It's pretty remarkable within historical context that the Fed essentially cannot raise the fed funds rate higher than 5% in the modern economy
Wait until the Fed Debt rolls over.
It's pretty remarkable within historical context that the Fed essentially cannot raise the fed funds rate higher than 5% in the modern economy
The tab for "the party" always comes due at some point, and partygoers must pay their fair share, eventually. To expect otherwise is foolish.So sad. Party must continue! 😜
The tab has come due several times already, but was paid by the parents (i.e., taxpayers), not the partygoers! :)The tab for "the party" always comes due at some point, and partygoers must pay their fair share, eventually. To expect otherwise is foolish.
That said, 25 bps is coming.
In the meantime, Berkshire has been buying back its shares. When Buffet does this, it signals he sees no (or little) opportunity elsewhere in the market and his own company is under-valued.
I don’t know which direction this market going. Lot of noise about recession and lower market but did buy some ADP, COST, BDX, PG, AWK, and HD last couple of days. Most close to their low and expect they back when the market recovers, maybe now at 25-30% equities. The rest are in FANG and medical stocks.
Would like to know what % is everybody in stocks? Is T2K the only one positive on the market.
It’s so hard trading on breaking newsLooks like FRC is up big in the pre hours. Maybe you were right originally.
President Trump will have her arrested on Jan 20, 2025.what's funny is seemingly everyone has forgotten the mission the of the fed vs what the regulators do
Pocohontus Warren certainly has
I don’t know which direction this market going. Lot of noise about recession and lower market but did buy some ADP, COST, BDX, PG, AWK, and HD last couple of days. Most close to their low and expect they back when the market recovers, maybe now at 25-30% equities. The rest are in FANG and medical stocks.
Would like to know what % is everybody in stocks? Is T2K the only one positive on the market.
The national numbers are a bit fickle to digest. The overall results are skewed by a handful of markets that had absurd 100-200% increases from 2017-2022. Those are driving the overall results, much of the country (especially NJ/Northeast) will still see appreciation albeit at a slower rate.Home prices finally turned negative YoY for the first time in 11 years. Home prices have been going down for months and months, but YoY math lags. Look for OER to follow suit and turn YoY negative soon as we start to lap the months of peak inflation (early 2022).
#inflationisgone
Plan accordingly.
Home Prices Fell in February for First Time in 11 Years
The median existing-home price dropped 0.2% in February from a year earlier to $363,000.www.wsj.com
Is it that they can't go above 5% in the modern economy? Or that they shouldn't keep raising after going from 0% to 5% in a twelve month period?It's pretty remarkable within historical context that the Fed essentially cannot raise the fed funds rate higher than 5% in the modern economy
Just one month ago BTC took a peek just past $25 and collapsed 20%. Today, she takes another peek just above $28k. Guess where she’s headed next. Bye bye.Time to walk back my concerns on BTC. This move has legs. Will reassess at 25k/28k.
The fact of the matter is that the interest rates should have been raised in mid 2021Is it that they can't go above 5% in the modern economy? Or that they shouldn't keep raising after going from 0% to 5% in a twelve month period?
Your consistent, if nothing else.As expected, face saving 0.25%, pause coming soon:
Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end
Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released its decision on interest rates following a two-day meeting.www.cnbc.com
Both were pretty clearly macro related, right?Just one month ago BTC took a peek just past $25 and collapsed 20%. Today, she takes another peek just above $28k. Guess where she’s headed next. Bye bye.
I would feel better if the pause was after lower inflation numbers were reported and not under the current situation.As expected, face saving 0.25%, pause coming soon:
Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end
Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released its decision on interest rates following a two-day meeting.www.cnbc.com
You can say that. There is always a catalyst. SVB gave it a 45% bump to where? The 28ish level....And suddenly the seller show up.Both were pretty clearly macro related, right?
Nothing has changed in over a year. They can whisper in our ears whatever we want to hear. At the end of the day they drive the bus and they are pretty clear as to the direction they're heading in. There will be no rate cut this year.I would feel better if the pause was after lower inflation numbers were reported and not under the current situation.
As per Fidelity, pause is imminent. Sounds like they are done.Your consistent, if nothing else.
Seriously, though, I listened in on Powell's briefing. Not sure of CNBC's take on it, but I heard the Fed will stay the course. Expecting at least three more increases.
Where is this mystical inflation you are talking about? Oil/energy? No. House prices? No. Commodities? No. Rent? No. The only thing that supports the high inflation narrative is the garbage CPI math (and we are all too smart to believe that).I would feel better if the pause was after lower inflation numbers were reported and not under the current situation.
Youre smoking crack if you think theres going to be 3 more increases after that presser today. JP kinda slipped up at one point and implied they were doneYour consistent, if nothing else.
Seriously, though, I listened in on Powell's briefing. Not sure of CNBC's take on it, but I heard the Fed will stay the course. Expecting at least three more increases.
True, the dip began today at 28 which coincided with almost the exact moment Powell began speaking. The same dip timing with the indexes. Will have to see what happens over the next few daysYou can say that. There is always a catalyst. SVB gave it a 45% bump to where? The 28ish level....And suddenly the seller show up.
Bingo! Most smart people caught that.Youre smoking crack if you think theres going to be 3 more increases after that presser today. JP kinda slipped up at one point and implied they were done
Your consistent, if nothing else.
Seriously, though, I listened in on Powell's briefing. Not sure of CNBC's take on it, but I heard the Fed will stay the course. Expecting at least three more increases.
Coinbase wants this fight so the courts can do the job the SEC is refusing to do (i.e., give some regulatory clarity to the crypto market).Gov going after more crypto businesses:
Coinbase warned by SEC of potential securities charges
The SEC issued crypto exchange Coinbase a Wells notice, warning the exchange that it identified potential violations of U.S. securities law.www.cnbc.com
Coinbase wants this fight so the courts can do the job the SEC is refusing to do (i.e., give some regulatory clarity to the crypto market).
Even CPI has been negative for months when using real-time shelter data. Where is this mystical inflation?Powell has been very consistent in his words and actions since he began raising rates. Says rate hikes will continue until inflation comes down.
People trying to read the tea leaves on his comments are missing the plot.
See how the Grayscale hearing went with the DC CoA? LOL at the SEC.That would be really dumb if true.
Well sure, but even in that timeframe, that's a very fast 0-5 acceleration.The fact of the matter is that the interest rates should have been raised in mid 2021
I tend to agree with this but feel the Fed will not likely increase much more. What had the markets sell off is when Powell said that there would likely not be any rate cuts this year. People were hoping for cuts but that doesn't seem likely.Powell has been very consistent in his words and actions since he began raising rates. Says rate hikes will continue until inflation comes down.
People trying to read the tea leaves on his comments are missing the plot.
See how the Grayscale hearing went with the DC CoA? LOL at the SEC.