Not all Q3 losses are equal. Three of our 4 are barely Q3 losses:
- SHU is #78 vs. the range of 76-160 for a Q3 home loss (and it was a rivalry game)
- Temple is #120 vs. the range of 101-200 for Q3 neutral loss (and we were missing 2 starters, so I would imagine the Committee does something like moving that to a Q2 loss, vs. completely ignoring it)
- Nebraska is similar to SHU, i.e, #94 vs. the range of 76-160 for a Q3 home loss
- Yes, MN is a bad Q3 loss, but IMO, it's our only truly "bad" loss all year, at #221 vs. the range of 136-240 for Q3 away losses.
If they split Q1 and Q2 into two halves, not sure why they wouldn't do the same for Q3 and Q4; we'd then have 3 "upper Q3" losses and 1 "lower Q3" loss. Even if they don't do it formally, I'm sure they get into such discussions when doing seeding, especially drawing the line between Dayton and not in Dayton and that will help us.