Need a new thread, I guess. Models continue to show increasing amounts of snow for our area and now the NWS-Philly has put up advisories for some of CNJ (Mercer, Middlesex and Monmouth, but not Somerset/Hunterdon) and all of SNJ/SEPA (except Cape May; the blue counties) for a general 2-3" of snow for all of the 95 corridor from Philly thru NJ to NYC and towards the coast starting around 1-2 am Sunday and going through the morning; areas well to the NW are only forecast to get 1-2", so no advisories there (3" advisory criterion). For me a minor snowfall is an inch to maybe 2" in spots whereas moderate is 2-4", so we're kind of between those definitions.
It's likely that with borderline temps, especially before about 4 am (temps for most should be at or just below 32F by 4-5 am), we'll see mostly accumulations on colder surfaces, but with high enough snowfall rates, we'll likely see some accumulations on roads, especially since the heaviest snow is expected between about 3 am and 9 am, when it'll be dark and/or the sun won't be high up yet. So driving before 9-10 am could be impacted, but it's very likely roads will be fine by lunchtime, unless the storm really overperforms and drops 3-5" (outside shot at that for those who see the heaviest bands). There's also some chance that this system underperforms, now that the accumulations have been upped, as some models are still only showing an inch or less for much of the region. We'll see shortly.
https://www.weather.gov/phi/
https://www.33andrain.com/topic/2090-super-bowl-special-213-14/page/7/
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/56799-likely-light-snowfall-213-214/page/8/
It's likely that with borderline temps, especially before about 4 am (temps for most should be at or just below 32F by 4-5 am), we'll see mostly accumulations on colder surfaces, but with high enough snowfall rates, we'll likely see some accumulations on roads, especially since the heaviest snow is expected between about 3 am and 9 am, when it'll be dark and/or the sun won't be high up yet. So driving before 9-10 am could be impacted, but it's very likely roads will be fine by lunchtime, unless the storm really overperforms and drops 3-5" (outside shot at that for those who see the heaviest bands). There's also some chance that this system underperforms, now that the accumulations have been upped, as some models are still only showing an inch or less for much of the region. We'll see shortly.
https://www.weather.gov/phi/
https://www.33andrain.com/topic/2090-super-bowl-special-213-14/page/7/
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/56799-likely-light-snowfall-213-214/page/8/
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