Take a look at Utah Valley. They finished 25-7. If we played their schedule would we finish 25-7?
Where it is flawed is I don't think Utah Valley could finish 19-14 with our schedule.
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Actually looking at the WAC and their teams SOS makes me conclude the WAC is the ACC in drag.
Maybe the B1G isn't that much better than the WAC and they could finish 19-14.
apply the same standard that you would use looking at the 3-4 different weather models and add the variability the storm is 3 days away. I promise you that you wouldn't come up with the same answer.
It's an interesting question. Say you take two teams and they play 10 Q3/Q4 games. Each goes 9-1. By adjusted efficiency margin they perform virtually the same. Do they have the same expected performance against Q1 and Q2 teams? I would say no or at least not necessarily. Dozens of other factors go into that.
A 35 NET in the B1G is a nice metric and hard to achieve. Crushing cupcakes and never getting blown out helps that
MSU way locked in over us. We want MSU to win to get us another Q1 win.
I saw his odd ball interview. He just looks uncomfortable all of the time. And clueless. He’s just ready to run his algorithm and runs his calculations. He’s an unrealistic dwork. 2 weeks ago, he had us playing PSU in one of the playin games and Michigan in the other at large playin. It would and never happen where one league solely would dominate the 2 at large play in game. If they thought he was worth anything, he would be on the Selection Show. ESPN at least parades Lunardi around like he’s kind of right. Palm is nowhere to be seen near selection Sunday.
Nah, 0.1% is what I use when it's really 0%, but I'm not an absolutist, so I can't say 0%. And I actually think our resume (especially our very strong wins, including 3 Q1 road wins and almost a 4th (WI barely into Q2) and 7 wins against teams in the tourney (and the best road win in the country at Purdue), plus 3 of our 4 Q3 losses were barely Q3 losses (and we had 2 starters out for Temple) puts us at maybe the 3rd or 4th 10 seed, but I'm assuming a couple of bid stealers to knock us to 11, but not in Dayton, so I think we have a bit of a not-in-Dayton cushion - hence my 10% estimate on that. I also believe that the Committee knows that there is close to zero difference between the 4th 10 and the 3rd 11th seed and that "loss" against OSU will help us stay out of Dayton.
It’s a crappy result for us regardless. We played both teams twice so it’s NET neutral. Just deteriorates the Michigan State win. If OSU gets a bid that’s one less at large spot which pushes us closer to Dayton.
