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Fans Should Enjoy - End Result or Not, Special

lion1983

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May 2, 2024
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Thought I;d do this before the Big Ten season really starts - where our hopes can be built or crushed.

I know there is huge disappointment in RU's record so far - I include myself. I also know the primary disappointment is over a combination of the lack of consistent performance outside of Harper and Bailey (and also disappointment and concern over Pikiell's potentially "missing" on the players he brought in to fill in the roster), a lack of true team identity (we are used to Pikiell teams over-performing and having a definite team identity - namely that of DEFENSE and TOUGHNESS), and related, disappointment over the lack of defensive ability shown by the team (including rebounding).

Even so ... and I know many DO feel this way ... we fans should be excited and able to enjoy what we DO have: 2 very special players, the like of which we RU fans have never seen play together.

RU has had special players previously (though not top 5 FRESHMAN recruits - except Phil Sellers). Notably, Bob Lloyd, Sellers, James Bailey, Hinson (though he is NOT in the same category of Llyod, Sellers and Bailey), Douby as a Sophomore, but especially as a Junior ... and others, such as Keith Hughes for a year or two, Riggins for ONE season (though that team was SO and, it was tough to watch even with Riggins averaging 25-26 ppg) ... and most recently, Ron Harper Jr.

But I am not sure RU fans, in their disappointment over losing to Kennesaw St and Princeton, and falling just short vs Alabama and Texas A&M, realize just how truly exciting and special BOTH these 2 players are - not just Harper.

Let's put it in perspective:

1) General and eye-ball: Harper seems poised to be considered one of the 10 best players in the entire country, regardless of class ... maybe even better ... and the best freshman in the country. RU has had just TWO players in its history who qualified as top 10 players in the country, and both were probably top 5: Sellers and James Bailey (and Bailey was absolutely the best player in the country at his position: Center ... Sellers - close call between him and Dantley as best PF in the country. And Bailey? He may noit be a 1st or 2nd team All American, like Harper is poised to be ... though it is too soon to rule that out, FYI ... but is seems almost certain to be considered as one of the FIVE (5) best freshman in the country, along with Bailey.

2) Stats: The only scorers in RU history that seem likely to match or exceed Harper's seemingly likely scoring (though obviously it will get tougher in the Big Ten), are Lloyd, Sellers, Bailey (Junior year), Hughes, Riggins (but I hate to taint this list by including him) and Douby. And Bailey could end up as one of RU's 10-12 best EVER single season scorers - and the VERY BEST RU #2 scorer on a team (remember, Bailey is NOT RU's leading scorer now - so has RU EVER had a #2 scorer of Bailey's performance level?).

a) Douby was the modern player (last 30 years, let's say - when RU stepped up in quality of opponent class) with by far the best scoring ability. His Junior year he had 23 games with 20 or more points (including streaks of 10 in a row and 8 in a row), 7 games with 30 or more points, and a 41-point game. He shot 46% FG, 51% from 2, 41% from 3 and 85% FT. he did also average over 4 rpg, 3.3 ass/g, and 1.8 stl/g. He WAS RU's entire scoring, that year: The only RU player in double digit scoring (Webb had 9.5 ppg) ... averaged 37 mpg.​
b) A lot of people adore Ron Harper Jr - who was a great player for RU. And, he had a great TWO seasons, by RU standards: 14/8 ppg then 15.8 ppg. Shot just shy of 40% from 3 as a Senior, led RU to the NCAA, averaged 6 rpg both his last 2 seasons ... and was considered one of RU's great clutch players, and a winner. All true, all great ... and his 16 ppg average has to be put in the context of a team with a much slower pace of play than this season's team - so maybe understated? His Senior year Harper scored 20+ points 8 times, with 4 double-doubles (all in the 1st 4 games of the year) ... but will be remembered for his HIGH MOMENTS, which overshadow his average moments and moments he could NOT bring the win home, notably Purdue, and several other games where he carried RU and hit key late shots. He did have reasonable support also: Baker and Omoruyi as 11+ ppg scorers, McConnel as the lights out defender, Mulcahy as PG.​
c) I couldn't find game log records for earlier seasons, like for Hughes (in 1990-91), Savage (in 1988-89), Sellers, Lloyd James Bailey, et al.​
d) I would point out what is happening this season for RU is unparalleled in RU history ... and I do know many of our fans DO appreciate it, even if we still hope for better TEAM results:​
i) Dylan Harper: So far, 22.8 ppg, 4.8 ass/g, 5.3 rpg, 52.5% FG, 37% 3-point FG, 60% 2-point FG, 59% eFG ... 13 consecutive double-digit scoring games (low of 14), 10 of 13 games at 20 or more points (2 of 30+ points), 2 double-doubles, 1 triple double. Just ridiculous stats, frankly. If he finishes at 22 ppg, he will have RU's best average since Douby, and 3rd best since James Bailey in 1977-78 ... and the best all-around RU player since James Bailey in 1977-78.​
ii) Ace Bailey: I think some fans are disappointed in him ... with all due respect, those who are disappointed are ... idiots (well, I should not name-call, should I ... but really?). Bailey is now averaging 18.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg on 47.6% FG, 32.6% 3-point FG, 52.8% 2-point FG, 51.8% eFG% ... and 62% FT in a too-small sample size skewed by 1 awful 1-8 game. He ALSO has double digit scoring in ALL his games (like Harper) - in 11 games (missed the 1st 2 games) ... 5 20-point games, 4 double-doubles..​
FOR PERSPECTIVE in re other star freshmen this season:​
Flagg (the big hype): 3 non-double-digit scoring games, 6 20 point games, 4 double-doubles - worse FG% and 3-point FG% and 2-point FG% than Harper or Bailey​
Tre Johnson: 19,7 ppg, 1 non-double digit scoring game, 4 20-point games ... 44% from 3, 49+% FG overall ... huge volume 3-point shooter (over 50% of his shots from 3).​
Jeremiah Fears (not MSU's Jeremy Fears): 18.1 ppg, 4.5 ass/g, 3.5 rpg, double digit scoring in all 13 games, low of 10 points, 4 20-point games, 7 5 + assist games, 50% FG, 30% 3-point FG, 60% 2-point FG, 55% eFG%. Really, the closest thing to Dylan Harper this year, if you think about it, amongst frosh.​
Queen:: 16.8 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.2 ass/g, double digit scoring in 12 of 13 games, 5 20=point games, 5 double-doubles ... 59% FG, 65% 2-point FG - because 2-16 from 3 -point range ... I am very impressed with him, FYI.​
Jakucionis: Really coming on very impressively: 16.3 ppg, 5.6 rpg. 5.3 ass/g, 10 of 12 games with double digit scoring, 6 20-point games - all in a row, in the last 7 games, 2 double doubles (1 with rebounds, 1 with assists) - but 5 games with 5+ rebounds and 5+ assists (like Fears). 49% FG, 41.7% 3-point (on good volume), 56% 2-point FG, 59% eFG%.​
FYI, Overall: You could make a strong case that Harper, Fears, and Jakucionis are ALL better than Flagg right now (and each vying to be the best freshman in the country) - and that Queen, Johnson and Bailey areeach in , in their own different ways, AS GOOD as Flagg.​
Just saying - and I know many DO agree - this IS a special season for RU and RU fans - though it would be even MORE special if RU can find a way to recover, and find a path the the NCAA - RU would be a real wild card in the NCAA.
 
love watching dylan and ace make plays, would love it more if we were getting more of the results we hoped for in preseason
 
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Love watching both of them play the game...esp on offense. It all looks so easy when they do such hard stuff.

Have hated watching this team defend...as a team.

The rebounding has gotten way better on the whole esp from Ace and Dylan. If we can get our team defense to be serviceable the season will be salvaged. There have been some signs lately...
 
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Watching great players not make the tournament and leave in one year is far from special. Don’t get me wrong Dylan and Ace are very fun to watch but it’s really an empty feeling as a fan. I haven’t given up hope on making the tournament but if we don’t make it then this season won’t mean a whole lot and Harper and Bailey won’t have much of a legacy at all.
 
It's not special unless they receive a bid.

This

Sorry i wont enjoy anything other than a NCAA appearance

If they were coming back next year then yes...but its a one year stop over that requires success...anything else is accepting failure

Are we really being lectured on how we SHOULD feel about a potential failed season
 
Win or lose this is a fun team to watch. Rutgers will never have two players of this talent level ever again. I will definitely enjoy every second of it. That being said, if they don’t make the tournament (not likely at the moment) it will be a disappointment.
 
Watching the team win is more important to me than watching great individual talent. Also, “used to watching Pike teams over achieve”??? They’ve underachieved the last two years. This would make three in a row.
 
Are we really being lectured on how we SHOULD feel about a potential failed season
Well ... it is a message board, so ... yes.

I am lectured by other posters all the time on how I should feel about the team or individual players.

And there are a long list of posters who lecture (really, even hector) other posters on what they should do with their property (meaning tickets), and if someone has tickets and does not go to the games as often as some posters think they should that they are not good enough fans and should either give up their tickets or give for discounted or even FREE to RU fans who do not have tickets.

Hey, I absolutely know missing the NCAA would be very disappointing - I'd be very disappointed myself. Still, I admit that though I am first an RU fans, I am also a college basketball fan. And I think it is worth appreciating great individual performances, even if the team performances fall short. As a long and often suffering SF Giant baseball fan, I can tell you that though 2010, 2012 and 2014 were MORE satisfying, I still appreciate watching and rooting for the individual performances of individual players on the team.

I am NOT telling people not to be disappointed. I am suggesting that even with team disappointment, there are 2 really special RU players to enjoy seeing how they perform each game. That's all.
 
Well ... it is a message board, so ... yes.

I am lectured by other posters all the time on how I should feel about the team or individual players.

And there are a long list of posters who lecture (really, even hector) other posters on what they should do with their property (meaning tickets), and if someone has tickets and does not go to the games as often as some posters think they should that they are not good enough fans and should either give up their tickets or give for discounted or even FREE to RU fans who do not have tickets.

Hey, I absolutely know missing the NCAA would be very disappointing - I'd be very disappointed myself. Still, I admit that though I am first an RU fans, I am also a college basketball fan. And I think it is worth appreciating great individual performances, even if the team performances fall short. As a long and often suffering SF Giant baseball fan, I can tell you that though 2010, 2012 and 2014 were MORE satisfying, I still appreciate watching and rooting for the individual performances of individual players on the team.

I am NOT telling people not to be disappointed. I am suggesting that even with team disappointment, there are 2 really special RU players to enjoy seeing how they perform each game. That's all.
I thought you were Lion fan.
 
I saw Robbie Hummel saying Dylan might not make 1st team all conference unless we finish well in the standings, because voters won't vote for someone from a team near the bottom. Let's hope we don't need to find out if he is correct.
Hummel's full of crap. If Dylan leads the nation in scoring the Big Ten would look pretty stupid not picking him first team. He would be a lock.
 
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Hummel's full of crap. If Dylan leads the nation in scoring the Big Ten would look pretty stupid not picking him first team. He would be a lock.
He added the caveat that continuing to post outstanding numbers like Big Dog Glen Robinson did back in the day would still get Dylan on the team. But if he slides to something like 18 pts, 5 assists, 5 boards, Hummel thinks he won't get it if we finish low in the standings. I think that's nuts and he is clearly 1st team material.
 
Not a huge AI guy but starting to think we need a Cliff Notes feature on this site with all the bloggers coming out. Can anyone summarize cause I don't read any post over 100 words.
 
Thats a lot of words for saying its okay if we don't dance, which its not. They are nice to watch but I want to win more than watch uber talented players.
Thank you for the Cliff Notes! My God, what is it with some of our basketball posters or at least two of them? Anyway, I have found myself thinking the same thing this year but it always comes back to winning and team success mean more than appreciating the generational talent we are seeing.
 
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Myles Johnson and Caleb McConnell were pretty damn special. I like guys that can impact games on defense too. Putting the ball in the basket with the ball in your hands a lot is nice for counting stats.

Whoever said we “must” have 3 point sharp shooters to compete was wrong. Does anyone doubt that we’d probably be undefeated right now if you replaced those two with PJ or pretty much any other 2 players on the roster?
 
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He is definitely a RU fan
Rutgers and only rutgers for all college sports.

Baseball: SF Giants only... Even when Giants players are against my fantasy sports teams.

Football: Vikings, 90%... NY Giants 10%, but Vikings if playing Giants. And when the Giants are truly lousy - no interest.

International National Team Sports like the Olympics: USA 95%, but track Israel.
 
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Play To Win New York Jets GIF
 
FYI, not really trying to tell people how to feel about the team performance.

There are some who have expressed disappointment in Bailey (not many, but some). This was as much an excuse to highlight how terrific he has been, which is sometimes lost in Harper's trancendence so far.

And an excuse to compare Harper and Bailey to other past RU players and other current national frosh. Just for my own enjoyment in posting.
 
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I'm enjoying the experience of seeing Dylan and Ace as we'll never see a combo like them at Rutgers in our lifetimes. I was miserable after the early season losses, though. OSU was the worst for me because I thought we would show something different on the road than we have in previous seasons. I was wrong. Changed my expectations from that point on and just enjoying the moments I can. Already assuming we're not making the tournament has helped.

I'm expecting big coaching changes at the end of the season and that will most likely decide my feelings on Pike's future. An impact hire or 2 could change my view on his future. But right now, I'm not very positive.
 
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FYI, not really trying to tell people how to feel about the team performance.

There are some who have expressed disappointment in Bailey (not many, but some). This was as much an excuse to highlight how terrific he has been, which is sometimes lost in Harper's trancendence so far.

And an excuse to compare Harper and Bailey to other past RU players and other current national frosh. Just for my own enjoyment in posting.

It’s not “disappointment” per se. If you compare Ace to an average frosh recruit he’s doing great. Nobody would deny this much which is why he’ll certainly be drafted high based on long term potential relative to his age. His long term potential is sky high.

But you can’t make that into something it’s not. Nobody is saying he isn’t very good - to start as a frosh, he has to be. But most major conference teams to this point probably would not trade their best 2 players for him this season. To truly be “special” as a college player in the context of a single season, that would be a prerequisite. If you’d be the 3rd to 4th best player on 75% of major conference teams, your not currently “special”. You can have the potential to be special in the future but those 2 things are not the same thing.
 
Paid for by Pike? Come on man. How long did it take to create that post, 1 hour?

This is NOT a special season if we do not make the tourney. An embarrassing take.
I have an extra season ticket that I usually invite an alumni to come to a home game
The rational, at first, was to see a possibly great team

Right now, I think it is more that they get a chance to see two future pros in action......if Bailey and Harper wind up not just being pros down the line, but standout, stars in the league, it would have given the friends a chance to see them in college as they develop.

So, the primary reason may be slipping away, but we can still hope for a very tough team as we get towards the back end of the schedule
Hopefully the team could make a real push in the big ten tourney
 
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Bailey has been impressive no doubt. However i like to look at things in context of winning basketball games. Hight counting stats with low efficiency doesnt move the needle

He’s been impressive for a frosh. In the context of all college basketball he’s simply been a pretty good / solid power forward so far. Again - that’s fantastic for a frosh, but having him as the focal point may not be a winning formula. Not if he’d be 3rd or 4th best on other rosters. For us he’s a clear 1-2 option right now. Dylan would be a star on any team. There’s a difference. Make no mistake, I’m not questioning our approach. He’s clearly the next best option on the team after Dylan right now. But that just may not be good enough.
 
It’s not “disappointment” per se. If you compare Ace to an average frosh recruit he’s doing great. Nobody would deny this much which is why he’ll certainly be drafted high based on long term potential relative to his age. His long term potential is sky high.

But you can’t make that into something it’s not. Nobody is saying he isn’t very good - to start as a frosh, he has to be. But most major conference teams to this point probably would not trade their best 2 players for him this season. To truly be “special” as a college player in the context of a single season, that would be a prerequisite. If you’d be the 3rd to 4th best player on 75% of major conference teams, your not currently “special”. You can have the potential to be special in the future but those 2 things are not the same thing.
Ace has been very good for a freshman. His stats, while still finding his way, pretty much match up with Brandon Miller's, who went what, 3rd, a couple years ago? He's doing what should have been expected, no one should have thought he'd be a top ten player in college.
 
Ace has been very good for a freshman. His stats, while still finding his way, pretty much match up with Brandon Miller's, who went what, 3rd, a couple years ago? He's doing what should have been expected, no one should have thought he'd be a top ten player in college.

I’m not sure what point your trying to make. My comment was in response to the OP who wrote a lengthy essay about enjoying watching how special Ace is. Whether or not anyone should’ve “expected” Ace to be a special caliber 2024 college player or not as a frosh is not relevant. The point is, where he’s at currently doesn’t meet the definition of “special” as far as college basketball goes. Forget top 10, he’s not close to top 50 impact players nationally. It’d be great if he continues to improve his game over the season to move to that level but he’s not there right now.
 
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This is like the poll thread about Pike where almost half the voters said Pike has earned the right to finish out his contract. Like he’s Roy Williams or Bobby Bowden. With one NCAA win in 9 years and most likely 3 straight years of not making the dance. Laughable.

This is also laughable. There is nothing special about missing the tournament for the 3rd straight year and this year with two top 5 NBA picks. It’s the opposite of special. It’s an absolute failure across the board and fans should treat it as such. A stretch like that should land a coach with Pike’s resume on the hot seat.

Have some shred of standards or expectation with this program. Stop settling for less than what this program should be producing. Stop this “oh well we’re just Rutgers we should be happy with any modicum of success”.

This isn’t tiddilywinks or your town’s middle school team.
 
So ... good discussion on Bailey. Tough to totally disprove with the comments downplaying him - though I will try, at least a little.

1) Greene - I know you are a big "metrics" guy - and I plead guilty to neither fully understanding how those metrics work, how they change and move from game to game or over chunks of time, and frankly, I am not a full believer in the "computer" stats - I look at some of them, but also pay a lot of attention to MY "eye test." I also will say that metrics for defense are particularly suspect ... this comes from paying a lot more attention to the stat metrics in baseball (I am a fantasy baseball guy) and I KNOW that even the most supportive of the baseball metric guys recognize the flaws and weaknesses of the metrics for baseball ... and baseball has SO MANY MORE data points for analysis than basketball in general, than college basketball, and so early in the season ... Bailey and others have only played 12-14 games so far this year (baseball, for example, has 25-man rosters, 162 game seasons, and decades of comparisons available). So ... regarding "efficiency" and Bailey ... a LOT of the metrics that ding him on efficiency are tied to his complete lack of assists (i.e., when he gets the ball, he shoots, generally - but a small - small - part of it is that he HAS also been the victim of his teammates not making shots when he DOES pass ... especially Martini - Bailey has passed to Martini at least 6 times the last 4-5 games with Martini open to shoot, with not a single shot made), combined with turnovers. If Bailey had twice the assists as he does have, his turnovers would not look as bad (Flagg averages similar number of turnovers per game, FYI - just a hair lower, but has many more assists). And he MAY be dinged by both a low FT% - skewed by ONE really bad game, 1-8 FT - and maybe not as many FT's attempted as might be considered "efficient." But his SHOOTING numbers are fine, IMO: 47%+ overall FG%, 32%+ 3-point FG%, 52.8% 2-point FG%, eFG% of just under 52%. Those are pretty good numbers for a guy who takes a ton of mid-range to outside shots.

2) PSAL: I think Bailey IS improving: Especially defensively and rebounding. Sure, a too-small sample size, but in the last games Bailey is averaging 18.5 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 49.5% FG, 57% 2-point FG (though true just 24% 3-point FG ... 6-24, vs 9-21 in his 1st 5 games) ... and his defense appears better to the eye. Rebounds have particularly improved (59 in the last 6 games vs 22 in the 1st 5 games ... and a whopping 15 offensive rebounds the last 6 games vs just 3 in the 1st 5 games), points, overall and 2-point FG% are all up vs the 1st 5 games ... assists are up a fraction (5 in 6 games vs 3 in the 1st 5 games, blocked shots are up a hair, especially in the last 4 games - 2 blocks in each game for 3 of the last 4 games ... but, turnovers are ALSO up a fair amount - he's got to clean that up, IMO.

3) Is Bailey an "impact" PF nationally? Well ... I am not sure how to measure that. At one level, how many frontcourt players are averaging 18 ppg, 8 rpg, 47% FG, 32% 3-point, 53% 20point FG? Also, though Bailey is nominally playing the "4" for RU most of the time (RU with 3-guards mostly), he really is NOT a "4" or PF - he really is a WF or "3". I am not sure how that comes into play. How many WF's are averaging 18+ ppg, 8 rpg, with his shooting percentages?

4) PSAL, again: As to the comment that most major college teams would not trade their "top 2 players for" Bailey ... well ... I think I completely disagree. First, I suppose you mean ONE of their top 2 players, not actually a 2 for 1 swap. I may have to agree with that ... yeah, few ranked teams would trade their best 2 players to get Bailey back in a 2-1 trade. But if you mean would most major college teams trade ONE of their top 2 players for Bailey? I think the answer would be yes, in a heartbeat. Maybe if I have time I will take a look at the top 2 players on a variety of teams. Not going to happen this morning.
 
So ... good discussion on Bailey. Tough to totally disprove with the comments downplaying him - though I will try, at least a little.

1) Greene - I know you are a big "metrics" guy - and I plead guilty to neither fully understanding how those metrics work, how they change and move from game to game or over chunks of time, and frankly, I am not a full believer in the "computer" stats - I look at some of them, but also pay a lot of attention to MY "eye test." I also will say that metrics for defense are particularly suspect ... this comes from paying a lot more attention to the stat metrics in baseball (I am a fantasy baseball guy) and I KNOW that even the most supportive of the baseball metric guys recognize the flaws and weaknesses of the metrics for baseball ... and baseball has SO MANY MORE data points for analysis than basketball in general, than college basketball, and so early in the season ... Bailey and others have only played 12-14 games so far this year (baseball, for example, has 25-man rosters, 162 game seasons, and decades of comparisons available). So ... regarding "efficiency" and Bailey ... a LOT of the metrics that ding him on efficiency are tied to his complete lack of assists (i.e., when he gets the ball, he shoots, generally - but a small - small - part of it is that he HAS also been the victim of his teammates not making shots when he DOES pass ... especially Martini - Bailey has passed to Martini at least 6 times the last 4-5 games with Martini open to shoot, with not a single shot made), combined with turnovers. If Bailey had twice the assists as he does have, his turnovers would not look as bad (Flagg averages similar number of turnovers per game, FYI - just a hair lower, but has many more assists). And he MAY be dinged by both a low FT% - skewed by ONE really bad game, 1-8 FT - and maybe not as many FT's attempted as might be considered "efficient." But his SHOOTING numbers are fine, IMO: 47%+ overall FG%, 32%+ 3-point FG%, 52.8% 2-point FG%, eFG% of just under 52%. Those are pretty good numbers for a guy who takes a ton of mid-range to outside shots.

2) PSAL: I think Bailey IS improving: Especially defensively and rebounding. Sure, a too-small sample size, but in the last games Bailey is averaging 18.5 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 49.5% FG, 57% 2-point FG (though true just 24% 3-point FG ... 6-24, vs 9-21 in his 1st 5 games) ... and his defense appears better to the eye. Rebounds have particularly improved (59 in the last 6 games vs 22 in the 1st 5 games ... and a whopping 15 offensive rebounds the last 6 games vs just 3 in the 1st 5 games), points, overall and 2-point FG% are all up vs the 1st 5 games ... assists are up a fraction (5 in 6 games vs 3 in the 1st 5 games, blocked shots are up a hair, especially in the last 4 games - 2 blocks in each game for 3 of the last 4 games ... but, turnovers are ALSO up a fair amount - he's got to clean that up, IMO.

3) Is Bailey an "impact" PF nationally? Well ... I am not sure how to measure that. At one level, how many frontcourt players are averaging 18 ppg, 8 rpg, 47% FG, 32% 3-point, 53% 20point FG? Also, though Bailey is nominally playing the "4" for RU most of the time (RU with 3-guards mostly), he really is NOT a "4" or PF - he really is a WF or "3". I am not sure how that comes into play. How many WF's are averaging 18+ ppg, 8 rpg, with his shooting percentages?

4) PSAL, again: As to the comment that most major college teams would not trade their "top 2 players for" Bailey ... well ... I think I completely disagree. First, I suppose you mean ONE of their top 2 players, not actually a 2 for 1 swap. I may have to agree with that ... yeah, few ranked teams would trade their best 2 players to get Bailey back in a 2-1 trade. But if you mean would most major college teams trade ONE of their top 2 players for Bailey? I think the answer would be yes, in a heartbeat. Maybe if I have time I will take a look at the top 2 players on a variety of teams. Not going to happen this morning.
On the last point - yeah, I mean a swap for one of their top 2 players. He wouldn’t be in the top 2 on most rosters as of right now. Thats not meant as a knock to him it’s just that it’s a huge stretch to label him as this “special” stand out college player in 2024. He’s been good. Good and special are not the same thing at all. Dylan, in contrast, has been special - that and more to this point.
 
We agree of 95+% of things......quantifying defense with stats is certainly one of them. Even looking at point per possession allowed when on the floor is flawed in that A. what about the other 4 guys and the B. relatively small sample size

And yes "eye test" is important but it is nice when it is backed up by raw numbers. When the 2 don't say the same thing that is when you have to ask questions.

What dings Ace on the offensive efficiency meter is the lack of assists and lack of drawing fouls. Combining that with a below average effective FG% nets a pretty "inefficient" offensive player. To your point what happens if the time he does pass to situations where there should be a higher than average FG% rate and the result is a lower FG% rate, how many extra assists and what does that do to his assist rate and overall efficiency?

My question to your eye balls....relative to the average B1G wing defender is he below average, average or above average with his defensive impact. I include defensive rebounding (a help) in defense because it impacts how many point the opponent scores per possession.

Honestly I don't yet have a read on that answer...right now I would have to say somewhere between below average and average. I think/hope his learning curve has a nice positive slope on it.
 
This is like the poll thread about Pike where almost half the voters said Pike has earned the right to finish out his contract. Like he’s Roy Williams or Bobby Bowden. With one NCAA win in 9 years and most likely 3 straight years of not making the dance. Laughable.
Sorry he is Roy Williams and Bobby Bowden.....he took over a garbage program and built everything we have.

If we all are going to ding Pike because he couldn't make the NCAA tournament with Ace and Dylan do we give him no credit for building the program that can get Harper and Bailey.
 
what a horrible take by OP. The players themselves wouldn't even think its a "special season" unless they win and make the tourney. Anything other than a bid is going to be a HUGE disappointment and could set the program back. Who would want to come here if we can't make the dance with 2 lottery picks? Sure they are fun to watch but losing takes away 98% of the joy of watching them.

dana-carvey-isnt-that-special.gif
 
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