Unranked Oregon at 8-0, with wins over 2 Top 20 teams and a solid SDSU team all at a neutral site.
I realize the first NET will seem wacky, but undefeated Oregon at #15, 2 spots below 2-loss Alabama, who they beat?
That’s worse! Kenpom also has a 3-loss Houston at #5. Wacky early days. (At least it shows Rutgers at #70 which seems about right)
Kenpom still has preseason expectations in there which is contributing, and NET shouldn't have any of that. But especially later in the season you will see that NET and Kenpom are very, very similar.
I agree we are in a very similar spot to where we were in 19-20 after the Pitt loss on the road. Following that game, and a road loss to a very good Michigan State team, the 2019-20 Rutgers was the best team in the country from 12/11 through 1/19 (https://barttorvik.com/trank.php?ye...vquad=0&quad=5&venue=All&type=All&mingames=0#) on the strength of an adjusted defensive efficiency of an absurd 79.1.
Agreed, but if Kennesaw is our worst loss then that’s not too bad. Right now, Kennesaw is closer to being a Q2 than it is being a Q4. If I had to predict, I think that loss finishes as a Q3. If we stack enough Q1/Q2 wins (let’s say 10 of them from Big 10 play) to go with other Q3 wins we will pick up the rest of the way then we should comfortably be in the tourney. If our only bad loss is a Kennesaw Q3 loss, then that’s not a bad resume. The keys are don’t lose to any of the other remaining Q4/Q3 teams left, AND stack enough Q1/Q2 wins and RU will be in. Without the Q1/Q2 wins we won’t get in so that’s the place for RU to start with two opportunities in December, OSU and Penn State.
Man that’s a really remarkable stat. Obviously can’t expect to replicate that sort of dominance, but they were the 43rd best team from 1/19 to the end of the year, somewhere in between should be enough to get us dancing, provided we don’t slip up in December or against Washington
I think if we dont sweep seton hall, princeton, columbia it becomes a very very tough path to even get an ncaa tourney bid. Critically important games
I saw on one site that RU is projected to finish 15-16 and have a 23% chance to make the tournament. 15th in the BIG
Agreed, a minimum of 4-1 record with at least a PSU win to go with the three OOC is the minimum they need. Obviously 5-0 in December would really have the bus flying down the highway. But I think they need at least 4-1. They would be 9-4 with 18 games in the BIG remaining, with a lot of Q1/Q2 opportunities. December does not have many games on the schedule, but it is critical to get the bus started and moving in the right direction with no bad losses and pick up at least a Q2 or Q1 win.
True. We've left ourselves with little margin for error meaning games like Seton Hall, Princeton, etc are essentially "must wins."
There was no consensus of Rutgers being like a top-half tournament seed, KenPom and EvanMiya had Rutgers emphatically out of the tournament in their preseason projections.
Why do you think that is?
Preseason expectations were that @AshCatchEm would be a miserable dipshit and he has not disappointed thus far.
