As expected, Maryland falls to 30.
27 Indiana
28 Boise St
29 TCU
Rutgers back to 40, passed by Nevada and Iowa overnight.
BACATOLOGY: 3/6 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS***RUTGERS PROJECTED 11 SEED***
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
27 Indiana
28 Boise St
29 TCU
Rutgers back to 40, passed by Nevada and Iowa overnight.
I'd be interested in hearing what @fluoxetine has to say, too...but I had FAU as a 1.5 point favorite in that one today. I passed on playing it for now as it sits at +2.5, but if it makes it to 3, I'll be on FAU. I'm really staying away because of the motivation edge for UAB today. Sure, winning a conference title is great, but UAB is playing for their NCAA lives and has been playing well lately (though they almost let it slip away yesterday).
are we really behind boise and utah state? i get if utah state wins we would be. Also miss state too? I guess it’s close
who is utah states best win? boise? they also lost to them by 22. They didn’t play anyone out of conference ? we have like 7 or 8 wins better than their best win. they also lost to a horrible smu team as well. boise at least has beaten a and m on a neutral floor and san diego state at home. Utah state to me is a paper tiger especially if they lose today
who is utah states best win? boise? they also lost to them by 22. They didn’t play anyone out of conference ? we have like 7 or 8 wins better than their best win. they also lost to a horrible smu team as well. boise at least has beaten a and m on a neutral floor and san diego state at home. Utah state to me is a paper tiger especially if they lose today
They probably aren’t even going to notice Mag’s absence for this reason to be honest. 24 mpg isn’t even necessarily starter minutes. He added a lot of intangibles. You think the committee isn’t going to drill to look at improved line up but will take note of intangibles we lost from a role player paper guy? Not seeing it.
I don’t. But the committee as you said isn’t going to drill down and look at marginal difference between players on the floor. On paper Hyatt and Mag would seem similar to the committe no?
Forget the 4 Q3 losses....
People are forgetting the fact...
We have a whopping 14 losses AND
We had a terrible OOC SOS
Our resume may look good for what the NCAA looks at.
Utah State has 7 losses
Boise State has 9 losses
This might be interesting. It would really suck if an undeserving FAU at large team is the cause of us having to play in Dayton.
FAU deserves to be in the field 10X more than we do. They are 30-3.
We had multiple opportunities to play our way comfortably in to the tournament.
Greene.....RU is in on 100 of 104 brackets this AM....my last 4 are ASU, NC State, Mississippi state and Pittsburgh ( depending on the order).
yes but utah state hasn’t beaten anyone and lost to smu who i believe is a Q3 loss at least.
What point are you trying to make? I am saying we are comfortably in the tournament.
we would be 30-3 at least with their schedule and they would be under 500 with ours
They are 2-5 in Q1. They beat Boise State 2X.
It really comes down how you evaluate their schedule.
I'm not sure how anyone could argue with a 30 win team going into the tournament and getting to bypass Dayton. Any mid-major should be in with that kind of win record.
As FIG said, we had our chance to control our destiny and we blew it. Time to move on and just hope for the best.
As FIG said, we had our chance to control our destiny and we blew it. Time to move on and just hope for the best.
1st part is 100% FALSE. The 2nd part is the arguement.
imagine your best wins being boise. I believe those and oral roberts are their only wins vs teams projected in the field and that’s it. That is comically bad ; and they have an awful loss to smu to boot. take a look at their non conference ; they’ve played no one.
But looks like we’re last four in and still behind msu even there
Their non conference SOS absolutely obliterates ours......
A separate question is there a bias to SOS where west coast cupcakes are worse than their ratings and east coast cupckaes better than their ratings.
because they didn’t play many quad 4 teams which i get but they still didn’t play anyone even as good as wake, seton hall and miami unless you count oral roberts or washingon state as those teams.
If either of those teams played a Big 10 schedule, their loss totals would probably double.
i don't want Dayton. I want to be #3 on last BYES to feel good we can stay a BYE after the thieves either make their hesit or be caught.
I can't help you there comparing Utah Valley, Santa Clara, Bradley, Oral $ex, and Washington State with SHU, WF and Miami.
I can tell you what the NET or Bart says but I don't feel good hiding behind ratings that would support my point....they are just ratings
What makes you say that? Rutgers has three losses that are clearly worse that FAU's worst loss.
I don’t think anyone wants Dayton. If/when it happens I’m trying to be logical and say it was a retooling year and we can still say we made the tourney. Hoping that osu game means something here because it really should
Bradley, Santa Clara, and Utah Valley are all better than people realize (and just about as good as, or slighly better than, Wake Forest). They played a solid non-conference schedule...not a lot of marquee teams, but game after game against top 80-120ish squads.
Okay…Vermont is a 22-win team with a 113 Kenpom and 111 NET….they’re not stealing a bid if they lose. Hoping for a boost from Lowell?
Same number of brackets 101 to 100 for MSU.....NC State, Pitt and Arizona State are in fewer brackets, which to me says they're more likely for Dayton.
Last year, RU was in around 80 of 104 brackets entering Selection Sunday.
Agree, if even for one season. There really is no fair comparison. What sucks is the committee does have to decide. No matter which way they go SOMEBODY is pissed. It's a no win.
We go through this with football every year. Folks are like"you lost ten games, you suck!" . That's all well and good until you realize we basically play in the NFC Central in college football. The schedule is nearly a ranked team EVERY week. I invite any of the "great" football teams not SEC to jump in the water and see them not lose 5 +.
Forget the cumulative effects of getting hit by a truck every week.
Well duh, lol. But they know how much that changed our record. We'd be a 9/10 seed right now with that win and don't deserve to be in Dayton because of it. Maybe I have too much faith in the committee, but I feel strongly about this one...
Sweep of North Texas (kenpom of 46), a win at Florida (62nd), and home over UAB (54) isn't exactly no one.
I agree. But counting on fairness isn't a good strategy. If it's us or the likes of a Duke? We're out. Can't leave your fate in the hands of an imperfect system.
Win Minny game (or a couple others) was the answer to leave no doubt. We failed. We now wait.
Lowell as another “against the field” is just windowdressing
We have the good wins alreasy
This Vermont home championship game at 11am is quite the yearly ritual. Feel like Ive watched this 20 times
