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OT: COVID Science - Pfizer/Moderna vaccines >90% effective; Regeneron antibody cocktail looks very promising in phase II/III trial and more

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They predicted 3-8 for my area in this last storm, starting off as snow and then switching to rain. It followed that pattern and we got 5 inches.

I was in the catskills at the time of the storm, they were predicting 18+ inches. They got 20 inches.

They nailed this last one, but some will look to ignore it.
They nailed it in some places way off in others. Like the government they keep moving the needle and always start with the worst case scenario. I was in the 12 to 18 area 3 days out. Got 4/5.
Overall snow forecasts have been awful the past 5 years.
 
They nailed it in some places way off in others. Like the government they keep moving the needle and always start with the worst case scenario. I was in the 12 to 18 area 3 days out. Got 4/5.
Overall snow forecasts have been awful the past 5 years.
I'd ask where this occurred but would rather not tangent off any further.
 
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They nailed it in some places way off in others. Like the government they keep moving the needle and always start with the worst case scenario. I was in the 12 to 18 area 3 days out. Got 4/5.
Overall snow forecasts have been awful the past 5 years.
Are we better off with forecasting or not? Should we just stop forecasting and let people deal with what comes on their own like the old days? Stop the hurricane forecasting etc and let people on the coast just deal?

I don’t get the vitriol for inexact science based upon a number of vacillating factors in an attempt to warn and inform people. Do I think news channels exaggerate risk particularly with over the top colorful language. Yes, I can’t stand it. But I am appreciative of the advances in science that allow us to better prepare and they are mostly right. Are we bickering over one town getting 2 when they projected 5? Come one man, think about the big picture.
 
Changing ones predictions of the future due to changing information is not lying.

Also note that Fauci has made plenty of correct calls on this. Those correct calls far outweigh his misses. Some want to focus on the misses. Has he been 100% dead on? No, but no one ever is.
In your opinion he ‘s doing great in many other’s opinions not in the HOF... anyone who goes along with the WHO loses all credibility.
 
Are we better off with forecasting or not? Should we just stop forecasting and let people deal with what comes on their own like the old days? Stop the hurricane forecasting etc and let people on the coast just deal?

I don’t get the vitriol for inexact science based upon a number of vacillating factors in an attempt to warn and inform people. Do I think news channels exaggerate risk particularly with over the top colorful language. Yes, I can’t stand it. But I am appreciative of the advances in science that allow us to better prepare and they are mostly right. Are we bickering over one town getting 2 when they projected 5? Come one man, think about the big picture.
And to your point, the inexact point in the case of weather forecasting is literally predicting the future. Predicting the future is a tough business. The weather guys are pretty good. But again, we are tangenting here.
 
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In your opinion he ‘s doing great in many other’s opinions not in the HOF... anyone who goes along with the WHO loses all credibility.
As a guy who sits around my house and comments on rutgers football board, I'm also of the opinion that the WHO has not looked good in this.

But I'm not agreeing that Fauci loses all credibility for not denouncing them.
 
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Are we better off with forecasting or not? Should we just stop forecasting and let people deal with what comes on their own like the old days? Stop the hurricane forecasting etc and let people on the coast just deal?

I don’t get the vitriol for inexact science based upon a number of vacillating factors in an attempt to warn and inform people. Do I think news channels exaggerate risk particularly with over the top colorful language. Yes, I can’t stand it. But I am appreciative of the advances in science that allow us to better prepare and they are mostly right. Are we bickering over one town getting 2 when they projected 5? Come one man, think about the big picture.
You missed the big picture. This isn't about snow. It about mistrust. Over and over we have been told one thing by the government and we find out we have been mislead. Same with most forecasts. Big picture!
 
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You missed the big picture. This isn't about snow. It about mistrust. Over and over we have been told one thing by the government and we find out we have been mislead. Same with most forecasts. Big picture!

it must be a difficult state of existence to be so mistrustful of everything. I choose to be discerning versus mistrustful.
 
You missed the big picture. This isn't about snow. It about mistrust. Over and over we have been told one thing by the government and we find out we have been mislead. Same with most forecasts. Big picture!
But isn't it perspective. Even if they were off in your specific area, do you not realize they did very will with the storm?


Same with Fauci, and we can again go back to that early video. Does he say he does not foresee us all walking around in masks? Yes. Does he also say masks are important, and that the reason he doesn't want us all in masks at that time is because he believes frontline workers need those masks?

If we want to find instances where someone is wrong, you will be able to find it for everyone, no one is perfect, but the big picture? I for one think Fauci has been great.
 
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I thought Joe Judge should have ran the ball a few times at the end of the first half yesterday so as not to allow Baltimore plenty of time to drive down the field, but I still think he has done a great job this year.

Similar with Schiano in year 1 of his 2nd term. Were there mistakes, absolutely, was the overall job done very good? Also absolutely.

But anyways back to covid.
 
it must be a difficult state of existence to be so mistrustful of everything. I choose to be discerning versus mistrustful.
Ummm being distrustful leads people to be discerning. You either believe everything you're told or you figure it out yourself. I'll figure it out myself. I too am very discerning.
 
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Ummm being distrustful leads people to be discerning. You either believe everything you're told or you figure it out yourself. I'll figure it out myself. I too am very discerning.
Meh, I think there is a difference. Mistrust comes from believing everyone is lying and has some negative motive. You immediately start from a negative point of view. I don’t believe that about the government. Lots to question and lots of problems but there are good and bad things, I don’t start from a negative position. But anyway, back to covid.
 
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lets also note that the testing per million is incredibly small as well
 
You’re confused with poor logic skills.

I am not in denial. I also saw Fauci et al promoting PPE for healthcare workers and trying not to have the public buy what limited supply there was at the time. Saw it many times. There was also more limited data at the time on how the virus spreads. Once PPE was stockpiled and more info was understood the CDC and otherS promoted the use of masks. That was 9 months ago. Why you choose to believe in some nefarious plot by the healthcare system is beyond me. The used an “excuse”, why would they need an excuse? Whats the purpose? You then say healthcare workers wouldnt need PPE if the population had it instead. That’s a pretty funny view. So, we should let the healthcare workers get sick and die during the first wave? Would that have been your policy? Give PPE to general pop vs. healthcare? Please share the brilliant thinking on that one.

what is the point of you and others trying to undermine everything coming out of the science community while simultaneously felating anything uttered by trump et al including the use of UV? Masks don’t work. Fauci is a liar etc etc. what would you like to see happen? Please share your detailed plan. Is it masks for general pop and none for healthcare worker? Will you use your UV to protect the healthcare workers? Please share how everything we are doing is dumb and your plan.

Healthcare workers had little PPE
Public had zero PPE

Telling public "masks don't work" so that they wouldn't buy any masks that weren't even available is a bizarre excuse the CDC made . People in authority failed to ensure US had stores of PPE. To deflect from that they made excuses by minimizing the need for masks. They said public doesn't need them and only certain MDs/staff in close contact needed masks.

This got more bizzare when staff and doctors brought their own mask in and then were told they couldn't wear them because CDC said they didn't need them. However staff and the public soon figured out they needed masks no matter what CDC said, and then CDC changed its advice to confirm what the people had figured out on their own. Then CDC said it was ok to wear homemade masks when a lot of those are garbage. But states made the things mandatory anyway (even after they killed off seniors mismanaging them).

CDC was also telling people virus was only caught via droplets but then said it was airborne - which is what Chinese researchers said in January

You don't want to blindly trust bureaucracies in an emergency because its often a mistake.


Doctors Say Hospitals Are Stopping Them From Wearing Masks


"Many doctors, nurses and other hospital workers say they don't feel protected and are afraid in the midst of a shortage of masks and other protective gear. Some are bringing their own supplies... Meanwhile, some hospitals are instituting strict policies that bar medical workers from bringing their own personal protective equipment, or PPE, to work, or limiting how much protection a person can wear because of a shortage in supplies...First, Buckalew (Dr) said she was told it was against hospital policy for health care workers to bring their own gear. Then, she said, administrators told her if she wore her own N95 mask, others would want to wear the masks as well and the hospital didn't have enough. Finally, Buckalew said, it was that CDC guidelines don't require the mask at all times.





The Coronavirus May Be Adrift in Indoor Air, C.D.C. Acknowledges
After removing guidance from its website acknowledging “airborne” transmission, the agency cited evidence that indoor air can carry virus-laden particles.


Two weeks after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention took down a statement about airborne transmission of the coronavirus, the agency on Monday replaced it with language citing new evidence that the virus can spread beyond six feet indoors.

“These transmissions occurred within enclosed spaces that had inadequate ventilation,” the new guidance said. “Sometimes the infected person was breathing heavily, for example while singing or exercising.”

The incident was only the latest in a series of slow and often puzzling scientific judgments by the C.D.C. and by the World Health Organization since the start of the pandemic. Despite evidence that use of face coverings can help cut down on viral spread, for example, the C.D.C. did not endorse their use by the public until April, and the W.H.O. did not do so till June."




CDC is an embarrassment and has been (progressively) since the 80s
 
Are we better off with forecasting or not? Should we just stop forecasting and let people deal with what comes on their own like the old days? Stop the hurricane forecasting etc and let people on the coast just deal?

I don’t get the vitriol for inexact science based upon a number of vacillating factors in an attempt to warn and inform people. Do I think news channels exaggerate risk particularly with over the top colorful language. Yes, I can’t stand it. But I am appreciative of the advances in science that allow us to better prepare and they are mostly right. Are we bickering over one town getting 2 when they projected 5? Come one man, think about the big picture.
 
skoolie - I'm sorry, but you have no idea what you're talking about. As per my post above, there's strong fundamental science around masks working to filter out virus-laden droplets (even very small ones and primary virus particles) and there's strong epidemiological evidence on a macro scale that masks work - every East Asian country that is doing so much better than the rest of the world has near 100% mask compliance and we're nowhere near that in the US/Europe, especially at indoor gatherings of family/friends, which is where much of the spreading goes on. You can go on line right now on FB/Instagram and see countless pix of family holiday gatherings without masks - it's so sad that these people have been convinced that masks don't work. Masks work, but not perfectly, but in conjunction with distancing can greatly reduce transmissions.

So the reason cases are still sky high despite mask compliance everywhere you go in the US. is that people aren't wearing them at home too? Got it.

Not buying it.

Please don't compare the average obese United States person to a pencil thin person in Asia.

If masks worked then there wouldn't be chart after chart showing cases rising after these mask mandates in the US.

A cloth mask is not working, sorry. Neither is a medical mask meant for a sterile environment, not a gas station.
 
Healthcare workers had little PPE
Public had zero PPE

Telling public "masks don't work" so that they wouldn't buy any masks that weren't even available is a bizarre excuse the CDC made . People in authority failed to ensure US had stores of PPE. To deflect from that they made excuses by minimizing the need for masks. They said public doesn't need them and only certain MDs/staff in close contact needed masks.

This got more bizzare when staff and doctors brought their own mask in and then were told they couldn't wear them because CDC said they didn't need them. However staff and the public soon figured out they needed masks no matter what CDC said, and then CDC changed its advice to confirm what the people had figured out on their own. Then CDC said it was ok to wear homemade masks when a lot of those are garbage. But states made the things mandatory anyway (even after they killed off seniors mismanaging them).

CDC was also telling people virus was only caught via droplets but then said it was airborne - which is what Chinese researchers said in January

You don't want to blindly trust bureaucracies in an emergency because its often a mistake.


Doctors Say Hospitals Are Stopping Them From Wearing Masks


"Many doctors, nurses and other hospital workers say they don't feel protected and are afraid in the midst of a shortage of masks and other protective gear. Some are bringing their own supplies... Meanwhile, some hospitals are instituting strict policies that bar medical workers from bringing their own personal protective equipment, or PPE, to work, or limiting how much protection a person can wear because of a shortage in supplies...First, Buckalew (Dr) said she was told it was against hospital policy for health care workers to bring their own gear. Then, she said, administrators told her if she wore her own N95 mask, others would want to wear the masks as well and the hospital didn't have enough. Finally, Buckalew said, it was that CDC guidelines don't require the mask at all times.





The Coronavirus May Be Adrift in Indoor Air, C.D.C. Acknowledges
After removing guidance from its website acknowledging “airborne” transmission, the agency cited evidence that indoor air can carry virus-laden particles.


Two weeks after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention took down a statement about airborne transmission of the coronavirus, the agency on Monday replaced it with language citing new evidence that the virus can spread beyond six feet indoors.

“These transmissions occurred within enclosed spaces that had inadequate ventilation,” the new guidance said. “Sometimes the infected person was breathing heavily, for example while singing or exercising.”

The incident was only the latest in a series of slow and often puzzling scientific judgments by the C.D.C. and by the World Health Organization since the start of the pandemic. Despite evidence that use of face coverings can help cut down on viral spread, for example, the C.D.C. did not endorse their use by the public until April, and the W.H.O. did not do so till June."




CDC is an embarrassment and has been (progressively) since the 80s

Thank you for this post for bring facts

A few posters want to reinvent and revise history of what Fauci and cdc and who were saying
 
Wait till the Covid Passport is announced to get into store, concerts, sports events, movies, etc. You laugh.....
 
So the reason cases are still sky high despite mask compliance everywhere you go in the US. is that people aren't wearing them at home too? Got it.

Not buying it.

Please don't compare the average obese United States person to a pencil thin person in Asia.

If masks worked then there wouldn't be chart after chart showing cases rising after these mask mandates in the US.

A cloth mask is not working, sorry. Neither is a medical mask meant for a sterile environment, not a gas station.

They have a response for every contradiction...the one they all settled on now is that its being spread at gatherings at home..wait so that wasnt happening before..oh
 
So the reason cases are still sky high despite mask compliance everywhere you go in the US. is that people aren't wearing them at home too? Got it.

Not buying it.

Please don't compare the average obese United States person to a pencil thin person in Asia.

If masks worked then there wouldn't be chart after chart showing cases rising after these mask mandates in the US.

A cloth mask is not working, sorry. Neither is a medical mask meant for a sterile environment, not a gas station.
Show me where mask compliance is "everywhere you go" please. I can't even go to home depot in central NJ (where most people are pretty good) without seeing 25% of the customers AND STAFF with the mask off or below their nose. Forget about it in a red states where it is so much worse...
 
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Show me where mask compliance is "everywhere you go" please. I can't even go to home depot in central NJ (where most people are pretty good) without seeing 25% of the customers AND STAFF with the mask off or below their nose. Forget about it in a red states where it is so much worse...

I havent been in one store in NJ where masks werent worn
 
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skoolie - I'm sorry, but you have no idea what you're talking about. As per my post above, there's strong fundamental science around masks working to filter out virus-laden droplets (even very small ones and primary virus particles) and there's strong epidemiological evidence on a macro scale that masks work - every East Asian country that is doing so much better than the rest of the world has near 100% mask compliance and we're nowhere near that in the US/Europe, especially at indoor gatherings of family/friends, which is where much of the spreading goes on. You can go on line right now on FB/Instagram and see countless pix of family holiday gatherings without masks - it's so sad that these people have been convinced that masks don't work. Masks work, but not perfectly, but in conjunction with distancing can greatly reduce transmissions.

Yes thats why So Korea is having their time in the barrell now
 
You have to wear them properly. Over the nose and mouth. I guarantee you that if you go to any big store RIGHT NOW you will see lots of exposed noses.

Which further makes my argument...the msm and fear mongers made everything about masks...over the top...its not the #1 precaution u can take but its been presented as giving you protection..for a number of reasons thats false
 
That's so ccp China, not American values

Why would a healthy person have to prove anything to anyone?

I don't remember anyone talking about that, ever, even during the Swine Flu pandemic


thats okay there are people in this thread that think we should have handled this just like Asian countries who have less freedoms than we do.
 
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Which further makes my argument...the msm and fear mongers made everything about masks...over the top...its not the #1 precaution u can take but its been presented as giving you protection..for a number of reasons thats false
There are very few things that we can (and are willing to) control. Wearing masks is one of them. It's not NEARLY the #1 precaution we can take. That would be shutting borders and seriously locking down like New Zealand did. America can't/won't do that. So we can't/won't eradicate the virus like New Zealand was able to. Therefore we need to focus upon what we can do. Wearing masks proper is one thing we can do.

If masks "don't work", why have surgeons worn them since the dawn of germ theory? Should they not bother any more? Is that a change you would like to see?
 
You have to wear them properly. Over the nose and mouth. I guarantee you that if you go to any big store RIGHT NOW you will see lots of exposed noses.
If you said Walmart i might back you up. Home Depot?? Yeah no way. They have security in the front. Not Home Depot employees real outside security. Home Depot is still monitoring how many people in the store.
 
There are very few things that we can (and are willing to) control. Wearing masks is one of them. It's not NEARLY the #1 precaution we can take. That would be shutting borders and seriously locking down like New Zealand did. America can't/won't do that. So we can't/won't eradicate the virus like New Zealand was able to. Therefore we need to focus upon what we can do. Wearing masks proper is one thing we can do.

If masks "don't work", why have surgeons worn them since the dawn of germ theory? Should they not bother any more? Is that a change you would like to see?

you're cray cray, something is wrong with you.
 
If you said Walmart i might back you up. Home Depot?? Yeah no way. They have security in the front. Not Home Depot employees real outside security. Home Depot is still monitoring how many people in the store.
I used that example because I was at the one in South Plainfield today. So many exposed noses...
 
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There are very few things that we can (and are willing to) control. Wearing masks is one of them. It's not NEARLY the #1 precaution we can take. That would be shutting borders and seriously locking down like New Zealand did. America can't/won't do that. So we can't/won't eradicate the virus like New Zealand was able to. Therefore we need to focus upon what we can do. Wearing masks proper is one thing we can do.

If masks "don't work", why have surgeons worn them since the dawn of germ theory? Should they not bother any more? Is that a change you would like to see?


we are not wearing N95s

 
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You have to wear them properly. Over the nose and mouth. I guarantee you that if you go to any big store RIGHT NOW you will see lots of exposed noses.


Nevermind the big box store......I do Doordash for the winter and I can't tell you how many cooks, sandwich makers, cashiers show off their noses and some cooks have it all the way down ,....lol
 
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