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Guess the line vs Illinois.

+5

KenPom has it at 4, I'm adding a point for Baker.
 
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superfan01 said:





Thinking RU +3.5

I think it will be somewhere around RU +4. I think we match up well against their personnel and have a good shot at winning this one.
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Agree with this. This is going to be a big challenge for us. Sucks that we don’t have Geo for this one. Illinois as I predicted is one of the strongest teams in the league. They lost a heartbreaker at Maryland and winning that one would have been huge . I think they are a little more talented than us at the moment. Maybe we play great defense and steal one but that would be asking for a lot.
 
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As long as we are 1 pt ahead at the final buzzer that’s all I care about... It is going to be tough but to me is a real statement game... good opponent... away from Home... on the cusp of perhaps some Top 25 recognition... gets us closer to being a March Dance team.
 
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Illinois had a big win last night and probably will be favored by 3-4 pts.
 
Opens at -4 Illinois and goes off -2.5 at Gametime as Rutgers and sharp money comes in.
 
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Vegas line will be high. Guys I know who are big gamblers are jumping on Rutgers because they believe the line will continue to be off based on historic performance. It will take a while for the casual gambler to put money on Rutgers.
 
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interesting comment above on the Vegas lin being off because of traditional performance

That may mean the opening line will be off because the common bettors will bet based on the names of the teams and not review actual game stats. The pro bettors with the bigger money will move the line after it opens to where it should be.

It may be 2-3 points too high in favor of Illinois.
 
Does Illinois suffer a letdown after breaking a 15 game losing streak to Wisconsin?

Does Rutgers suffer a letdown GOING ON THE ROAD after getting a raucous win at home admist NCAA tourney hype. Illinois is AT HOME. Rutgers is on the ROAD. What does years of college basketball (not just Rutgers) says usually happens in this scenerio
 
for sports betting doesn't the home team usually get an automatic 2-3 points in the line?

Neutral court may be even money for 2 teams but move to a home court and it becomes -2.5?
 
for sports betting doesn't the home team usually get an automatic 2-3 points in the line?

Neutral court may be even money for 2 teams but move to a home court and it becomes -2.5?
If I am following Rutgers closely or just look at computers and I am not scared by a small sample size the road/home differential for Rutgers would be a lot more than the average team.
 
Does Rutgers suffer a letdown GOING ON THE ROAD after getting a raucous win at home admist NCAA tourney hype. Illinois is AT HOME. Rutgers is on the ROAD. What does years of college basketball (not just Rutgers) says usually happens in this scenerio

I'm with you on that. Really hoping we play well, but worried we are due for a letdown game.
 
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Isn’t the line out yet?
vegas usually doesn't release lines until the day of.

They do not want to risk a star getting hurt in practice that would screw up the lines.

Only for big games like the NCAA tourney will it be a few days early
 
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vegas usually doesn't release lines until the day of.

They do not want to risk a star getting hurt in practice that would screw up the lines.

Only for big games like the NCAA tourney will it be a few days early
They come out the night before. I would guess around 7pm at offshore books.
 
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