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Fans Should Enjoy - End Result or Not, Special

I really HATE using PPG as any indicator of how good a player is. With a passion!
None? I understand not as a stand alone but at the end of the day a team does need to score points to win. Efficiency can be misleading too. Sometimes kids force shots when others around them have proven themselves less capable. To this point - PJ Hays has only be the kick out answer against 2-3 really bad teams. Otherwise his shooting has been dreadful. I’m not sure there’s anyone on the team I want shooting instead of ace even if some of the shots are forced.
 
maybe that should be revised...the scoring has to be in context with the players "usage". Not necessarily the actual usage that the computers say. Obviously every possession isn't the same and it isn't apples to apples comparing players with different usage rates. High usage guys do get dinged more (as a % of uses) for shots taken with little time on the shot clock. That needs to be factored in and that isn't quantifiable (yet).
 
Watch all of Bailey's touches in the 1st half against Columbia. When inside the 3 point line...he only passed the ball twice...when his drive was shut down. He shot the ball every other time and was on fire. He can get a shot almost whenever he wants and Pike is fine with him shooting from anywhere (I'd love to see his shot chart). We aren't going to see him pass the ball when he is able to get a shot off.

What's impressive is that he is doing it all on his own. We do almost nothing to get him looks. He could be more efficient with some better coaching. Dylan doesn't need any help.
 
None? I understand not as a stand alone but at the end of the day a team does need to score points to win. Efficiency can be misleading too. Sometimes kids force shots when others around them have proven themselves less capable. To this point - PJ Hays has only be the kick out answer against 2-3 really bad teams. Otherwise his shooting has been dreadful. I’m not sure there’s anyone on the team I want shooting instead of ace even if some of the shots are forced.

That being said.... for consideration... Ace is currently top 10 in PPG and Rebounds per game in the BIG.

Not sure I agree with your assessment that he would not be gobbled up in a trade with another program's 1-2 (3??) best players. You have to factor in that on many other rosters he would likely be asked to just play the wing which IMO would make him even more effective vs having to play a significant amount of time as PF. IMO this would lighten his load on D rather than be anchored in the paint against bigger/bulkier players - right now he still has a slight build and IMO his wingspan makes him more imposing as a wing & on the perimeter.

Also as a freshman he should continue to improve/progress in season - generally moreso than a well established upper classman. That should also factor in to the value equation for this year .......on the downside so should the possibility of hitting a freshman "wall".
 
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Also as a freshman he should continue to improve/progress in season - generally moreso than a well established upper classman. That should also factor in to the value equation for this year .......on the downside so should the possibility of hitting a freshman "wall".
This is a wash for me.
 
That being said.... for consideration... Ace is currently top 10 in PPG and Rebounds per game in the BIG.

Not sure I agree with your assessment that he would not be gobbled up in a trade with another program's 1-2 (3??) best players. You have to factor in that on many other rosters he would likely be asked to just play the wing which IMO would make him even more effective vs having to play a significant amount of time as PF. IMO this would lighten his load on D rather than be anchored in the paint against bigger/bulkier players - right now he still has a slight build and IMO his wingspan makes him more imposing as a wing & on the perimeter.

Also as a freshman he should continue to improve/progress in season - generally moreso than a well established upper classman. That should also factor in to the value equation for this year .......on the downside so should the possibility of hitting a freshman "wall".

Maybe - I don’t know. I think he has a ton of potential. I’m only suggesting that as a team, we’d probably have more wins right now with an experienced RHJ type on our roster which a lot of the better teams have. I think Ace will ultimately be better than Ron but as a senior, Ron was probably more valuable on both ends because of his experience. Thats all.
 
I’m not sure what point your trying to make. My comment was in response to the OP who wrote a lengthy essay about enjoying watching how special Ace is. Whether or not anyone should’ve “expected” Ace to be a special caliber 2024 college player or not as a frosh is not relevant. The point is, where he’s at currently doesn’t meet the definition of “special” as far as college basketball goes. Forget top 10, he’s not close to top 50 impact players nationally. It’d be great if he continues to improve his game over the season to move to that level but he’s not there right now.
My only point is that way too many think top three draft prospect ='s top three college player. Ace has been better than what my expecations for him were.
There's also probably not too many #2's on teams with better numbers than Ace.
 
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Maybe - I don’t know. I think he has a ton of potential. I’m only suggesting that as a team, we’d probably have more wins right now with an experienced RHJ type on our roster which a lot of the better teams have. I think Ace will ultimately be better than Ron but as a senior, Ron was probably more valuable on both ends because of his experience. Thats all.
This I wouldn't disagree with, in fact, I'm pretty sure I said before the season that we'd be better off with an established senior such as Ron over one of the two kids.
 
My only point is that way too many think top three draft prospect ='s top three college player. Ace has been better than what my expecations for him were.
There's also probably not too many #2's on teams with better numbers than Ace.
Ace has exceeded my expectations too.
 
not over Dylan....Dylan has it all. His compete level on a random possession in the middle of the game is much higher.

Yes - Dylan is an absolute stud. It’s not that Ace hasn’t been good, but it’s inaccurate when people group them together and talk about us dropping the ball on the season with two lottery picks. One is truly an elite college level player now. The other one right now is an above average P5 starter as a frosh which in its own right is impressive, but he’s not a collegiate difference maker right now in the way Dylan is. If you swapped Ace and Cliff on our current roster, we’d probably have more wins with Cliff. Thats not meant as a knock on Ace it’s just that we’d be a lot better on D with Cliff and probably not that much worse on offense overall.
 
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Who would be in charge of getting Cliff to want to play?

I agree with you 1000% with sophomore and junior Cliff. Agree with you 100% with senior year Cliff. Not sure about super senior Cliff. When i have seen him play he looks disinterested
 
Thought I;d do this before the Big Ten season really starts - where our hopes can be built or crushed.

I know there is huge disappointment in RU's record so far - I include myself. I also know the primary disappointment is over a combination of the lack of consistent performance outside of Harper and Bailey (and also disappointment and concern over Pikiell's potentially "missing" on the players he brought in to fill in the roster), a lack of true team identity (we are used to Pikiell teams over-performing and having a definite team identity - namely that of DEFENSE and TOUGHNESS), and related, disappointment over the lack of defensive ability shown by the team (including rebounding).

Even so ... and I know many DO feel this way ... we fans should be excited and able to enjoy what we DO have: 2 very special players, the like of which we RU fans have never seen play together.

RU has had special players previously (though not top 5 FRESHMAN recruits - except Phil Sellers). Notably, Bob Lloyd, Sellers, James Bailey, Hinson (though he is NOT in the same category of Llyod, Sellers and Bailey), Douby as a Sophomore, but especially as a Junior ... and others, such as Keith Hughes for a year or two, Riggins for ONE season (though that team was SO and, it was tough to watch even with Riggins averaging 25-26 ppg) ... and most recently, Ron Harper Jr.

But I am not sure RU fans, in their disappointment over losing to Kennesaw St and Princeton, and falling just short vs Alabama and Texas A&M, realize just how truly exciting and special BOTH these 2 players are - not just Harper.

Let's put it in perspective:

1) General and eye-ball: Harper seems poised to be considered one of the 10 best players in the entire country, regardless of class ... maybe even better ... and the best freshman in the country. RU has had just TWO players in its history who qualified as top 10 players in the country, and both were probably top 5: Sellers and James Bailey (and Bailey was absolutely the best player in the country at his position: Center ... Sellers - close call between him and Dantley as best PF in the country. And Bailey? He may noit be a 1st or 2nd team All American, like Harper is poised to be ... though it is too soon to rule that out, FYI ... but is seems almost certain to be considered as one of the FIVE (5) best freshman in the country, along with Bailey.

2) Stats: The only scorers in RU history that seem likely to match or exceed Harper's seemingly likely scoring (though obviously it will get tougher in the Big Ten), are Lloyd, Sellers, Bailey (Junior year), Hughes, Riggins (but I hate to taint this list by including him) and Douby. And Bailey could end up as one of RU's 10-12 best EVER single season scorers - and the VERY BEST RU #2 scorer on a team (remember, Bailey is NOT RU's leading scorer now - so has RU EVER had a #2 scorer of Bailey's performance level?).

a) Douby was the modern player (last 30 years, let's say - when RU stepped up in quality of opponent class) with by far the best scoring ability. His Junior year he had 23 games with 20 or more points (including streaks of 10 in a row and 8 in a row), 7 games with 30 or more points, and a 41-point game. He shot 46% FG, 51% from 2, 41% from 3 and 85% FT. he did also average over 4 rpg, 3.3 ass/g, and 1.8 stl/g. He WAS RU's entire scoring, that year: The only RU player in double digit scoring (Webb had 9.5 ppg) ... averaged 37 mpg.​
b) A lot of people adore Ron Harper Jr - who was a great player for RU. And, he had a great TWO seasons, by RU standards: 14/8 ppg then 15.8 ppg. Shot just shy of 40% from 3 as a Senior, led RU to the NCAA, averaged 6 rpg both his last 2 seasons ... and was considered one of RU's great clutch players, and a winner. All true, all great ... and his 16 ppg average has to be put in the context of a team with a much slower pace of play than this season's team - so maybe understated? His Senior year Harper scored 20+ points 8 times, with 4 double-doubles (all in the 1st 4 games of the year) ... but will be remembered for his HIGH MOMENTS, which overshadow his average moments and moments he could NOT bring the win home, notably Purdue, and several other games where he carried RU and hit key late shots. He did have reasonable support also: Baker and Omoruyi as 11+ ppg scorers, McConnel as the lights out defender, Mulcahy as PG.​
c) I couldn't find game log records for earlier seasons, like for Hughes (in 1990-91), Savage (in 1988-89), Sellers, Lloyd James Bailey, et al.​
d) I would point out what is happening this season for RU is unparalleled in RU history ... and I do know many of our fans DO appreciate it, even if we still hope for better TEAM results:​
i) Dylan Harper: So far, 22.8 ppg, 4.8 ass/g, 5.3 rpg, 52.5% FG, 37% 3-point FG, 60% 2-point FG, 59% eFG ... 13 consecutive double-digit scoring games (low of 14), 10 of 13 games at 20 or more points (2 of 30+ points), 2 double-doubles, 1 triple double. Just ridiculous stats, frankly. If he finishes at 22 ppg, he will have RU's best average since Douby, and 3rd best since James Bailey in 1977-78 ... and the best all-around RU player since James Bailey in 1977-78.​
ii) Ace Bailey: I think some fans are disappointed in him ... with all due respect, those who are disappointed are ... idiots (well, I should not name-call, should I ... but really?). Bailey is now averaging 18.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg on 47.6% FG, 32.6% 3-point FG, 52.8% 2-point FG, 51.8% eFG% ... and 62% FT in a too-small sample size skewed by 1 awful 1-8 game. He ALSO has double digit scoring in ALL his games (like Harper) - in 11 games (missed the 1st 2 games) ... 5 20-point games, 4 double-doubles..​
FOR PERSPECTIVE in re other star freshmen this season:​
Flagg (the big hype): 3 non-double-digit scoring games, 6 20 point games, 4 double-doubles - worse FG% and 3-point FG% and 2-point FG% than Harper or Bailey​
Tre Johnson: 19,7 ppg, 1 non-double digit scoring game, 4 20-point games ... 44% from 3, 49+% FG overall ... huge volume 3-point shooter (over 50% of his shots from 3).​
Jeremiah Fears (not MSU's Jeremy Fears): 18.1 ppg, 4.5 ass/g, 3.5 rpg, double digit scoring in all 13 games, low of 10 points, 4 20-point games, 7 5 + assist games, 50% FG, 30% 3-point FG, 60% 2-point FG, 55% eFG%. Really, the closest thing to Dylan Harper this year, if you think about it, amongst frosh.​
Queen:: 16.8 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.2 ass/g, double digit scoring in 12 of 13 games, 5 20=point games, 5 double-doubles ... 59% FG, 65% 2-point FG - because 2-16 from 3 -point range ... I am very impressed with him, FYI.​
Jakucionis: Really coming on very impressively: 16.3 ppg, 5.6 rpg. 5.3 ass/g, 10 of 12 games with double digit scoring, 6 20-point games - all in a row, in the last 7 games, 2 double doubles (1 with rebounds, 1 with assists) - but 5 games with 5+ rebounds and 5+ assists (like Fears). 49% FG, 41.7% 3-point (on good volume), 56% 2-point FG, 59% eFG%.​
FYI, Overall: You could make a strong case that Harper, Fears, and Jakucionis are ALL better than Flagg right now (and each vying to be the best freshman in the country) - and that Queen, Johnson and Bailey areeach in , in their own different ways, AS GOOD as Flagg.​
Just saying - and I know many DO agree - this IS a special season for RU and RU fans - though it would be even MORE special if RU can find a way to recover, and find a path the the NCAA - RU would be a real wild card in the NCAA.
I’d rather have no star power and win then watch two superstars and lose. I’m a Rutgers fan, not a Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey fan. If all I cared about is watching insanely talented basketball players, I’d watch the NBA, which I don’t. But to each their own I guess.
 
It’s not that Ace hasn’t been good, but it’s inaccurate when people group them together and talk about us dropping the ball on the season with two lottery picks. One is truly an elite college level player now. The other one right now is an above average P5 starter as a frosh which in its own right is impressive, but he’s not a collegiate difference maker right now in the way Dylan is.

This x1000.

The “we have two of the best players in college basketball and we’re ****ing it up” crowd are off base.. if we actually had that we would not have five losses.

Ace may have one of the three best NBA careers out of the players in college today but that’s not the same as being one of the best players right now.

Unfortunately, the rest of the roster being what it is, we treat him like he already is and so his efficiency becomes terrible because he is asked to do too much for his current game.
 
Who would be in charge of getting Cliff to want to play?

I agree with you 1000% with sophomore and junior Cliff. Agree with you 100% with senior year Cliff. Not sure about super senior Cliff. When i have seen him play he looks disinterested
Maybe he doesn’t want to play because it a not that easy to get motivated as a utility player when your used to being a star on another P5 team. Saw the same thing with MJ. Regardless, I’m going out on a limb her and assuming Cliff would be motivated as he was when he played for Rutgers previously. We would not have 5 losses if he was playing with Dylan.
 
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If the team was gonna be awful outside of Dylan and Ace, would’ve been better if they went somewhere else so we can just suck in peace.

If we have two NBA lottery picks and don’t make the tourney, this season is an embarrassment and a complete black eye for the basketball program.
 
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39 points, 0 assists and celebrating scores late when the outcome had already been determined. Not very special.

To be fair, I don't know if he was robbed of assists due to a few teammates going 0-fer.
 
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Sorry he is Roy Williams and Bobby Bowden.....he took over a garbage program and built everything we have.

If we all are going to ding Pike because he couldn't make the NCAA tournament with Ace and Dylan do we give him no credit for building the program that can get Harper and Bailey.
Or Ace has a family member on the staff and Pike took Dylan’s less talented brother and plays 30 min from his family. That might have more to do than the program pike built that has declined for 5 straight years.

On the verge of missing the tournament again and might not make the big ten tournament forget about the NCAAs.

Not to mention we don’t have a D1 player on next years roster.

Pikes done
 
Or Ace has a family member on the staff and Pike took Dylan’s less talented brother and plays 30 min from his family. That might have more to do than the program pike built that has declined for 5 straight years.

On the verge of missing the tournament again and might not make the big ten tournament forget about the NCAAs.

Not to mention we don’t have a D1 player on next years roster.

Pikes done
huh....am i missing something
 
Which one. Wonder if it is the guy he was talking to along with Knight with 1 minute left while the rest of the team was in huddle listening to pike
 
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