Add only mature players is a one year solution that will have mixed results with our lack of NIL. You still need HS recruits to try and reestablish the foundation so that the program is more attractive because it's winning again.
It's all the same ultimately.
Retention or transfers will likely cost the same in revenue/NIL allocation for equal talent.
HS recruits are only a one year solution as well.
It's just that the one year is in a couple years.
Dortch/Grant for example:
They are cheap for next year because their talent level is low/undeveloped.
Suppose Grant turns into a legit B1G starting wing.
His retention for 2026-2027 is going to be higher and likely equal to the same as a transfer (of similar talent).
Grant would be a one year solution before getting expensive.
Alternatively, Dortch remains a project and develops just a little bit.
His retention for 2026-2027 would stay low.
But if he becomes a real player then he's more expensive the year after.
HS players are cheaper because you're getting less production. But as they produce, they will be just as expensive as transfers.