NCAA: 2-1 (Sweet 16)

Final: 24-12

 

[RUDieHard]

November 10: LEHIGH - W
November 13: MERRIMACK - W
November 16: NEW JERSEY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY - W
November 18: at De Paul - W
November 22: LAFAYETTE - W
November 27: at Massachusetts - W
November 30: CLEMSON - W
December 3: at Illinois* - L
December 9: PURDUE* - L
December 12: at Seton Hall - W
December 18: RIDER - W
December 23: CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE - W
December 29: MAINE - W
January 4: MICHIGAN* - L
January 8: NEBRASKA* - W
January 11: at Penn State* - W
January 15: at Maryland* - L
January 19: IOWA* - W
January 22: at Minnesota* - W
January 25: MARYLAND* - W
January 29: at Nebraska* - L
February 1: at Northwestern* - W
February 5: MICHIGAN STATE* - W
February 9: OHIO STATE* - W
February 12: at Wisconsin* - L
February 16: ILLINOIS* - W
February 20: at Purdue* - L
February 23: at Michigan* - L
February 26: WISCONSIN* - W
March 2: at Indiana* - W
March 6: PENN STATE* -W

Regular Season:

OOC: 11-0
B1G: 12-8
Overall: 23-8

B1G Tournament: 2-1



NCAA Tournament: 25-9 record gets us a 5 seed.

We lose in the Elite 8.


GO KNIGHTS

 

[fluoxetine]

Overall Record
9-22 0.1%
10-21 0.3%
11-20 1.1%
12-19 2.7%
13-18 5.6%
14-17 9.5%
15-16 13.6%
16-15 16.3%
17-14 16.4%
18-13 13.9%
19-12 10.0%
20-11 5.9%
21-10 2.9%
22-9 1.2%
23-8 0.4%
24-7 0.1%

Big Ten Record
2-18 0.1%
3-17 0.7%
4-16 2.5%
5-15 6.1%
6-14 11.5%
7-13 16.7%
8-12 19.1%
9-11 17.5%
10-10 12.8%
11-9 7.5%
12-8 3.5%
13-7 1.3%
14-6 0.4%
15-5 0.1%

 

[Greene Rice FIG]

I would flatten that up a little as game results aren’t completely independent of one another.

id Jack up the standard deviation a bit and keep everything else the same.

16.5 ish
2.5 ish

My numbers would be
16
3.5

 

[superfan01]

Where is @bac2therac prediction?

 

[LeapinLou]

From a fan's perspective:
This is set up to be one of the best seasons in RAC history to be in the arena. The place is going to be bonkers and I can't wait.

From a player's perspective:
Imagine if we make the dance and get a big lead late in the 2-7 game in a bracket where the 1 seed is already eliminated? That would be awesome.

 

[goru7]

Folks, we have aspecial team on our hands. This team will be in the top6 of the Big10 in the regular season and will lose in the final of the Big 10 tourney. The team will get to the Elite 8 and lose a heartbreaker in the Regional final. Our team will go undefeated at he RAC.

OoC: 10-1:
Big10: 13-7:
Conf.Tourney: 3-1:
NCAA: 6th seed: wins in the opening round, round of 32, Sweet 16 to make Elite8 and lose heartbreaker in Regional Final to Kentucky 69-68: NCAA record 3-1
Overall record : 29-10 and finish 8th in the country.

 

[bac2therac]

Where is @bac2therac prediction?

Too soon..stay tuned

Takes awhile for me to wake up from my 6 month coffin stay