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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

I believe Goldman Sachs also mentioned the market was moving upward. I waited to see AMZN break the 3,300 level. I make my decisions base on my gut feelings. I missed the 2008 crash and the 2020 March crash. Cramer also called the 2008 crash the week before the crash. He’s about 60/40 correct but I notice his investing suggestions, I was already doing. I guess I’m lucky.

Stocks are going up because earnings coming out in 2-3 weeks.
I‘ll be selling most of these tech stocks before their earnings, about a month, going back to my old strategy.

My REIT’s are medical buildings and data centers.

Brought some TQQQ this morning holding for a few weeks.
 
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I don’t pay attention to the meme stocks but came across this blurb. Guess there is still some play in them.

GameStop (GME) – GameStop remains on watch as the videogame retailer’s stock rides a 10-session winning streak that has seen it gain 143%. Another “meme stock” on a roll is movie theater operator AMC Entertainment (AMC), which surged 45% Monday, its best day since last June. GameStop fell 3.5% in premarket trading, while AMC slid 4.5%
 
Where will the money that will no longer go to commercial real estate go?

And if up to 30% plus who can work from home do so will there be a decrease in consumer spending that our economy can handle?
+1
This has been a long running trend that COVID accelerated. No surprise that commercial real estate is tanking. The folks working from home have more money and time to spend it. So, look for consumer spending trends to stay strong.
 
This was inevitable and it’s surprising that given the WFH trends we haven’t heard more about commercial real estate problems. And it goes beyond just the REITs = many towns rely heavily on local corporate taxes as part of their budgets. Once those companies move out there are massive budget shortfalls. Then you have NYC which could look more like Gotham City in 10 years if there is not a meaningful return to work.
Except the story doesn’t add up. Multi family rents in NYC hit ATH. 75% of companies are going 3 days. These swip data are as good as election polling data.
 
+1
This has been a long running trend that COVID accelerated. No surprise that commercial real estate is tanking. The folks working from home have more money and time to spend it. So, look for consumer spending trends to stay strong.
funny That Google and Amazon are big buyers of real estate in NYC. IBM just signed a huge lease at One Madison. I mean these are the WFH companies but they are going long CRE. The real change is densification. At one point companies were down to 85 sf per employee. now with the rotating schedule, a lot more space per employee in the office.
 
Except the story doesn’t add up. Multi family rents in NYC hit ATH. 75% of companies are going 3 days. These swip data are as good as election polling data.
Most of pharma is going half in and half out for office-based jobs. The time of the 5 days a week 9-5 in the office is gone. One of the few good outcomes of COVID!
 
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I‘ll be selling most of these tech stocks before their earnings, about a month, going back to my old strategy.

My REIT’s are medical buildings and data centers.

Brought some TQQQ this morning holding for a few weeks.
Some of the big tech names look like they’re pushing up against or might be breaking out of old resistance levels.
 
+1
This has been a long running trend that COVID accelerated. No surprise that commercial real estate is tanking. The folks working from home have more money and time to spend it. So, look for consumer spending trends to stay strong.
But different stuff?

Consumers working from home will most likely not be spending on lunches out or clothing but more likely technology and comforts for their house?
 
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Brought some TQQQ this morning holding for a few weeks.
Good job, very impressed:

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But different stuff?

Consumers working from home will most likely not be spending on lunches out or clothing but more likely technology and comforts for their house?
Good point, likely on different stuff due to shifting needs.
 
Except the story doesn’t add up. Multi family rents in NYC hit ATH. 75% of companies are going 3 days. These swip data are as good as election polling data.
Multi-family rent increases don’t surprise me because there is nowhere for people to go. But, the commercial real estate market is still struggling despite bogus reports (posted by brokers) that try to paint a bright picture. Available NYC office space hit a record in February (17.4%) and is 74% higher than pre-pandemic. I’m sure part of Google’s and IBM’s interest in NYC is based more on the investment potential and future flexibility. There was a time when AT&T accumulated mass amounts of real estate to the point that it was the third largest landholder in the US only behind the US Gov’t and Catholic Church, and it’s real estate portfolio was worth tens of billions. Fun fact: AT&T used to own the tract of land where the Hunt is hosted. Wouldn’t surprise me if Big Tech started buying more and more real estate in major cities.

 
Multi-family rent increases don’t surprise me because there is nowhere for people to go. But, the commercial real estate market is still struggling despite bogus reports (posted by brokers) that try to paint a bright picture. Available NYC office space hit a record in February (17.4%) and is 74% higher than pre-pandemic. I’m sure part of Google’s and IBM’s interest in NYC is based more on the investment potential and future flexibility. There was a time when AT&T accumulated mass amounts of real estate to the point that it was the third largest landholder in the US only behind the US Gov’t and Catholic Church, and it’s real estate portfolio was worth tens of billions. Fun fact: AT&T used to own the tract of land where the Hunt is hosted. Wouldn’t surprise me if Big Tech started buying more and more real estate in major cities.

The availability rate is all BS. Companies throw their space to sublet just for optionality or looking to trade up.
 
Some of the big tech names look like they’re pushing up against or might be breaking out of old resistance levels.
I think the next level of Techs- PYPL, CRM, FB, ADBE, NFLX will be moving more. AAPL and GOOG close to their old high. AMZN moving to 3,500 minimum
 
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Just got hit on a GTC sell order for QS. Almost made 30% for 2 month hold. Getting close to full my SOFI GTC sell order at 11.
ETA looks like QS could be signing up a deal with Porsche for the all electric 911.
 
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Just got jacked up by my landscaper - about 20% increase on my weekly cut. Gave me the whole gas, labor, etc. crap killing him. Cleaning lady hit me last December. The days of wheeling and dealing are gone.
 
Just got jacked up by my landscaper - about 20% increase on my weekly cut. Gave me the whole gas, labor, etc. crap killing him. Cleaning lady hit me last December. The days of wheeling and dealing are gone.
You have to help the little people.
 
You poor thing. Did your chauffeur and butler bend you over too?
LOL…Trust me, I did my own yard for 15 years, even after working a miserable landscaping gig all through high school. It got to the point that the equipment/gas/maintenance/time on my yard just didn’t make sense. The cleaning lady is more a function of two full-time working parents and active kids. But I’m sure my butler will screw me next…
 
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Anybody buying today? I added to my LMT position but that’s it.
I did an across the board buy for our E-Trade account this morning - all 8 ETFs. We do so about every 2 weeks, unless I see a too good to pass up dip.
 
Tempting to chase tech with all the green but I’m going to wait for a Putin day.
I’m assuming they will go up when earnings comes up in the next few weeks. I can said I’m buying for the long term like T2K but if they go up nicely in 3 weeks, I wouldn’t feel bad if I took a profit on them. I was watching CNBC this morning and an analyst was talking about the Techs with decent PE and she basically expected the Techs to go up the next few weeks because of earnings so she only confirmed my strategy. I had these Techs from the past but I added the last two days. FB and AMZN breaking out. AAPL, GOOG and O close to their high so I got rid of most of the holdings.

Also have HD, SBUX, MMM, HON, NKE, since they are at their low at a decent PE, will wait however long for decent return. I’m very close to my ATH for my account balance.

I just went crazy and brought 25 shares of ROKU and SQ each, first stocks without profits.
 
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I’m assuming they will go up when earnings comes up in the next few weeks. I can said I’m buying for the long term like T2K but if they go up nicely in 3 weeks, I wouldn’t feel bad if I took a profit on them. I was watching CNBC this morning and an analyst was talking about the Techs with decent PE and she basically expected the Techs to go up the next few weeks because of earnings so she only confirmed my strategy. I had these Techs from the past but I added the last two days. FB and AMZN breaking out. AAPL, GOOG and O close to their high so I got rid of most of the holdings.

Also have HD, SBUX, MMM, HON, NKE, since they are at their low at a decent PE, will wait however long for decent return. I’m very close to my ATH for my account balance.

I just went crazy and brought 25 shares of ROKU and SQ each, first stocks without profits.
I mentioned if FB can get through this 220s area I think 240s where I first bought it is in play. NKE I think I mentioned it might have some resistance in that 138ish area around but then after that mid 140s is in play if it breaks through. Knife catching has its moments lol....but always with high quality names for me.

I mentioned CL might be in a bottom of trading range a little while back and its looks like it may have bounced off that level
 
Ackman = POS
He's not always bad. I remember a long while back he helped buoy PG stock (which I owned at the time and still do)a bit and then later Nelson Peltz shook it up more. Activist investors, at times, can be helpful. Although TGT and JCP were big misses for him at the time he held them and these were longs not shorts for him.
 
I mentioned if FB can get through this 220s area I think 240s where I first bought it is in play. NKE I think I mentioned it might have some resistance in that 138ish area around but then after that mid 140s is in play if it breaks through. Knife catching has its moments lol....but always with high quality names for me.

I mentioned CL might be in a bottom of trading range a little while back and its looks like it may have bounced off that level
The only high flying Tech I didn’t buy was TSLA and NFLX. I was considering TSLA but was too late but I think NFLX might be a buy in a few days. I normally only buy high quality names.
 
Tempting to chase tech with all the green but I’m going to wait for a Putin day.
After the recent run, I am trimming a little. Sold some of my AAPL today after a historic two week run. Also sold my PLTR, which is up about 35% over the last two weeks.
 
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The only high flying Tech I didn’t buy was TSLA and NFLX. I was considering TSLA but was too late but I think NFLX might be a buy in a few days. I normally only buy high quality names.
TSLA isn't for me. It's very hard for me to get over the PE, unless I think it can be more than a car company which it possibly could be. I contemplated it in the 700s and looked like a 6 handle was coming but still didn't pull the trigger.

NFLX is generally not for me but can be at times. I prefer DIS myself. They all are going to have to spend a ton on content and who knows for sure what it will return. One thing though that could be a boon for NFLX in the future, and possibly others, is that test roll out of account sharing crackdown. I think they're doing it in South America for now. I suppose there could be some subscriber loss but I think on balance it will be a net plus to subscribers. If they find it's a net positive and then gets rolled out across the globe that would be a nice boon for them imo. It's pushing up against its 50DMA.
 
Tempting to chase tech with all the green but I’m going to wait for a Putin day.
I have been itching to add to my TQQQ, UPRO, and SOXL. However, you need to be patient with these mo-fo's. Gotta keep discipline. I have decided to downgrade the 3x SOXL to the 2x USD. Just waiting for the pump to end. Being triple leveraged in the semi space is too volatile for me! LOL.
 
TSLA isn't for me. It's very hard for me to get over the PE, unless I think it can be more than a car company which it possibly could be. I contemplated it in the 700s and looked like a 6 handle was coming but still didn't pull the trigger.

NFLX is generally not for me but can be at times. I prefer DIS myself. They all are going to have to spend a ton on content and who knows for sure what it will return. One thing though that could be a boon for NFLX in the future, and possibly others, is that test roll out of account sharing crackdown. I think they're doing it in South America for now. I suppose there could be some subscriber loss but I think on balance it will be a net plus to subscribers. If they find it's a net positive and then gets rolled out across the globe that would be a nice boon for them imo. It's pushing up against its 50DMA.
I thought about adding to my TSLA position when it was closing in on $700. But alas, it was that low for only a blink of an eye and missed it due to a work meeting. Guess I should have made a limit order.
 
Just got jacked up by my landscaper - about 20% increase on my weekly cut. Gave me the whole gas, labor, etc. crap killing him. Cleaning lady hit me last December. The days of wheeling and dealing are gone.
My landscaper wanted 60

Several neighbors had a different guy so I asked for a quote. He will do it for 45

He was dependable and did a good job for the 4 neighbors he did last year
 
Earnings matter! 2 big wins, 2 big losses:

Micron — Shares of the chip maker advanced more than 4% after hours, after the company reported financial results for its most recent quarter. Micron beat Wall Street estimates on both quarterly earnings and revenue. It also gave positive revenue and adjusted earnings guidance for its third quarter.

Lululemon — The athleisure apparel maker’s share jumped about 7% following the company’s quarterly earnings report. Lululemon reported earnings that were about 9 cents higher than analysts estimated, although it reported a revenue miss. It also announced a $1 billion stock buyback program.

RH — The home furnishings retailer saw shares decline by more than 5% following its quarterly results. While RH reported an earnings beat for the most recent quarter, it also reported revenue of $901.5 million, compared to estimates of $931.8 million. The company also announced a 3-for-1 stock split that will take place in the spring.

Chewy — The pet supply company tumbled after hours after reporting a wider than expected quarterly loss of 15 cents per share, versus the estimate of 8 cents, and a revenue miss. It also issued weak revenue guidance for the first quarter and the full year.

 
Earnings matter! 2 big wins, 2 big losses:

Micron — Shares of the chip maker advanced more than 4% after hours, after the company reported financial results for its most recent quarter. Micron beat Wall Street estimates on both quarterly earnings and revenue. It also gave positive revenue and adjusted earnings guidance for its third quarter.

Lululemon — The athleisure apparel maker’s share jumped about 7% following the company’s quarterly earnings report. Lululemon reported earnings that were about 9 cents higher than analysts estimated, although it reported a revenue miss. It also announced a $1 billion stock buyback program.

RH — The home furnishings retailer saw shares decline by more than 5% following its quarterly results. While RH reported an earnings beat for the most recent quarter, it also reported revenue of $901.5 million, compared to estimates of $931.8 million. The company also announced a 3-for-1 stock split that will take place in the spring.

Chewy — The pet supply company tumbled after hours after reporting a wider than expected quarterly loss of 15 cents per share, versus the estimate of 8 cents, and a revenue miss. It also issued weak revenue guidance for the first quarter and the full year.

Not Chewy, maybe Cohen should spend less time on GME.
 
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